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One of the biggest challenges in the development ofautonomous vehicles is to anticipate the behavior of other roadusers. Autonomous vehicles rely on data obtained by on-boardsensors and make decisions accordingly, but this becomes difficultif the sensors are occluded or have limited range. In this reportwe propose an algorithm for connected vehicles in an intersectionto fuse and share sensor data and gain a better estimationof the surrounding environment. The method used for sensorfusion was a Kalman filter and a tracking algorithm, where timedelay from external sensors was considered. Parameters for theKalman filter were decided through measurement of the sensors’variances as well as tuning. It was concluded that the variancesare dependent on the objects’ movements, which means thatconstant parameters for the Kalman filter would not be enoughto make it efficient. However, the tracking and the sensor sharingmade a significant difference in the vehicle’s detection rate whichcould ultimately increase safety in intersections. / En av de största utmaningarna för utvecklingen av autonoma fordon är att förutse andra trafikanters beteenden. Autonoma fordon förlitar sig på data från sensorer ombord och fattar beslut i enlighet med informationen från dessa. Detta blir särskilt svårt om sensorerna skyms eller om sensorerna har begränsad räckvidd. I denna rapport föreslår vi en algoritm för delning och optimering av sensordata för autonoma fordon i en vägkorsning för att ge fordonet en så bra uppfattning av omgivningen som möjligt. Metoden som användes för sensorfusion var ett Kalman-filter tilsammans med en spårningsalgoritm där tidsfördröjning av data från externa sensorer togs i beaktning. Parametrarna för Kalman-filtret valdes genom mätning av sensorns varians samt genom trimning. Slutsatsen drogs att varianserna är beroende av objektens rörelsemönster, vilket innebär att konstanta parametrar för Kalman-filtret inte skulle vara tillräckligt för att göra det funktionellt. Spårningen och delningen av sensordata gjorde emellertid en betydande skillnad i andelen upptäckta objekt vilket skulle kunna nyttjas för att öka säkerheten i korsningar. / Kandidatexjobb i elektroteknik 2020, KTH, Stockholm

This thesis presents a new method for iterative road grade estimation based on sensors that are commonplace in modern heavy duty vehicles. Estimates from multiple passes of the same road segment are merged together to form a road grade map, that is improved each time the vehicle revisits an already traveled route. The estimation algorithm is discussed in detail together with its implementation and experimental evaluation on real vehicles.  An increasing need for goods and passenger transportation drives continuing worldwide growth in road transportation while environmental concerns, traffic safety issues, and cost efficiency are becoming more important. Advancements in microelectronics open the possibility to address these issues through new advanced driver assistance systems. Applications such as predictive cruise control, automated gearbox control, predictive front lighting control and hybrid vehicle state-of-charge control benefit from preview road grade information. Using global navigation satellite systems an exact vehicle position can be obtained. This enables stored maps to be used as a source of preview road grade information. The task of creating such maps is addressed herein by the proposal of a method where the vehicle itself estimates the road grade each time it travels along a road and stores the information for later use.  The presented road grade estimation method uses data from sensors that are standard equipment in heavy duty vehicles equipped with map-based advanced driver assistance systems. Measurements of the vehicle speed and the engine torque are combined with observations of the road altitude from a GPS receiver in a Kalman filter, to form a road grade estimate based on a system model. The noise covariance parameters of the filter are adjusted during gear shifts, braking and poor satellite coverage. The estimated error covariance of the road grade estimate is then used together with its absolute position to update a stored road grade map, which is based on all previous times the vehicle has passed the same location.  Highway driving trials detailed in the thesis demonstrate that the proposed method is capable of accurately estimating the road grade based on few road traversals. The performance of the estimator under conditions such as braking, gear shifting, and loss of satellite coverage is presented. The experimental results indicate that road grade estimates from the proposed method are accurate enough to be used in predictive vehicle control systems to enhance safety, efficiency, and driver comfort of heavy duty vehicles. / QC 20101119

<p>Unexpected failures in rotating machinery can result in production downtime, costly repairs and safety concerns. Electric motors are commonly used in rotating machinery and are critical to their operation. Therefore, fault detection and diagnosis of electric motors can play a very important role in increasing their reliability and operational safety. This is especially true for safety critical applications.</p> <p>This research aims to develop a Fault Detection and Diagnosis (FDD) strategy for detecting motor faults at their inception. Two FDD strategies were considered involving wavelets and state estimation. Bearing faults and stator winding faults, which are responsible for the majority of motor failures, are considered. These faults were physically simulated on a Permanent Magnet Brushless DC Motor (PMBLDC). Experimental results demonstrated that the proposed fault detection and diagnosis schemes were very effective in detecting bearing and winding faults in electric motors.</p> / Master of Applied Science (MASc)

Modeling and simulations of large-scale systems are used extensively to not only better understand a natural phenomenon, but also to predict future events. Accurate model results are critical for design optimization and policy making. They can be used effectively to reduce the impact of a natural disaster or even prevent it from happening. In reality, model predictions are often affected by uncertainties in input data and model parameters, and by incomplete knowledge of the underlying physics. A deterministic simulation assumes one set of input conditions, and generates one result without considering uncertainties. It is of great interest to include uncertainty information in the simulation. By ``Uncertainty Quantification,'' we denote the ensemble of techniques used to model probabilistically the uncertainty in model inputs, to propagate it through the system, and to represent the resulting uncertainty in the model result. This added information provides a confidence level about the model forecast. For example, in environmental modeling, the model forecast, together with the quantified uncertainty information, can assist the policy makers in interpreting the simulation results and in making decisions accordingly. Another important goal in modeling and simulation is to improve the model accuracy and to increase the model prediction power. By merging real observation data into the dynamic system through the data assimilation (DA) technique, the overall uncertainty in the model is reduced. With the expansion of human knowledge and the development of modeling tools, simulation size and complexity are growing rapidly. This poses great challenges to uncertainty analysis techniques. Many conventional uncertainty quantification algorithms, such as the straightforward Monte Carlo method, become impractical for large-scale simulations. New algorithms need to be developed in order to quantify and reduce uncertainties in large-scale simulations. This research explores novel uncertainty quantification and reduction techniques that are suitable for large-scale simulations. In the uncertainty quantification part, the non-sampling polynomial chaos (PC) method is investigated. An efficient implementation is proposed to reduce the high computational cost for the linear algebra involved in the PC Galerkin approach applied to stiff systems. A collocation least-squares method is proposed to compute the PC coefficients more efficiently. A novel uncertainty apportionment strategy is proposed to attribute the uncertainty in model results to different uncertainty sources. The apportionment results provide guidance for uncertainty reduction efforts. The uncertainty quantification and source apportionment techniques are implemented in the 3-D Sulfur Transport Eulerian Model (STEM-III) predicting pollute concentrations in the northeast region of the United States. Numerical results confirm the efficacy of the proposed techniques for large-scale systems and the potential impact for environmental protection policy making. ``Uncertainty Reduction'' describes the range of systematic techniques used to fuse information from multiple sources in order to increase the confidence one has in model results. Two DA techniques are widely used in current practice: the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) approach. Each method has its advantages and disadvantages. By exploring the error reduction directions generated in the 4D-Var optimization process, we propose a hybrid approach to construct the error covariance matrix and to improve the static background error covariance matrix used in current 4D-Var practice. The updated covariance matrix between assimilation windows effectively reduces the root mean square error (RMSE) in the solution. The success of the hybrid covariance updates motivates the hybridization of EnKF and 4D-Var to further reduce uncertainties in the simulation results. Numerical tests show that the hybrid method improves the model accuracy and increases the model prediction quality. / Ph. D.