Zhu, Tingting. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2009. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 21-23). / Abstract also in Chinese. / Chapter Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter Chapter 2 --- Literature Review and Background --- p.2 / Chapter 2.1 --- The literature on price stickiness --- p.2 / Chapter 2.2 --- The literature on monetary policy --- p.3 / Chapter Chapter 3 --- Model and Data --- p.4 / Chapter 3.1 --- The model --- p.4 / Chapter 3.2 --- Model estimation --- p.6 / Chapter 3.3 --- Data --- p.7 / Chapter Chapter 4 --- Price Fluctuations in Disaggregated Data --- p.7 / Chapter 4.1 --- Sources of fluctuations and persistence in price series --- p.8 / Chapter 4.1.1 --- China inflation volatility --- p.8 / Chapter 4.1.2 --- China inflation persistence --- p.10 / Chapter 4.1.3 --- India inflation volatility --- p.10 / Chapter 4.1.4 --- India inflation persistence --- p.11 / Chapter 4.2 --- Effects of macroeconomic and sector-specific shocks on price --- p.12 / Chapter 4.2.1 --- China sectoral price response to various shocks --- p.12 / Chapter 4.2.2 --- India sectoral price response to various shocks --- p.13 / Chapter 4.3 --- Urban and rural price responses to various shocks --- p.13 / Chapter Chapter 5 --- Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks --- p.15 / Chapter 5.1 --- Effects of monetary shocks in China --- p.15 / Chapter 5.2 --- Effects of monetary shocks in India --- p.17 / Chapter Chapter 6 --- Conclusion --- p.18 / Bibliography --- p.21 / Table 1: China volatility and persistence of monthly inflation series --- p.24 / Table 2: China cross-sectional correlations of various statistics --- p.25 / Table 3: India volatility and persistence of monthly inflation series --- p.26 / Table 4: India cross-sectional correlations of various statistics --- p.27 / Table 5: Response of price series to a monetary policy shock in China --- p.28 / Table 6: Response of price series to a monetary policy shock in India --- p.29 / Figure 1: China sectoral price responses to shocks (Base Rate as the monetary instrument)…… --- p.30 / Figure 2: China sectoral price responses to shocks (M2 as the monetary instrument) --- p.31 / Figure 3: India sectoral price responses to shocks (Bank Rate as the monetary instrument) --- p.32 / Figure 4: India sectoral price responses to shocks (M3 as the monetary instrument) --- p.33 / Figure 5: China urban and rural CPI responses to various shocks --- p.34 / Figure 6: India urban and rural CPI responses to various shocks --- p.35 / Figure 7: China impulse responses to an identified monetary shock (Base Rate) --- p.36 / Figure 8: China impulse responses to an identified monetary shock (M2) --- p.37 / Figure 9: China sectoral price responses to monetary shocks with long-run restriction (Base Rate) --- p.38 / Figure 10: China sectoral price responses to monetary shocks with long-run restriction (M2) --- p.39 / Figure 11: India impulse responses to an identified monetary shock (Bank Rate) --- p.40 / Figure 12: India impulse responses to an identified monetary shock (M3) --- p.41 / Figure 13: India sectoral price responses to monetary shocks with long-run restriction (Bank Rate) --- p.42 / Figure 14: India sectoral price responses to monetary shocks with long-run restriction (M3) --- p.43 / Appendix --- p.44

This thesis examines the problems posed by Japan???s recent macroeconomic experience for conventional monetary policy theory and practice. Japan???s experience with deflation and the zero lower bound for nominal official interest rates is placed in the context of neo-Wicksellian and monetarist interpretations of the monetary policy transmission mechanism. The neo-Wicksellian approach to the zero bound problem is shown to suffer significant limitations in view of Japan???s experience, while a monetarist interpretation of the transmission mechanism is shown to be more robust. The thesis considers the role of the official interest rate and the money base in vector autoregression models of the Japanese economy, finding that the economy became less amenable to effective stabilisation by monetary policy from the early 1990s onwards. A new approach to estimating a neo-Wicksellian monetary policy rule for the Bank of Japan is proposed and the robustness of the parameters of this rule determined. The thesis motivates a role for the money base in the determination of real output and inflation. A policy rule in the growth rate of the nominal money base is estimated and the stability of its parameters with respect to a hypothesised structural break and changes in the governorship of the Bank of Japan is considered. Aggregate demand and supply specifications for the Japanese economy are estimated that show a distinct role for the money base that is independent of the official interest rate. These specifications are extended to develop a model of the Japanese economy. The model is distinctive in incorporating both neo-Wicksellian and monetarist views of the monetary policy transmission mechanism. The macroeconomic stabilisation properties of various interest rate and money base growth rules are compared in the context of the model, using stochastic simulation methods. In particular, a policy rule in the growth rate of the nominal money base with the nominal official interest rate set to zero is simulated and shown to have macroeconomic stabilisation properties that compare favourably to conventional interest rate rules. The thesis concludes that the neglect of money in contemporary monetary policy theory and practice is mistaken in view of Japan???s recent macroeconomic experience.

Thesis--Rotterdam. / Includes bibliographical references (p. [188]-192).

Originally presented as the author's thesis, Hochschule für Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaften, St. Gall. / Bibliography: p. xvii-xxviii.

Thesis (M.A.)--Guo li Taiwan da xue, 1972. / Reproduced from typescript. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 142-149).

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Texas at Austin, 2001. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 96-101). Available also in a digital version from Dissertation Abstracts.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Washington, 2003. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 82-87).

published_or_final_version / Economics and Finance / Doctoral / Doctor of Philosophy

published_or_final_version / Economics / Doctoral / Doctor of Philosophy

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