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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Time Series Analysis of Electricity Prices : A comparative study of power markets

Walter, Erik Løkken January 2011 (has links)
During the past few decades, the power sectors of several countries have been substantially reorganized, and liberalized markets for trading of electricity have been established. In this report, evidence from six electricity markets are studied in order to identify characteristics of electricity prices. The market structures, statistical quantities, as well as long-term dependence, are investigated. Detrended fluctuation analysis and the average wavelet coefficient method are employed in order to estimate the Hurst exponent, which quantifies the presence of long-termed dependence. Since it is concluded that the price series are periodic on several time scales, all characteristics are investigated for both the original and deseasonalised versions of the time series. In particular, it is confirmed that the electricity prices are volatile, but that a considerable amount of the volatility is caused by the daily and weekly periodicities. Furthermore, the characteristic return distributions, volatility clustering and price spikes are analysed.

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