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Some applications of statistical phylogenetics : a thesis presented in partial fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Biomathematics at Massey UniversitySchliep, Klaus Peter January 2009 (has links)
The increasing availability of molecular data means that phylogenetic studies nowadays often use datasets which combine a large number of loci for many different species. This leads to a trade-off. On the one hand more complex models are preferred to account for heterogeneity in evolutionary processes. On the other hand simple models that can answer biological questions of interest that are easy to interpret and can be computed in reasonable time are favoured. This thesis focuses on four cases of phylogenetic analysis which arise from this conflict. - It is shown that edge weight estimates can be non-identifiable if the data are simulated under a mixture model. Even if the underlying process is known the estimation and interpretation may be difficult due to the high variance of the parameters of interest. - Partition models are commonly used to account for heterogeneity in data sets. Novel methods are presented here which allow grouping of genes under similar evolutionary constraints. A data set, containing 14 genes of the chloroplast from 19 anciently diverged species is used to find groups of co-evolving genes. The prospects and limitations of such methods are discussed. - Penalised likelihood estimation is a useful tool for improving the performance of models and allowing for variable selection. A novel approach is presented that uses pairwise dissimilarities to visualise the data as a network. It is further shown how penalised likelihood can be used to decrease the variance of parameter estimates for mixture and partition models, allowing a more reliable analysis. Estimates for the variance and the expected number of parameters of penalised likelihood estimates are derived. - Tree shape statistics are used to describe speciation events in macroevolution. A new tree shape statistic is introduced and the biases of different cluster methods on tree shape statistics are discussed.
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Modelling children under five mortality in South Africa using copula and frailty survival modelsMulaudzi, Tshilidzi Benedicta January 2022 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D. (Statistics)) -- University of Limpopo, 2022 / This thesis is based on application of frailty and copula models to under five
child mortality data set in South Africa. The main purpose of the study was to
apply sample splitting techniques in a survival analysis setting and compare
clustered survival models considering left truncation to the under five child
mortality data set in South Africa. The major contributions of this thesis is in
the application of the shared frailty model and a class of Archimedean copulas
in particular, Clayton-Oakes copula with completely monotone generator, and
introduction of sample splitting techniques in a survival analysis setting.
The findings based on shared frailty model show that clustering effect was sig nificant for modelling the determinants of time to death of under five children,
and revealed the importance of accounting for clustering effect. The conclusion
based on Clayton-Oakes model showed association between survival times of
children from the same mother. It was found that the parameter estimates for
the shared frailty and the Clayton-Oakes models were quite different and that
the two models cannot be comparable. Gender, province, year, birth order and
whether a child is part of twin or not were found to be significant factors affect ing under five child mortality in South Africa. / NRF-TDG
Flemish Interuniversity Council
Institutional corporation (VLIR-IUC) VLIR-IUC Programme of the University of Limpopo
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