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Impact of a Newtonian assimilation and physical initialization on the initialization and prediction in a tropical mesoscale modelUnknown Date (has links)
One of the major limitations of tropical hydrostatic mesoscale models initialized through synoptic and subsynoptic scale data and operating on a grid resolution of 20-50km is that they show limited skill in simulating the spatial and temporal distribution of precipitation despite well-predicted synoptic and subsynoptic-scale flow patterns. In general the models show a precipitation spin-up phase, however once activated, the model tends to become convectively overactive through the synoptic scale-mesoscale feedback mechanism. Our experience suggests that for the tropics where the mesoscale circulations are convectively active, the precipitation spin-up arises from the inability of the initial synoptic-scale analysis to produce dynamic, thermodynamic and moisture fields capable of supporting convection on the mesoscale. In particular, the problem lies in the wrong initial analysis of the velocity divergence and moisture fields. The overactive convection in the model arises when the model fails to initiate convection over some of the areas that are observed to precipitate, hence feeding the available moisture into the model activated regions. / It is shown in this study that this spin-up and overactive convection problem can be overcome by carrying out a dynamic Newtonian assimilation coupled with physical initialization during a preforecast integration phase of the model. In particular it is shown that the Newtonian assimilation of the rotational component of the wind and surface pressure coupled with physical initialization of surface fluxes of moisture, cumulus parameterization and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) enables the model to build the divergence and moisture fields at the required location. The cumulus initialization is done through a humidity reanalysis via a "Reverse Kuo" algorithm. The surface latent heat flux initialization is done by reanalysis of the model's lowest level humidity fields through a "Reverse similarity algorithm", and the OLR initialization is done through a humidity reanalysis at the upper levels by matching the model OLR with satellite observations. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 53-07, Section: B, page: 3543. / Major Professor: T. N. Krishnamurti. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1992.
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ON THE ONSET OF THE PLANETARY SCALE MONSOON (INDIA)Unknown Date (has links)
A hypothesis, concerning the spatial scale of the onset of the Asian southwest monsoon of the Northern Hemispheric summer, is put forth. It is implied, from the large scale climatology of the tropospheric motion and temperature fields in May and June, that the monsoon onset is characterized by radical changes in the tropical circulations on a planetary scale. A suitable framework for the quantitative definition of this phenomenon, i.e., the atmospheric energetics in the zonal wavenumber domain, is reviewed. Global tropospheric wind and temperature data for periods surrounding the Indian monsoon onset cases of 1973, 1977 and 1979 are utilized. It is found that the kinetic and available potential energy of the sum of zonal wavenumbers 1, 2 and 3 (defined as the planetary scale waves) increase by about 30 to 50% on the time scale of about 1 week, corresponding to Indian (regional) onset. This increase characterizes the planetary scale onset. From the point of view of scale interactions, the observational calculations show that the planetary scale eddies, in general, supply available potential and kinetic energy to other (zonal mean and sub-planetary) scales during the onset although there are some interesting time variations. It is concluded that additional mechanisms must play the dominant roles in the planetary scale onset. / To determine a more complete energetics for the onset using a dynamically more consistent set of atmospheric observations, an NWP experiment, for the 1979 onset case, is conducted. A global, multi-level, primitive equation spectral model containing a variety of physical effects parameterizations is described in detail. The results of a 96-hour prediction are compared to the observed circulation and rainfall patterns over the Indian Ocean region and the model is seen to reproduce the broad scale synoptic features of the onset fairly well. An analysis of the model diagnosed energetics (for the planetary scale waves) reveals that deep cumulus convection, organized on a planetary scale, is the dominant physical mechanism for the onset. This forcing is most pronounced near the southern Tibetan plateau and over Indochina. The role of this and other heat sources in the monsoon evolution is discussed. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 44-09, Section: B, page: 2786. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1983.
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ON THE GENESIS OF THE LOGNORMAL DISTRIBUTION OF CLOUD CHARACTERISTICS AND ITS APPLICATION TO CUMULUS PARAMETERIZATION (CONVECTION, APPARENT HEAT SOURCE, ENSEMBLE, PARAMETERIZATION SCHEME, GATE)Unknown Date (has links)
Radar statistics of convective elements generated in the past decade show lognormal frequency distributions of echo areas, heights and durations. An explanation for the genesis of these distributions, based on the interrelationship between cloud groups and the environment, is proposed. / A closed cumulus ensemble model that makes explicit use of the lognormal distribution function has been developed. In this model, the cloud ensemble is spectrally divided into sub-ensembles, and each of these is characterized by its cloud top pressure. The ensemble-averaged values of cloud characteristics are controlled by the large-scale environment. In return, the cloud ensemble modifies the environment through compensating subsidence, entrainment, downdrafts and lateral and final detrainments. Application of the model to the GATE (Global Atmospheric Research Program's Atlantic Tropical Experiment) data sets predicts rainfall rates and the profiles of large-scale apparent heat source and moisture sink. The results agree reasonably well with the observations under various synoptic situations. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 47-06, Section: B, page: 2476. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1986.
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RETRIEVALS OF LOWER STRATOSPHERIC OZONE PROFILES FROM NIMBUS-4 AND THEIR USE IN A SYNOPTIC-CLIMATOLOGICAL STUDY (OZONE TRANSPORT)Unknown Date (has links)
Radiation data from the Backscatter Ultraviolet (BUV) instrument on Nimbus 4, although designed for retrieval of total ozone and ozone profiles above the ozone maximum, were used in an empirical method to extrapolate ozone profiles to the lower stratosphere. Ozone data and radiation data were first decomposed into eigenvectors and associated coefficients. Since the coefficients are orthogonal to each other, they form linearly independent data sets which were regressed in a least squares manner forming a basis from which retrievals were obtained. Retrieved profiles were found to be stable and well correlated with observed profiles. / After the retrieved profiles were found to correlate with observed profiles, a year of retrieved data were analyzed to yield daily synoptic maps. A synoptic-climatological study was done using the maps, focusing on the winter of 1970-71 for the synoptic study. The climatological study encompassed the full year of analyzed maps. Comparisons were made with other studies of climatological data and numerical models, including transport mechanisms. A figure of 50 metric tons per second of vertically integrated fluxes by the eddies across a latitude circle at high latitudes during the winter corresponds to observational and numerical studies. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 47-07, Section: B, page: 2964. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1986.
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ON THE SCALE OF ATMOSPHERIC MOTIONS WITHIN MIDDLE-TROPOSPHERIC FRONTAL ZONESUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 30-05, Section: B, page: 2355. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1969.
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MECHANISMS OF STRATOSPHERIC OZONE TRANSPORTUnknown Date (has links)
Two (beta)-plane planetary wave models are used to study ozone transport in the stratosphere. In the first model, ozone transport is calculated for steady, dissipative planetary waves using the Eulerian, Lagrangian-mean, and residual circulations. A Lagrangian model of parcel dynamics is used to interpret planetary wave-photochemistry interaction. In chemically active regions the mean field ozone changes are found to be significant only where there are large gradients in chemical sources and sinks along particle trajectories. The largest changes in the mean field are found in the lower stratosphere and are due to the Lagrangian-mean advection. / In the second model, ozone transport is calculated for the combined diabatic and time dependent planetary wave circulations. Both circulations are instrumental in the formation of the polar spring ozone maximum. The diabatic circulation transports ozone into the lower stratosphere, and planetary waves transport large amounts of ozone northward during sudden and final warmings. Using the transport mechanisms revealed in these models, a scenario is deduced to explain observed large scale ozone transport phenomena. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 43-07, Section: B, page: 2243. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1982.
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RESONANCE GENERATION OF INERTIAL WAVES (IN THE ATMOSPHERE) BY DOPPLER-SHIFT OF INERTIO-GRAVITY MODESUnknown Date (has links)
200 highly accurate balloon soundings taken at 44(DEGREES)N, 1(DEGREES)W in the Southwest region of France are analysed, using the multiple filtering technique of (Dziewonski et al. 1969). / Inertio-gravity waves having periods between 6 and 17 hours, horizontal wavelengths between 800 and 1250 km and vertical wavelengths between 1200 and 1600 m are isolated from the data. A stability analysis shows that these waves are generated in the Troposphere by a mixed inertia-shear instability and propagate upwards in the Stratosphere. Evidence is presented to prove the existence of inertial waves in the atmosphere as well as the mechanism by which they are generated. / Results obtained from the data are compared to the theory and a fair agreement is found. It is also shown that flux divergence of heat and momentum within this lower range of the inertio-gravity wave spectrum is not capable of transporting momentum upwards into the Mesosphere to bring about the kind of temperature gradient and wind reversals in the context of the Holton-Matsuno theory. / The wave spectrum is found to follow a -5/3 inertial subrange slope with an energy cascade towards high wavenumbers. The universal constant (,(PROPORTIONAL)) is found to lie betwen 1.5 and 11, supporting some findings by (Lilly, 1983) who found a value of 9.8. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 45-11, Section: B, page: 3534. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1984.
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NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF HURRICANES USING RADAR AND SATELLITE-DERIVED RAINFALLUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 41-01, Section: B, page: 0236. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1979.
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A NUMERICAL STUDY OF ROTATION EFFECTS ON THE ATMOSPHERIC GENERAL CIRCULATIONUnknown Date (has links)
A RPN spectral model (Recherche en Prevision Numerique, Canada) is modified to study the effects of rotation on the general circulation of an idealized earth's atmosphere. The present model is comprised of the same description of dynamic processes as set up in the RPN model and simplified physics such as the Newtonian heating function and the vertical dissipation of momentum with constant kinematic viscosity. Except for the equilibrium temperature profile being assumed to be a function of height and latitude, all other physical parameters are taken to be constant in time and space. A 15 mode triangular truncation, 5 sigma levels, and either a 20 minute or 40 minute time increment are adopted for the model resolution. Either 100 or 200 earth rotations of time integrations are performed starting from a state of rest. Statistically steady states obtained from six experiments (for 0.3, 0.8, 1.0, 1.2, 1.5, and 2.0 times the earth rotation rate, respectively) are taken to study the system's response to different rotation rates. / The results from the model for the earth rotation case reveal several features seen in the real atmosphere. Some quantitative discrepancies include a stronger jet stream velocity, a steeper north-south temperature gradient, and a weaker but wider Hadley cell. Most of the discrepancies are due to the use of a constant relaxation coefficient which overestimates the diabatic heating in the mid-latitudes but underestimates it in the tropics. When the rotation rate is decreased, the intensities of the Hadley cell and the jet stream are increased, the intensity of the eddy processes is decreased, and the centers of the zonally symmetric fields shift to the higher latitudes. As the rotation rate is increased, smaller scale motions dominate the circulation, the intensities of the Hadley cell, the jet stream, and the eddy processes are decreased, and the location of the maxima of the zonally symmetric fields move to lower latitudes. The trend in which the characteristic scale of motion change with rotation rate agrees with the linear theory of baroclinic instability. The fundamental results of the model are that the strongest Ferrel cell and strongest eddy processes are found in the earth rotation case. These results are consistent with a weakly nonlinear theory of baroclinic waves and with observational results from rotating annulus experiments. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 42-10, Section: B, page: 4095. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1981.
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THE SUBTROPICAL JET STREAM OF WINTER SIMULATION AND SENSITIVITY STUDIESUnknown Date (has links)
A multi-level, quasi-geostrophic model was designed to study the tropics and middle latitude general circulation for the northern hemisphere winter. A coarse mesh (5(DEGREES) x 5(DEGREES)) domain covering global belt from 30(DEGREES)S to 70(DEGREES)N with three beta-planes was used. A time-independent heating, used in this study, is composed of latent heating in low latitudes and a heating derived from the mean winter motion field for middle and high latitudes. The effect of planetary scale smoothed topography was included as a lower boundary. / The initial field was derived from the mean January, 1978 data obtained from the National Meteorological Center (NMC). Simulation with real data initial state showed reasonable agreement with mean January flow field in terms of planetary scale features. Several other sensitivity experiments were carried out with zonal flow for the initial state. The main objective of designing these experiments was to assess the separate effects of topography and differential heating on global and regional scales. / Results of these experiments were evaluated within the framework of quasi-geostrophic energetics. The importance of terrain and differential heating in defining and maintaining the subtropical jet stream is demonstrated. / Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 41-11, Section: B, page: 4153. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1981.
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