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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Photovoltaic System Performance Forecasting Using LSTM Neural Networks

Hamberg, Lukas January 2021 (has links)
Deep learning has proven to be a valued contributor to recent technological advancements within energy systems. This thesis project explores methods of photovoltaic (PV) system power output forecasting through the utilization of long short-term memory (LSTM) neural networks. An encoder-decoder architecture (ED-LSTM) and a stacked vector output architecture (SVO-LSTM) were compared in terms of their ability to accurately produce power output forecasts with a 24-hour forecast horizon. The datasets which were used for model training were composed of historical meteorological observations and PV system power output readings. The results indicate that the encoder-decoder model and the stacked vector output model were somewhat equally skilled at producing power output forecasts. Best results were obtained by the encoder-decoder LSTM model which achieved a 26.63% improvement over a persistence model when trained on data sequences which preceded the forecast horizon, and a 44.96% improvement over a persistence model when the model was provided meteorological data from an oracle forecaster.

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