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Optimalizace stavebních konstrukcí s pravděpodobnostními omezeními / Optimization of building constructions with probability constraintsKokrda, Lukáš January 2015 (has links)
The diploma thesis deals with penalty approach to stochastic optimization with chance constraints which are applied to structural mechanics. The problem of optimal design of beam dimensions is modeled and solved. The uncertainty is involved in the form of random load. The corresponding mathematical model contains a condition in the form of ordinary differencial equation that is solved by finite element method. The probability condition is approximated by several types of penalty functions. The results are obtained by computations in the MATLAB software.
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Nové trendy ve stochastickém programování / New Trends in Stochastic ProgrammingSzabados, Viktor January 2017 (has links)
Stochastic methods are present in our daily lives, especially when we need to make a decision based on uncertain events. In this thesis, we present basic approaches used in stochastic tasks. In the first chapter, we define the stochastic problem and introduce basic methods and tasks which are present in the literature. In the second chapter, we present various problems which are non-linearly dependent on the probability measure. Moreover, we introduce deterministic and non-deterministic multicriteria tasks. In the third chapter, we give an insight on the concept of stochastic dominance and we describe the methods that are used in tasks with multidimensional stochastic dominance. In the fourth chapter, we capitalize on the knowledge from chapters two and three and we try to solve the role of portfolio optimization on real data using different approaches. 1
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Úlohy vícestupňového stochastického programování - dekompozice / Multistage Stochastic Programming Problems - DecompositionLapšanská, Alica January 2015 (has links)
The thesis deals with a multistage stochastic model and its application to a number of practical problems. Special attention is devoted to the case where a random element follows an autoregressive sequence and the constraint sets correspond to the individual probability constraints. For this case conditions under which is the problem well-defined are specified. Further, the approximation of the problem and its convergence rate under the empirical estimate of the distribution function is analyzed. Finally, an example of the investment in financial instruments is solved, which is defined as a two-stage stochastic programming problem with the probability constraint and a random element following an autoregressive sequence. Powered by TCPDF (www.tcpdf.org)
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Ekonomické růstové modely ve stochastickém prostředí / Economic Growth Models in Stochastic EnvironmentUhliar, Miroslav January 2017 (has links)
No description available.
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Financial risk sources and optimal strategies in jump-diffusion frameworksPrezioso, Luca 25 March 2020 (has links)
An optimal dividend problem with investment opportunities, taking into consideration a source of strategic risk is being considered, as well as the effect of market frictions on the decision process of the financial entities.
It concerns the problem of determining an optimal control of the dividend under debt constraints and investment opportunities in an economy with business cycles. It is assumed that the company is to be allowed to accept or reject investment opportunities arriving at random times with random sizes, by changing its outstanding indebtedness, which would impact its capital structure and risk profile. This work mainly focuses on the strategic risk faced by the companies; and, in particular, it focuses on the manager's problem of setting appropriate priorities to deploy the limited resources available. This component is taken into account by introducing frictions in the capital structure modification process.
The problem is formulated as a bi-dimensional singular control problem under regime switching in presence of jumps. An explicit condition is obtained in order to ensure that the value function is finite. A viscosity solution approach is used to get qualitative descriptions of the solution.
Moreover, a lending scheme for a system of interconnected banks with probabilistic constraints of failure is being considered. The problem arises from the fact that financial institutions cannot possibly carry enough capital to withstand counterparty failures or systemic risk. In such situations, the central bank or the government becomes effectively the risk manager of last resort or, in extreme cases, the lender of last resort.
If, on the one hand, the health of the whole financial system depends on government intervention, on the other hand, guaranteeing a high probability of salvage may result in increasing the moral hazard of the banks in the financial network. A closed form solution for an optimal control problem related to interbank lending schemes has been derived, subject to terminal probability constraints on the failure of banks which are interconnected through a financial network. The derived solution applies to real bank networks by obtaining a general solution when the aforementioned probability constraints are assumed for all the banks. We also present a direct method to compute the systemic relevance parameter for each bank within the network.
Finally, a possible computation technique for the Default Risk Charge under to regulatory risk measurement processes is being considered. We focus on the Default Risk Charge measure as an effective alternative to the Incremental Risk Charge one, proposing its implementation by a quasi exhaustive-heuristic algorithm to determine the minimum capital requested to a bank facing the market risk associated to portfolios based on assets emitted by several financial agents.
While most of the banks use the Monte Carlo simulation approach and the empirical quantile to estimate this risk measure, we provide new computational approaches, exhaustive or heuristic, currently becoming feasible, because of both new regulation and the high speed - low cost technology available nowadays.
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