Within the frame work of the International Water Research Alliance Saxony (IWAS), project “Middle East” a complex integrated water management system is developed and tested in the project region of Middle East (Oman and Saudi-Arabia). Hence, new solutions for a sustainable management of the scarce water resources in (semi-) arid regions are explored within IWAS in the sultanate of Oman on which this study work is carried out. Rainfall runoff models are established to estimate the “water yield” of the catchments in the project region. Modeling is a very important tool that enables hydrologists to make more comprehensive use of rainfall time series. Rainfall-runoff modeling is also useful for water resources assessment as these models can generate a long representative time series of stream flow volumes from which water supply schemes can be designed (D.A. Hughes, 1995). Therefore, this study project mainly focuses on the following main tasks such as data analysis, data processing and statistical evaluation; Model selection and model setup; Model adaptation test and verification. As part of the common modeling protocol, sensitivity analysis of a Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Toolbox (RRMT) is carried out in this study with the aim to identify sensitive model parameters. RRMT has been developed in order to produce parsimonious, lumped model structures with a high level of parameter identifiability. Such identifiability is crucial if relationships between the model parameters representing the system and catchment characteristics are to be established. RRMT is a modular framework that allows its user to implement different model structures to find a suitable balance between model performance and parameter identifiability. The study is carried out in the upper catchment part of Wadi Ma’wil (gauge near to Afi’), Batinah Region of the Sultanate of Oman. Arid and semi-arid zones are characterized by rainfall which is highly variable in space, time, quantity and duration (Noy-Meir, 1973). The Sultanate of Oman is characterized by hyper-arid (<100 mm rainfall), through the arid (100–250 mm rainfall) and semi-arid (250–500 mm rainfall) environments that are experienced in different parts of the country. Furthermore, arid areas have distinctive hydrological features substantially different from those of humid areas. The high temporal and spatial distribution of the rainfall, flash floods, absence of base flow, sparsity of plant cover, high transmission losses, high amounts of evaporation and evapotranspiration and the general climatologies are examples of such differences.:Acknowledgments i Abstract ii List of Figures and Photos v List of Tables and Plots v 1. Description of Study Area 1 1.1 General characteristics of arid regions 1 1.2 Study area (Batinah Region and Ma’awil catchment of gauge ‘Afi’) 2 1.2.1 Overview of Study area 2 1.2.2 Wadi Ma’awil and Gauge near to Afi’ 3 2. Data Processing and Evaluation 6 2.1 Rainfall data 6 2.1.1 Monthly and Annual Mean Rainfall Analyses 6 2.1.2 Estimation of Missing Precipitation Data 6 2.1.3 Annual and monthly average rainfall 6 2.2 Runoff data 9 2.2.1Rainfall-Runoff events – Processing and Analysis 9 2.2.2 Wadi Ma’awil Runoff Analysis 9 2.3 Areal Precipitation 11 2.3.1 Area 11 2.3.2 Summary of Calculated Results of Mean Annual Areal Precipitation 12 2.4 Evapotranspiration 13 2.4.1 Evaporation and Potential Evapotranspiration 13 2.4.2 Calculation of Evapotranspiration by FAO Penman-Monteith Equation 13 2.4.3 Sample Calculation for Daily ET using FAO Penman-Monteith Equation 14 2.4.4 Comparisons of Evapotranspiration Calculation Results 16 3. Rainfall-Runoff Modeling 16 3.1 Modeling approach – selection of modules 16 3.1.1 Basic Principle 16 3.1.2 Classification of models 16 3.1.3 Modeling Process 17 3.2 Rainfall-Runoff Modeling Toolbox 19 3.2.1 Introduction 19 3.2.2 Data Needs and Model Structure 20 3.3 Provision of input data 20 3.4 Calibration and Validation 20 3.4.1 Model Calibration and Validation 21 3.5 Sensitivity Analysis 22 3.6 Discussions of Results 23 3.6.1 Optimization Modules 23 3.6.2 Soil Moisture Accounting (SMA) Modules 24 3.6.3 Routing (R) Modules 25 3.6.4 The objective functions 26 3.6.5 Visualization Modules Results 27 3.7 Conclusions and Recommendations 35 3.7.1 Conclusions 35 3.7.2 Limitations and Recommendations 35 References 37 Appendix 38 Appendix A: Daily extraterrestrial radiation (Ra) for different latitudes for the 15th day of the month 38 Appendix B: Mean daylight hours (N) for different latitudes for the 15th of the month 38 Annexes 39 Annex - A: Mean Rainfall for the Gauge Afi’ from 1995 – 2005 39 Annex A-1: Annual Mean Rainfall for Gauge Afi’ for the time period 1995-2005 39 Annex A-2: Monthly Mean Rainfall for Gauge Afi’ for the time period 1995-2005 39 Annex A-3: Monthly Mean Rainfall for each Rain Gauge within the Wadi Ma’awil Catchment area for the time period 1995-2005 40 Annex - B: Rainfall - Runoff events for the Gauge Afi’ 41 Annex B-1: Annual Rainfall Vs Runoff events for the Gauge Afi’ from 1995 – 2005 42 Annex B-2: Monthly Rainfall Vs Runoff events for the Gauge Afi’ from 1995 – 2005 44 Annex B-3: Daily Rainfall Vs Runoff events for the Gauge Afi’ sample graphs with the time period from 1995to 2005 46