Submitted by Renata Lopes (renatasil82@gmail.com) on 2017-04-25T13:40:30Z No. of bitstreams: 1 marcosviniciusteixeira.pdf: 5877294 bytes, checksum: 8fe056549285d49782c2d9ec8e16f786 (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Adriana Oliveira (adriana.oliveira@ufjf.edu.br) on 2017-04-25T15:26:43Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 1 marcosviniciusteixeira.pdf: 5877294 bytes, checksum: 8fe056549285d49782c2d9ec8e16f786 (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2017-04-25T15:26:43Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 marcosviniciusteixeira.pdf: 5877294 bytes, checksum: 8fe056549285d49782c2d9ec8e16f786 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2015-08-21 / CAPES - Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior / Este trabalho tem como objetivo o estudo de técnicas para a estimação da amplitude de sinais no calorímetro de telhas (TileCal) do ATLAS no LHC em cenários de alta luminosidade. Em alta luminosidade, sinais provenientes de colisões adjacentes são observados, ocasionando o efeito de empilhamento de sinais. Neste ambiente, o método COF (do inglês, Constrained Optimal Filter), apresenta desempenho superior ao algoritmo atualmente implementado no sistema. Entretanto, o COF requer a inversão de matrizes para o cálculo da pseudo-inversa de uma matriz de convolução, dificultando sua implementação online. Para evitar a inversão de matrizes, este trabalho apresenta métodos interativos, para a daptação do COF, que resultam em operações matemáticas simples. Baseados no Gradiente Descendente, os resultados demonstraram que os algoritmos são capazes de estimar a amplitude de sinais empilhados, além do sinal de interesse com eficiência similar ao COF. Visando a implementação online, este trabalho apresenta estudos sobre a complexidade dos métodos iterativos e propõe uma arquitetura de processamento em FPGA. Baseado em uma estrutura sequencial e utilizando lógica aritmética em ponto fixo, os resultados demonstraram que a arquitetura desenvolvida é capaz executar o método iterativo, atendendo os requisitos de tempo de processamento exigidos no TileCal. / This work aims at the study of techniques for online energy estimation in the ATLAS hadronic Calorimeter (TileCal) on the LHC collider. During further periods of the LHC operation, signals coming from adjacent collisions will be observed within the same window, producing a signal superposition. In this environment, the energy reconstruction method COF (Constrained Optimal Filter) outperforms the algorithm currently implemented in the system. However , the COF method requires an inversion of matrices and its online implementation is not feasible. To avoid such inversion of matrices, this work presents iteractive methods to implement the COF, resulting in simple mathematical operations. Based on the Gradient Descent, the results demonstrate that the algorithms are capable of estimating the amplitude of the superimposed signals with efficiency similar to COF. In addition, a processing architecture for FPGA implementation is proposed. The analysis has shown that the algorithms can be implemented in the new TilaCal electronics, reaching the processing time requirements.

The thesis provides a comparison of different portfolio models and tests their performance on the financial markets. Our analysis particularly focuses on comparison of the classical Markowitz modern portfolio theory and the downside risk models of the post-modern portfolio theory. In addition, we consider some alternative portfolio models ending with total eleven models that we test. If the performance of different portfolio models should be evaluated and compared correctly, we must use a measure that is unbiased to any portfolio theory. We suggest solving this issue via a new approach based on the utility theory and utility functions. We introduce the unbiased method for evaluation of the portfolio model performance using the expected utility efficient frontier. We use the asymmetric behavioural utility function to capture the behaviour of the real market investors. The Markowitz model is the leading market practice. We investigate whether there are any circumstances in which some other models might provide better performance than the Markowitz model. Our research is for three reasons unique. First, it provides a comprehensive comparison of broad classes of different portfolio models. Second, we focus on the developed markets in United States and Germany but also on the local emerging markets in Czech Republic and Poland. These local markets have never been tested in such extent before. Third, the empirical testing is based on the broad data set from 2003 to 2012 which enable us to test how different portfolio model perform in different macroeconomic conditions.

Objective: Efficient identification and referral to behavioral services are crucial in addressing early-onset disruptive behavior problems. Existing screening instruments for preschoolers are not ideal for pediatric primary care settings serving diverse populations. Eighteen candidate items for a new brief screening instrument were examined to identify those exhibiting measurement bias (i.e., differential item functioning, DIF) by child characteristics. Method: Parents/guardians of preschool-aged children (N = 900) from four primary care settings completed two full-length behavioral rating scales. Items measuring disruptive behavior problems were tested for DIF by child race, sex, and socioeconomic status using two approaches: item response theory-based likelihood ratio tests and ordinal logistic regression. Results: Of 18 items, eight were identified with statistically significant DIF by at least one method. Conclusions: The bias observed in 8 of 18 items made them undesirable for screening diverse populations of children. These items were excluded from the new brief screening tool.

This thesis provides insights into the creation of a model for predicting odds in the Premier League. It illustrates how the ELO system and historical odds, in combination with Monte Carlo simulations, can be implemented through logistic regression to predict odds in an unbiased way. The findings are that the model performs generally well, but significantly worse at the beginning and end of the Premier League seasons. For further improvements, it is most likely necessary to factor in variables not available in the current model. Such factors could for example be incentives, injuries, or changes in the squad, all not being accounted for by the model in this case. / Detta examensarbete ger insikter om skapandet av en modell för att förutsäga oddsen i Premier League. Den visar hur ELO-systemet och historiska odds, i kombination med Monte Carlo-simuleringar, kan implementeras genom logistisk regression för att förutsäga oddsen på ett opartiskt sätt. Resultaten visar att modellen generellt sett fungerar bra, men betydligt sämre i början och slutet av Premier League-säsongerna. För ytterligare förbättringar är det troligtvis nödvändigt att ta hänsyn till variabler som inte är tillgängliga i den nuvarande modellen. Sådana faktorer kan till exempel vara incitament, skador eller förändringar i truppen, som alla inte tas hänsyn till i modellen i detta fall.

Multicultural education is only one of the major changes since the inception of the new democracy in South Africa. However, this inevitable change has resulted in many challenges for educators and educational institutions in the Isipingo District, KwaZulu Natal (KZN). One of the primary responsibilities of a teacher is to manage diversity. The research addressed here focused on challenges experienced by Grade R teachers to create and maintain an unbiased classroom environment for Grade R learners in the Isipingo District, (KZN). A literature review regarding unbiased classroom environments for Grade R learners as well as an empirical investigation using a qualitative approach was conducted. A semi-structured focus group interview and a follow-up focus group interview with Grade R teachers from 3 different public multicultural primary schools were used for data gathering. The findings indicated that Grade R teachers lack the knowledge, skills and attitudes required to enhance unbiased classroom environments. The results of the investigation also indicated that teachers require effective training to help them cope with creating and managing unbiased classroom environments. / Teacher Education / M.Ed. (Specialisation in Early Childhood Development)

We explore the applicability of local polynomial approximation of signals for noise suppression. In the context of data regression, Savitzky and Golay showed that least-squares approximation of data with a polynomial of fixed order, together with a constant window length, is identical to convolution with a finite impulse response filter, whose characteristics depend entirely on two parameters, namely, the order and window length. Schafer’s recent article in IEEE Signal Processing Magazine provides a detailed account of one-dimensional Savitzky-Golay (SG) filters. Drawing motivation from this idea, we present an elaborate study of two-dimensional SG filters and employ them for image denoising by optimizing the filter response to minimize the mean-squared error (MSE) between the original image and the filtered output. The key contribution of this thesis is a method for optimal selection of order and window length of SG filters for denoising images. First, we apply the denoising technique for images contaminated by additive Gaussian noise. Owing to the absence of ground truth in practice, direct minimization of the MSE is infeasible. However, the classical work of C. Stein provides a statistical method to overcome the hurdle. Based on Stein’s lemma, an estimate of the MSE, namely Stein’s unbiased risk estimator (SURE), is derived, and the two critical parameters of the filter are optimized to minimize the cost. The performance of the technique improves when a regularization term, which penalizes fast variations in the estimate, is added to the optimization cost. In the next three chapters, we focus on non-Gaussian noise models. In Chapter 3, image degradation in the presence of a compound noise model, where images are corrupted by mixed Poisson-Gaussian noise, is addressed. Inspired by Hudson’s identity, an estimate of MSE, namely Poisson unbiased risk estimator (PURE), which is analogous to SURE, is developed. Combining both lemmas, Poisson-Gaussian unbiased risk estimator (PGURE) minimization is performed to obtain the optimal filter parameters. We also show that SG filtering provides better lowpass approximation for a multiresolution denoising framework. In Chapter 4, we employ SG filters for reducing multiplicative noise in images. The standard SG filter frequency response can be controlled along horizontal or vertical directions. This limits its ability to capture oriented features and texture that lie at other angles. Here, we introduce the idea of steering the SG filter kernel and perform mean-squared error minimization based on the new concept of multiplicative noise unbiased risk estimation (MURE). Finally, we propose a method to robustify SG filters, robustness to deviation from Gaussian noise statistics. SG filters work on the principle of least-squares error minimization, and are hence compatible with maximum-likelihood (ML) estimation in the context of Gaussian statistics. However, for heavily-tailed noise such as the Laplacian, where ML estimation requires mean-absolute error minimization in lieu of MSE minimization, standard SG filter performance deteriorates. `1 minimization is a challenge since there is no closed-form solution. We solve the problem by inducing the `1-norm criterion using the iteratively reweighted least-squares (IRLS) method. At every iteration, we solve an l`2 problem, which is equivalent to optimizing a weighted SG filter, but, as iterations progress, the solution converges to that corresponding to `1 minimization. The results thus obtained are superior to those obtained using the standard SG filter.

Multicultural education is only one of the major changes since the inception of the new democracy in South Africa. However, this inevitable change has resulted in many challenges for educators and educational institutions in the Isipingo District, KwaZulu Natal (KZN). One of the primary responsibilities of a teacher is to manage diversity. The research addressed here focused on challenges experienced by Grade R teachers to create and maintain an unbiased classroom environment for Grade R learners in the Isipingo District, (KZN). A literature review regarding unbiased classroom environments for Grade R learners as well as an empirical investigation using a qualitative approach was conducted. A semi-structured focus group interview and a follow-up focus group interview with Grade R teachers from 3 different public multicultural primary schools were used for data gathering. The findings indicated that Grade R teachers lack the knowledge, skills and attitudes required to enhance unbiased classroom environments. The results of the investigation also indicated that teachers require effective training to help them cope with creating and managing unbiased classroom environments. / Teacher Education / M.Ed. (Specialisation in Early Childhood Development)

<p>In recent years, two estimators have been proposed to correct the bias exhibited by the leastsquares (LS) estimator of the lagged dependent variable (LDV) coefficient in dynamic regression models when the sample is finite. They have been termed as &lsquo / mean-unbiased&rsquo / and &lsquo / medianunbiased&rsquo / estimators. Relative to other similar procedures in the literature, the two locationbased estimators have the advantage that they offer an exact and uniform methodology for LS estimation of the LDV coefficient in a first order autoregressive model with or without exogenous regressors i.e. ARX(1).</p> <p><br /> However, no attempt has been made to accurately establish and/or compare the statistical properties among these estimators, or relative to those of the LS estimator when the LDV coefficient is restricted to realistic values. Neither has there been an attempt to&nbsp / compare their performance in terms of their mean squared error (MSE) when various forms of the exogenous regressors are considered. Furthermore, only implicit confidence intervals have been given for the &lsquo / medianunbiased&rsquo / estimator. Explicit confidence bounds that are directly usable for inference are not available for either estimator. In this study a new estimator of the LDV coefficient is proposed / the &lsquo / most-probably-unbiased&rsquo / estimator. Its performance properties vis-a-vis the existing estimators are determined and compared when the parameter space of the LDV coefficient is restricted. In addition, the following new results are established: (1) an explicit computable form for the density of the LS estimator is derived for the first time and an efficient method for its numerical evaluation is proposed / (2) the exact bias, mean, median and mode of the distribution of the LS estimator are determined in three specifications of the ARX(1) model / (3) the exact variance and MSE of LS estimator is determined / (4) the standard error associated with the determination of same quantities when simulation rather than numerical integration method is used are established and the methods are compared in terms of computational time and effort / (5) an exact method of evaluating the density of the three estimators is described / (6) their exact bias, mean, variance and MSE are determined and analysed / and finally, (7) a method of obtaining the explicit exact confidence intervals from the distribution functions of the estimators is proposed.</p> <p><br /> The discussion and results show that the estimators are still biased in the usual sense: &lsquo / in expectation&rsquo / . However the bias is substantially reduced compared to that of the LS estimator. The findings are important in the specification of time-series regression models, point and interval estimation, decision theory, and simulation.</p>

Les fichiers qui accompagnent mon document ont été réalisés avec le logiciel Latex et les simulations ont été réalisés par Splus(R). / Dans ce mémoire, nous travaillons sur une méthode de simulation de Monte-Carlo qui utilise des variables antithétiques pour estimer un intégrale de la fonction f(x) sur un intervalle (0,1] où f peut être une fonction monotone, non-monotone ou une autre fonction difficile à simuler. L'idée principale de la méthode qu'on propose est de subdiviser l'intervalle (0,1] en m sections dont chacune est subdivisée en l sous intervalles. Cette technique se fait en plusieurs étapes et à chaque fois qu'on passe à l'étape supérieure la variance diminue. C'est à dire que la variance obtenue à la kième étape est plus petite que celle trouvée à la (k-1)ième étape ce qui nous permet également de rendre plus petite l'erreur d’estimation car l'estimateur de l'intégrale de f(x) sur [0,1] est sans biais. L'objectif est de trouver m, le nombre optimal de sections, qui permet de trouver cette diminution de la variance. / In this master thesis, we consider simulation methods based on antithetic variates for estimate integrales of f(x) on interval (0,1] where f is monotonic function, not a monotonic function or a function difficult to integrate. The main idea consists in subdividing the (0,1] in m sections of which each one is subdivided in l subintervals. This method is done recursively. At each step the variance decreases, i.e. The variance obtained at the kth step is smaller than that is found at the (k-1)th step. This allows us to reduce the error in the estimation because the estimator of integrales of f(x) on interval [0,1] is unbiased. The objective is to optimize m.

La thèse étudie la dynamique et la persistance de l’inflation dans les pays en développement, particulièrement ceux des pays de la Zone UEMOA, en mettant en exergue les spécificités de ces économies. Le premier chapitre, consacré à l’évaluation de la persistance, révèle que le degré de persistance de l'inflation est faible dans ces pays, ce qui constitue un atout pour les autorités monétaires. Dans le chapitre 2, il a été défini un cadre théorique plus approprié à l’analyse de la persistance de l’inflation dans les pays de la sous-région. L’approche a permis de montrer que le degré de persistance de l’inflation dans ces pays ne dépendait pas uniquement des politiques monétaire et de change, mais aussi négativement du poids du secteur vivrier local dans l’économie. Dans le chapitre 3, la thèse analyse les écarts d’inflation dans les pays membres de l’UEMOA, en examinant la β-convergence des différentiels d'inflation. Les estimations révèlent que, d’une part, les écarts d’inflation se sont fortement réduits à l’intérieur de l'Union et que, d’autre part, ils restent fortement persistants avec la zone Euro. Le chapitre 4 est consacré à l’évaluation du rôle des différents facteurs et utilise ensuite une spécification spatiale en panel, pour tester les effets de contagion entre pays. Les estimations indiquent une prédominance des facteurs globaux et des effets de contagion entre pays dont l'ampleur dépend du poids des exportations de chaque pays vers les autres pays de la sous région. / This thesis examines the inflation dynamics and persistence in developing countries, especially in the UEMOA zone, highlighting the specificities of these economies. The first chapter, reveals that the inflation persistence degree, in these countries, is low which represents an asset to the monetary authorities. In Chapter 2, it was defined a more appropriate theoretical framework to analyze the inflation persistence in the countries of the sub-region. The approach allowed to demonstrate that the inflation persistence degree in these countries is not only dependent on monetary and exchange rate policies, but also negatively to the weight of local food sector in the economy. Chapter 3, analyzes the inflation differentials in the UEMOA member countries, by examining the β - convergence of inflation differentials. Estimations show that the inflation differentials are greatly reduced within the Union and they are highly persistent with the Euro zone. Chapter 4, is devoted to assessing the role of various factors and then uses a spatial panel specification to test the spillover effect between countries. Estimations indicate a predominance of global factors and contagion between countries whose magnitude depends on the weight of exports to other countries in the sub-region.