台灣近年來發生許多土流災害，導致許多傷亡與損失，而行政單位在救災時，卻忽略了土石流潛勢地區民眾的疏散避難決策需求，尤其是行動弱勢族群。本研究透過問卷調查與訪談的方式，針對三處土石流潛勢地區之一般家戶行動弱勢族群以及全省十個土石流潛勢溪流較多縣市之社福機構行動弱勢族群，瞭解其對於土石流災害的認知情形以及疏散避難之決策行為特性，並以二元羅吉斯特迴歸方法，建立疏散避難的決策行為模式，協助行政單位瞭解其疏散避難之需求與決策行為，設計更完善之疏散避難計畫。
在與美國Lili颶風案例進行分析比較後，發現一般家戶與社福機構之行動弱勢族群最相信的資訊來源都是行政單位的宣導，Lili颶風案例則是地方平面媒體的報導，而三方最不相信的都是網際網路。在疏散避難的決策行為模式方面，發現「獨居」對於一般家戶行動弱勢族群是否需要協助，有非常顯著的影響，表示獨居的行動弱勢者在避難時非常需要他人的協助。而「前往其他地區同性質的機構避難」對於社福機構行動弱勢族群避難過程所需長短，有非常顯著的影響，並會增加整個避難所需的時間。 / Debris flows cause a lot of injuries, deaths and property losing in recent years in Taiwan. When the government was providing disaster relief, it lacked for paying attention to the real evacuation behavior and perception of vulnerable area, especially the disable groups. This study conducted a questionnaire survey for two disable groups to understand their disaster perception and evacuation decision-making behavior. One disable group is living in general households in three debris flow vulnerable townships; another is living in social welfare organization in ten debris flow vulnerable counties. A decision model was built by using Binary logistic to estimate the evacuation decision-making behavior. Research result can be contributed to evacuation planning and policy implementation.
Comparing with the evacuation behavior case of hurricane Lili in U.S.A, This study finds that the most reliable channel of evacuation information for two disable groups in Taiwan are from governmental authorities, but for the case of hurricane Lili is from local news media. No matter the case in Taiwan or in U.S.A, the most unreliable channel of evacuation information is from internet. Research result by evacuation decision-making behavior model, “living alone” is an outstanding factor that disable group who live in general households need help or not when they’re evacuating. It shows that people who live alone need others' help very much while taking refuge. “Evacuating to the other organizations in the other area” is an outstanding factor that disable group who live in social welfare organizations need longer time to evacuate. It shows that if organization evacuate to the other organizations in the other area, they will raise the total evacuation time.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0094257011 |
| Creators | 秦立林, Chin,li-lin |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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