In the study, Cross-Domain analysis is used for ¡§Factual judgement, Value judgement and Interpersonal judgement.¡¨ The result of Factual judgement is made by the interviews of seven retired officers, scholars and experts. And it proceeds as ¡§true¡¨ judgement. Value judgement is indicated by in-depth intervuews with 3 representatives to obtain the ¡§good¡¨ judgement. Interpersonal judgement is based on overall strategies of the ¡§interactive management research group¡¨ and combines it with the perpectives of all patrties, as individuals and as groups, to conclude the ¡§beautiful¡¨ judgement. All the judgements are correspomded to the analysis of the analysis of the constitution, cognitive and conditions of the research topics.
In order to have effective controls of all judgement factors, the interview topics are designed from the study of Mainland China1978 reform, and the rapid economic development, the double digit military spending, and the discussion of ¡§China threat theory¡¨, and the discussion by both sides leaders, academia to establish ¡§Military Confidence Building Measures (MCBMs)¡¨ in the PAM Framemork. The 10 steps of Cross-Domain analysis are used to clarify all studied objects and factors in order to obtain the recognition of experts. The practical policy suggestions are expected.
Under PAM Framework, factual judgement perspective, majority of scholars and retired officers agree the necessary to establish ¡§Military Confidence Building Measures (MCBMs)¡¨. However due to the lack of political trust, time is not yet ripe. Retired officers suggest communication through media may solve the obstacles that impacted by the political environment in southern regions. Scholars have proposed that the southern people are affected by their own political inclinaitions, as well as the idea of their supported parties. From non-government exchange to government exchange, the recognition by people can be achieved by understanding the cultural difference and proceed to political and military trust.
In vaule judgement, representatives realized the topic is involved in cross-strait relationship, political and military aspect and the uncertainty of policy. Therefore, they all took a more conservative point of view. However, they all agree that MCBMs should be based on the removal of missiles, and follow by the current policy ¡§economy first, political after¡¨ to establish non-government exchange. Due to state of hostility, it is recommended to start from oversea activities such as sea rescue and anti-piracy project. Work from political trust toward military trust.
In interpersonal judgemant, a NGT and ISM two stages seminar is held by the ¡§interactive management research group¡¨. The participants voted through a weighted method to conclude 12 specific strategies to establish MCBMs. The strategies are summarized as follow:
1. Removed the missile targeting Taiwan from Mainland China to show the premise of MCBMs.
2. Provide National defense information for each party, to promote cross-strait arms information transparence, and eliminate ideological confrontation.
3. The establishment of cross-strait joint rescue mechanism.
4. The establishment of hotline for leader on both side.
5. The establishment of regular exchange visits of high level military decision makers on both sides.
6. The establishment of cross-strait military information interaction and communication platform.
7. The establishment of oversight system for MCBMs, such as supervised NGO consists of globally well-known and remarkable Cninese accepted by both sides.
8. From civil to government organization to held cross-strait military academic exchange and conference.
9. Showing grace by military budget and arm reduction.
10. Clarify the content of MCBMs. Develop cross-strait affairs negotiators.
11. Signing peace treaty to end hostile confrontation.
12.A nuclear, chemical and biological regulation treaty signed by both sides.
In short, use the cross-domain analysis result to study the possibilities and challenges that might happen during the establishment of MCBMs. The following 5 recommendations can be used for future policy execution reference:
1. Strengthen the policy advocacy, public forums and policy discussion to enhance citizens¡¦ identity.
2. Strengthen cross-strait economic and cultural exchanges to relieve hostile condition.
3. Use ¡§1992 Consensus¡¨ as framework to establish political mutual trust.
4. Establish communication platform to eliminate speculations on both sides.
5. Deepen collaborative platform and signed a peace treaty.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:NSYSU/oai:NSYSU:etd-0824112-083937 |
| Date | 24 August 2012 |
| Creators | Kang, Chia-Hao |
| Contributors | Jian-De Wu, Bo-Wen Zheng, Wen-cheng Lin, I-ming Liao, Ming-Shieng Wang, Zai-Chun Wen |
| Publisher | NSYSU |
| Source Sets | NSYSU Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Archive |
| Language | Cholon |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | http://etd.lib.nsysu.edu.tw/ETD-db/ETD-search/view_etd?URN=etd-0824112-083937 |
| Rights | user_define, Copyright information available at source archive |
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