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Prediktion av konkurser och betalningssvårigheter : En jämförande studie mellan marknads- och bokslut-baserade konkurs modeller

The purpose is to examine the predictability of Byström's market-based model on the Swedish market and compare it with the classic accounting-based Ohlson's logical model. The study uses a quantitative method for gathering data and the results from the models were analyzed by using the CAP-curve and AR to be able to compare the accuracy of the two different models. Type 1 and Type 2 errors have been defined as two categorization measures to distinguish two types of errors that the models can exhibit. The result showed that both Byström and Ohlson's calculated high degree of Type 1 error and a few of Type 2 errors. In comparison with each other, Byström's market-based model have a better accuracy than Ohlson's model according toCAP-curve. If the models applied in more than 1 year before the bankruptcy, both models shows a result that is not reliable with a low accuracy.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:UPSALLA1/oai:DiVA.org:sh-37478
Date January 2018
CreatorsEnkulla, Linus, Nasradin, Yasmin
PublisherSödertörns högskola, Institutionen för samhällsvetenskaper, Södertörns högskola, Institutionen för samhällsvetenskaper
Source SetsDiVA Archive at Upsalla University
LanguageSwedish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeStudent thesis, info:eu-repo/semantics/bachelorThesis, text
Formatapplication/pdf
Rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

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