The first part analyzes an Endogenous Business Cycle model with embodied technological change. Households take an optimal decision about their spending for consumption and financing of R&D. The probability of a technology invention occurring is an increasing function of aggregate R&D expenditure in the whole economy. New technologies bring higher productivity, but rather than applying to the whole capital stock, they require a new vintage of capital, which first has to be accumulated before the productivity gain can be realized. The model offers some valuable features: Firstly, the response of output following a technology shock is very gradual; there are no jumps. Secondly, R&D is an ongoing activity; there are no distinct phases of research and production. Thirdly, R&D expenditure is pro-cyclical and the real interest rate is counter-cyclical. Finally, long-run growth is without scale effects. The second part analyzes a RBC model in continuous time featuring deterministic incremental development of technology and stochastic fundamental inventions arriving according to a Poisson process. In a special case an analytical solution is presented. In the general case a delay differential equation (DDE) has to be solved. Standard numerical solution methods fail, because the steady state is path dependent. A new solution method is presented which is based on a modified method of steps for DDEs. It provides not only approximations but also upper and lower bounds for optimal consumption path and steady state. Furthermore, analytical expressions for the long-term equilibrium distributions of the stationary variables of the model are presented. The distributions can be described as extended Beta distributions. This is deduced from a methodical result about a delay extension of the Pearson system.
Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:DRESDEN/oai:qucosa:de:qucosa:24392 |
Date | 28 May 2004 |
Creators | Schlegel, Christoph |
Contributors | Wälde, Klaus, Karmann, Alexander, Bretschger, Lucas |
Publisher | Technische Universität Dresden |
Source Sets | Hochschulschriftenserver (HSSS) der SLUB Dresden |
Language | English |
Detected Language | English |
Type | doc-type:doctoralThesis, info:eu-repo/semantics/doctoralThesis, doc-type:Text |
Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
Page generated in 0.0025 seconds