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Reconstructing Historical Earthquake-Induced Tsunamis: Case Study of 1820 Event Near South Sulawesi, Indonesia

We build on the method introduced by Ringer, et al., applying it to an 1820 event that happened near South Sulawesi, Indonesia. We utilize other statistical models to aid our Metropolis-Hastings sampler, including a Gaussian process which informs the prior. We apply the method to multiple possible fault zones to determine which fault is the most likely source of the earthquake and tsunami. After collecting nearly 80,000 samples, we find that between the two most likely fault zones, the Walanae fault zone matches the anecdotal accounts much better than Flores. However, to support the anecdotal data, both samplers tend toward powerful earthquakes that may not be supported by the faults in question. This indicates that even further research is warranted. It may indicate that some other type of event took place, such as a multiple-fault rupture or landslide tsunami.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:BGMYU2/oai:scholarsarchive.byu.edu:etd-11020
Date13 July 2022
CreatorsPaskett, Taylor Jole
PublisherBYU ScholarsArchive
Source SetsBrigham Young University
Detected LanguageEnglish
Typetext
Formatapplication/pdf
SourceTheses and Dissertations
Rightshttps://lib.byu.edu/about/copyright/

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