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Geo-physical parameter forecasting on imagery{based data sets using machine learning techniques

>Magister Scientiae - MSc / This research objectively investigates the e ectiveness of machine learning (ML) tools
towards predicting several geo-physical parameters. This is based on a large number
of studies that have reported high levels of prediction success using ML in the eld.
Therefore, several widely used ML tools coupled with a number of di erent feature sets
are used to predict six geophysical parameters namely rainfall, groundwater, evapora-
tion, humidity, temperature, and wind. The results of the research indicate that: a)
a large number of related studies in the eld are prone to speci c pitfalls that lead to
over-estimated results in favour of ML tools; b) the use of gaussian mixture models as
global features can provide a higher accuracy compared to other local feature sets; c)
ML never outperform simple statistically-based estimators on highly-seasonal parame-
ters, and providing error bars is key to objectively evaluating the relative performance
of the ML tools used; and d) ML tools can be e ective for parameters that are slow-
changing such as groundwater.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:netd.ac.za/oai:union.ndltd.org:uwc/oai:etd.uwc.ac.za:11394/8976
Date January 2021
CreatorsHussein, Eslam
ContributorsGhaziasgar, Mehrdad
PublisherUniversity of Western Cape
Source SetsSouth African National ETD Portal
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
Formatapplication/pdf
RightsUniversity of Western Cape

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