A company, Unanimous AI, has created a software platform that allows individuals to come together as a group or a human swarm to make decisions. These human swarms amplify the decision-making capabilities of both the individuals and the group. One way Unanimous AI increases the swarm’s collective decision-making capabilities is by limiting the swarm to more informed individuals on the given topic. The previous way Unanimous AI selected users to enter the swarm was improved upon by a new methodology that is detailed in this study. This new methodology implements a new type of survey that collects data that is more indicative of a user’s knowledge on the subject than the previous survey. This study also identifies better metrics for predicting each user’s performance when predicting Major League Baseball game outcomes throughout a given week. This study demonstrates that the new machine learning models and data extraction schemes are approximately 12% more accurate than the currently implemented methods at predicting user performance. Finally, this study shows how predicting a user’s performance based purely on their inputs can increase the average performance of a group by limiting the group to the top predicted performers. This study shows that by limiting the group to the top predicted performers across five different weeks of MLB predictions, the average group performance was increased up to 5.5%, making this a superior method.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CALPOLY/oai:digitalcommons.calpoly.edu:theses-3163 |
| Date | 01 May 2018 |
| Creators | Jackson, John Taylor |
| Publisher | DigitalCommons@CalPoly |
| Source Sets | California Polytechnic State University |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | Master's Theses |
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