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Previous issue date: 2014-09-29 / Coordena??o de Aperfei?oamento de Pessoal de N?vel Superior - CAPES / A contabilidade do crescimento pelo lado da demanda estuda como s?o atribu?das as
contribui??es dos componentes da demanda agregada no Produto Interno Bruto (PIB) de um
pa?s. Tradicionalmente, os organismos internacionais e nacionais utilizam o m?todo tradicional
para calcular tais contribui??es. Entretanto, esse m?todo n?o leva em considera??o o efeito da
indu??o das importa??es pelos diversos componentes da demanda agregada. Como alternativa
a esse m?todo s?o apresentados outros que buscam considerar esse efeito: alternativo, proposto
pot Lara (2013), da atribui??o, presente em Kranendonk e Verbruggen (2005) e Hoekstra e van
der Helm (2010), e o m?todo do supermultiplicador sraffiano, de Freitas e Dweck (2013). ?
realizada uma s?ntese desses m?todos, demonstrando as converg?ncias e diverg?ncias entre
eles. Al?m disso, como objetivo de contribuir para a tem?tica ? desenvolvido o m?todo da
distribui??o, que tem como objetivo distribuir as importa??es para os diversos componentes da
demanda agregada, atrav?s das informa??es dispostas nas matrizes insumo-produto e Tabelas
de Recursos e Usos. A partir desse m?todo s?o contabilizadas as contribui??es ao crescimento
dos agregados macroecon?micos para o Brasil de 2001 a 2009. Al?m disso, ? realizada uma
compara??o com o m?todo tradicional, compreendendo as raz?es das diferen?as nas
contribui??es. Posteriormente foram realizadas compara??es entre as contribui??es da demanda
agregada e dos setores dom?stico e externo calculadas para diversos m?todos. Foi verificado
que os m?todos existentes na literatura n?o s?o suficientes para tratar da desagrega??o das
importa??es, e dadas as alternativas de contribui??o para o crescimento apresentado ao longo
deste trabalho, acredita-se que o m?todo de distribui??o fornece as melhores estimativas para a
contabiliza??o das contribui??es pelo lado da demanda agregada. Em particular, a principal
vantagem desse m?todo em rela??o aos outros ? a reparti??o da contribui??o das importa??es
nos componente da demanda agregada, o que permite a an?lise da contribui??o de cada
componente para o crescimento do PIB. Dessa forma, este tipo de an?lise ajuda a estudar o
padr?o de crescimento da economia brasileira, n?o apenas do ponto de vista te?rico, mas
tamb?m emp?rico e base para a decis?o de pol?tica econ?mica / The demand side growth accounting studies the demand aggregate component contributions in
the Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Traditionally, international and national organizations that
uses the traditional method for calculating such contributions. However, this method does not
take into account the effect the induction of imports by the various components of aggregate
demand on the calculation of these. As an alternative to this method are presented others studies
that consider this effect, as the alternative method proposed by Lara (2013), the attribution
method, proposed by Kranendonk and Verbruggen (2005) and Hoekstra and van der Helm
(2010), and the method the sraffian supermultiplier, by Freitas and Dweck (2013). Was made a
summary of these methods, demonstrating the similarities and differences between them. Also,
in the aim to contribute to the study of the subject was developed the ?method of distribution
of imports? that aims to distribute imports for the various components of aggregate demand,
through the information set forth in the input-output matrices and tables of resources and uses.
Were accounted the contributions to the growth of macroeconomic aggregates for Brazil from
2001 to 2009 using the method of distribution, and realized comparison with the traditional
method, understanding the reasons for the differences in contributions. Later was done
comparisons with all the methods presented in this work, between the calculated contributions
to the growth of the components of aggregate demand and the domestic and external sectors.
Was verified that the methods that exist in the literature was not enough to deal with this
question, and given the alternatives for contributions to the growth presented throughout this
work, it is believed that the method of distribution provides the best estimates for the account
of contributions by aggregate demand sector. In particular, the main advantage of this method
to the others is the breakdown of the contribution of imports, separated by aggregate demand
component, which allows the analysis of contribution of each component to GDP growth. Thus,
this type of analysis helps to study the pattern of growth of the Brazilian economy, not just the
theoretical point of view, but also empirical and basis for the decision to economic policies
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:IBICT/oai:repositorio.ufrn.br:123456789/19552 |
| Date | 29 September 2014 |
| Creators | Passoni, Patieene Alves |
| Contributors | 15842948842, http://lattes.cnpq.br/6259328336633690, Leite, Fabr?cio Pitombo, 79339328515, http://lattes.cnpq.br/7810747556176381, Dweck, Esther, 07452520793, http://lattes.cnpq.br/1323386172917267, Cavalcanti Filho, Paulo Fernando de Moura Bezerra, 49355244487, http://lattes.cnpq.br/0990473085006948, Louren?o, Andr? Luis Cabral de |
| Publisher | Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, PROGRAMA DE P?S-GRADUA??O EM ECONOMIA, UFRN, Brasil |
| Source Sets | IBICT Brazilian ETDs |
| Language | Portuguese |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion, info:eu-repo/semantics/masterThesis |
| Source | reponame:Repositório Institucional da UFRN, instname:Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte, instacron:UFRN |
| Rights | info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
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