本文主要研究臺灣23縣市的絕對所得（平均所得）及相對所得（所得分配）對縣市間人口遷移的影響，並進一步分別探討對男性、女性遷移的影響。影響因素除了絕對所得及相對所得外，也參考其他文獻加入失業率、犯罪人口率、平均每人享有政府公共支出淨額及就業者之行業結構等變數，探討其對縣市間人口遷移的影響。
本研究人口遷移資料採用內政部戶政司網站公布之縣市遷入及遷出資料；平均所得、失業率、犯罪人口率、公共支出及行業結構等採用行政院主計總處之《中華民國統計資訊網》縣市重要統計指標查詢系統；所得不均度使用行政院主計總處「臺灣地區家庭收支調查報告」之原始家戶所得資料計算出縣市別的家戶吉尼係數來代表各縣市的所得分配程度；本研究使用1999年至2010年之資料。實證結果顯示，代表絕對所得的平均每戶可支配所得對總遷移率、男性遷移率、女性遷移率均呈現顯著正相關，且由絕對所得平方的係數均為顯著負相關，顯示縣市平均所得影響遷移是正向的，而其影響強度是遞減的，即邊際效果遞減，表示所得影響遷移的效果會漸漸達到一最高點後緩降；代表相對所得的所得分配吉尼係數對總遷移率、男性遷移率、女性遷移率均呈現不顯著正相關，表示所得分配程度對遷移決策的影響並未達統計顯著水準 / This study investigates the impact of absolute income and relative income on migration rates in Taiwan using the panel data of 23 counties for the period 1999-2010. In addition to the absolute income and relative income, the unemployment rate, criminal rate, public expenditure per citizen and industry structure are also included in the estimation models.
The empirical results demonstrate that the average household income as a proxy for absolute income has a significantly positive effect on total, male and female migration rates. Besides, the coefficient of the square of absolute income is significantly negative, indicating that there is an inverse U-shape relationship between absolute income and migration rate in Taiwan. However, our estimation results show that the income inequality does not have a significant influence on migration decisions in Taiwan.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/G0101921216 |
| Creators | 侯玉仲 |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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