本文的研究目的是，企圖從地緣政治與克里姆林宮政治的角度，就俄羅斯對於北大西洋公約組織（NATO）東擴的反應及其因應政策，作有系統的研究與分析，從而探討俄羅斯反對北約東擴的動因。
北約東擴引發俄羅斯國內對於對外政策及對北約政策的辯論。而俄羅斯為了因應北約擴張的威脅，開始調整其對外政策的方向，將原本親向西方的對外政策調整為，改善並加強與亞太地區各國及獨立國協國家的關係。俄羅斯反對北約東擴的因素有二：其一，俄羅斯從其自身地緣政治的角度以及與北約軍事戰略的比較等層面看北約東擴，深感北約東擴嚴重威脅其國家安全利益，因而堅決反對北約向東擴張。其二，一九九二至一九九五年間俄羅斯國內局勢的變遷，則導致俄羅斯從原本默許北約的擴張，轉變為極力反對北約東進。獨立初期，俄羅斯國內不管是政界或是一般人民，均殷殷期盼西方援助的到來，因此一切施政方針幾乎都是依照西方設計的藍圖實行。然而，西方的實際援助卻遠不如口頭上的承諾。這種情形導致俄羅斯國內開始產生反西方的聲音。於此之時，北約又開始實行向東擴張的計畫，西方國家這樣的行徑更造成俄國人民的強烈不滿與堅決反對。
第一章 緒 論 --------------------------------------------------------- 1
第一節 研究目的與研究動機 --------------------------------------------------------- 1
第二節 文獻述評與研究途徑 --------------------------------------------------------- 4
第三節 假設命題與研究架構 -------------------------------------------------------- 10
第二章 北大西洋公約組織擴張的進程與俄羅斯的反應 -------------------------------------------------------- 13
第一節 北大西洋公約組織擴張的進程 -------------------------------------------------------- 13
第二節 俄羅斯對北約政策的辯論 -------------------------------------------------------- 29
第三節 俄羅斯對北約東擴的反應（一）-- 俄羅斯的亞太政策 -------------------------------------------------------- 38
第四節 俄羅斯對北約東擴的反應（二）-- 俄羅斯與獨立國協的關係 ----------------------------------------------------- 52
第三章 俄羅斯反對北約東擴的因素（一）-- 俄羅斯國家安全的
考量 -------------------------------------------------------- 65
第一節 地緣政治的考量 -------------------------------------------------------- 65
第二節 軍事戰略的考量 -------------------------------------------------------- 76
第四章 俄羅斯反對北約東擴的因素（二）-- 俄羅斯政經情勢的
變遷 -------------------------------------------------------- 89
第一節 一九九二至一九九三年政治情勢的變遷 -------------------------------------------------------- 89
第二節 一九九二至一九九三年經濟情勢與一九九三年國會大選 -------------------------------------------------------- 99
第三節 一九九四至一九九五年政經情勢與一九九五年國會大選 ------------------------------------------------------- 110
第五章 結 論 ------------------------------------------------------- 120
附錄 俄羅斯軍事準則基本原則 ------------------------------------------------------- 127
參考書目 ------------------------------------------------------- 138 / Viewing from the perspective of geopolitics and Kremlin politics, this paper attempts to systematically analyze Russia's reactions and policies toward North Atlantic Treaty Organization's (NATO) enlargement and accordingly, to explore the dynamics that drive Russia opposing to NATO's expansion eastward.
In Russia, NATO's enlargement leads to debates for Russia's foreign policies and policies toward NATO. In order to deal with NATO's threat, Russia began to adjust its foreign policy, shifting from that of "inclining toward the West" to a more equilibrium position between the West and the East. There are two factors that Russia opposes to NATO's enlargement. First, Russia sees the enlargement of NATO as a severe threat to its security because of the consideration of its geo-political position, the comparison with the military strategy of NATO. Therefore, Russia firmly opposes to NATO's enlargement. Secondly, from 1992 to 1995, the domestic political transition in Russia also leads Russia to change its attitude from the tacit consent to definite opposition to NATO's enlargement. In the early independence, all Russians were eager for the western aid; therefore, almost all policies followed the blueprints designed by the western countries. But, the aid was actually much less than what they promised. This situation led Russians to start to oppose to the West. At this very moment, NATO implements the plan of eastward enlargement. This decision makes Russians feel even more extremely discontented with the West and firmly oppose to NATO's enlargement.
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:CHENGCHI/B2002001444 |
| Creators | 葉玟宗, Yeh, Wen-Tsung |
| Publisher | 國立政治大學 |
| Source Sets | National Chengchi University Libraries |
| Language | 中文 |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | text |
| Rights | Copyright © nccu library on behalf of the copyright holders |
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