Every commander in his practice makes various solutions. Every situation, which is related to making a decision has a feature – it is always possible to find a few ways to solve a problem and, in order to accompilish the military assignment, the most optimal ant the best way must be chosen.
It is practically impossible to make an optimal solution in the battle in up-to-date conditions if one hadn‘t learned to foresee the outcome if the one or another solution would have been chosen. The prevision of possible rezults is an essential part of any expedient action, as well as military.
There are many complicated situations in the battle, when it is impossible to lead and win without a prognostication and prevision. The prognostication is a deciding factor while leading the detachments. The information, obtained while forecasting is the scientific base of any decision.
The prognostication can be empirical and mathematical.
The empirical prognostication is based on practical experience and intuition, and it was used for a long time while forecasting possible actions. But nowadays the munition, technique and tactics are improving so fast and it‘s not enough to use only the empirical prognostication to win the battle.
The scientific methods are used in prognostication in an up-to-date war. Calculation, obtained with reference to scientific methods can confirm the information, obtained while using intuition and practical experience. So, the appropriate corrections can be done... [to full text]
| Identifer | oai:union.ndltd.org:LABT_ETD/oai:elaba.lt:LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2005~D_20050111_162800-91563 |
| Date | 11 January 2005 |
| Creators | Magelinskas, Virginijus |
| Contributors | Lenkevičius, Antanas, Rubliauskas, Dalius, Kiauleikis, Valentinas, Paradauskas, Bronius, Matickas, Jonas Kazimieras, Riškus, Aleksas, Targamadzė, Aleksandras, Butleris, Rimantas, Stulpinas, Raimundas, Kaunas University of Technology |
| Publisher | Lithuanian Academic Libraries Network (LABT), Kaunas University of Technology |
| Source Sets | Lithuanian ETD submission system |
| Language | Lithuanian |
| Detected Language | English |
| Type | Master thesis |
| Format | application/pdf |
| Source | http://vddb.library.lt/obj/LT-eLABa-0001:E.02~2005~D_20050111_162800-91563 |
| Rights | Unrestricted |
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