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A Political and Macroeconomic Explanation of Public Support for European Integration

This study develops a model of macroeconomic and political determinants of public support for European integration. The research is conducted on pooled cross-sectional time-series data from five European Union member states between 1978 and 1994. The method used in this analysis is a Generalized Least Squares - Autoregressive Moving Average approach. The factors hypothesized to determine a macroeconomic explanation of public support for integration are inflation, unemployment, and economic growth. The effect of the major economic reform in the 1980s, the Single European Act, is hypothesized to act as a positive permanent intervention. The other determinants of public support are the temporary interventions of European Parliament elections and the permanent intervention of the Maastricht Treaty in 1992. These are hypothesized to exert a negative effect. In a fully specified model all variables except economic growth and European Parliament elections demonstrate statistical significance at the 0.10 level or better.

Identiferoai:union.ndltd.org:unt.edu/info:ark/67531/metadc278919
Date08 1900
CreatorsCarey, Sean D. (Sean Damien)
ContributorsReban, Milan Jan, Clarke, Harold D., Todd, John Richard
PublisherUniversity of North Texas
Source SetsUniversity of North Texas
LanguageEnglish
Detected LanguageEnglish
TypeThesis or Dissertation
Formatv, 70 leaves: ill., Text
CoverageEurope
RightsPublic, Copyright, Copyright is held by the author, unless otherwise noted. All rights reserved., Carey, Sean D. (Sean Damien)

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