No description available.

This thesis describes the use of a distrometer and two IBM-PC's to collect data in a large propagation experiment. The uses and methods of collecting drop size distribution are discussed as are the uses of IBM-PC's for both data collection and control. Methods of requiring the PC's to operate in real time are also included. / M.S.

Societies in much of the Horn of Africa are affected by variability in two distinct rainy seasons: the March-May (MAM) “long” rains and the October-December (OND) “short” rains. The region is the driest area of the tropics, while its societies are heavily dependent on the rainfall cycle. Especially worrying are anomalously dry conditions, which, together with other factors, contribute to food insecurity in the region. The recent 2020-2023 5-season drought, associated with the concurrent “triple-dip” La Niña and resulting in tens of millions of people facing “high levels of food insecurity” (cf: IGAD), renewed fears of long-term and possibly anthropogenically-forced drying trends, especially during the MAM long rains. A long-term decline in the long rains beginning in the early 1980s and lasting until the 2010s had indeed been noted in studies examining historical station-based observations, satellite observations, and farmer recollections in the region, though seasonal average rainfall has since partially recovered. Consequently, global climate models (GCMs) are increasingly used to project changes in rainfall characteristics under global warming scenarios and associated impacts on societies, such as agricultural production, groundwater resources, and urban infrastructure, in addition to providing seasonal forecasts used for near-term decision-making. However, GCMs uniformly predict long-term wetting in both seasons despite observed drying trends in the long rains, an “East African Paradox” that complicates the ability of decisionmakers to plan for future rainfall conditions. Previous generations of GCMs have known biases in key dynamics of the regional hydroclimate. Decisionmakers relying on projections of future rainfall in the GHA therefore need to know whether current GCM projections are trustworthy. In other words, can we be confident in future modeled wetting trends in both the long and short rains? This thesis pursues this question in three parts. Chapter 2 seeks to understand the fundamental dynamics affecting the East African seasonal rainfall climatology, which is unique for its latitude in both its aridity and for the dynamical differences between its two rainy seasons. I explain these characteristics through the climatology of moist static stability, estimated as the difference between surface moist static energy h? and midtropospheric saturation moist static energy h*. In areas and at times when this difference, h? − h*, is higher, rainfall is more frequent and more intense. However, even during the rainy seasons, h? − h* < 0 on average and the atmosphere remains largely stable, in line with the region’s aridity. The seasonal cycle of h? − h*, to which the unique seasonal cycles of surface humidity, surface temperature, and midtropospheric temperature all contribute, helps explain the double-peaked nature of the regional hydroclimate. Despite tropospheric temperature being relatively uniform in the tropics, even small changes in h* can have substantial impacts on instability; for example, during the short rains, the annual minimum in regional h* lowers the threshold for convection and allows for instability despite surface humidity anomalies being relatively weak. This h? − h* framework can help identify the drivers of interannual variability in East African rainfall or diagnose the origin of biases in climate model simulations of the regional climate. Chapter 3 applies these results to conduct a process-based model evaluation of the ability of GCMs from the 6th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6, the latest GCM generation) to simulate the historical climatology and variability in the East African long and short rains. I find that key biases from the 5th phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) remain or are worsened, including long rains that are too short and weak and short rains that are too long and strong. Model biases are driven by a complex set of related oceanic and atmospheric factors, including simulations of the Walker Circulation. h? − h* is too high in models, requiring more instability for the same amount of rainfall than in observations. Biased wet short rains in models are connected with Indian Ocean zonal sea surface temperature (SST) gradients that are too warm in the west and convection that is too deep. Models connect equatorial African winds with the strength of the short rains, though in observations a robust connection is primarily found in the long rains. Model mean state biases in the timing of the western Indian Ocean SST seasonal cycle are associated with certain rainfall timing biases, though both biases may be due to a common source. Simulations driven by historical SSTs (so-called ‘AMIP’ runs) often have larger biases than fully coupled runs. However, models generally respond to teleconnections with the Indian Ocean Dipole and the El Niño Southern Oscillation in particular as expected, maintaining the possibility that trends in the long and short rains may also respond correctly to simulated trends in large-scale dynamics. Finally, Chapter 4 applies these results to directly tackle the East African Paradox by analyzing model trends across the entire observational record to identify under what conditions they fail to reproduce observed trends. Since even with perfect models and observational records model output may differ from observations due to internal variability, I analyze the full spread of CMIP6 output, including Large Ensembles and totalling 598 runs from 47 models. I find that while observed trends are always within the model spread if all runs from all Large Ensembles are considered, the Paradox remains in CMIP6 models, since GCMs substantially underproduce strong drying trends compared to observations. Within the observational record, the Paradox is limited to the time period with the most anomalous drying trends (especially in the years 1980-2010); the recent recovery in rainfall falls comfortably within the range of GCM simulations. The Paradox is not visible in AMIP runs forced with observed historical SSTs, suggesting that biases in simulations of SSTs may be part of the explanation, though clear causality remains elusive. The transition towards more biased trends from SST-forced to coupled runs can also be seen in output from hindcasts from seasonal forecast models, where trends calculated from short-lead-time projections (when the ocean state resembles observations) do not feature the Paradox, while lead times starting with 1.5 months do. More broadly, I show that climate model simulations of observed trends alone cannot be used to reject model predictions of increased (or decreased) precipitation under future forcings. Decision-makers relying on future projections of rainfall trends in East Africa will likely need to consider the possibility of further drying in addition to wetting trends from GCMs.

This study reports forest structure, regeneration and the soil properties from unlogged and logged forest in the Bulungan Research Forest, Malinau District, East Kalimantan, Indonesia. Four sites were compared by using four 1-ha replicate plots in each of primary forest (PF), 5, 10 and 30-yr old logged forest (LF-5, LF-10, LF- 30). The tree species composition differ among forest types, as it was shown that the mean value of similarity indices for all pairs were 0.215 (for the Jaccard index) and 0.353 (for the Sorensen index). The low values for similarities among forest types were most probably caused by low numbers of species shared between each forest type. Both correlation values, r = 0.023 for Jaccard index and r = 0.031 for Sorensen index, showed no strong correlation between the similarity index (C) and the distance between forest types. This supports the use of a chronosequence approach. A total of 914 tree species with ³ 10 cm dbh were recorded from 223 genera and 65 families. There were no significant differences in mean species numbers (166 – 180/ha) among treatments. Mean density of species was lower in LF-5 and LF-10 (501/ha) than in PF or LF-30 (605/ha and 577/ha); similarly to mean basal area (LF-5, 28.5 m2/ha; LF-10, 32.6 m2/ha) vs. PF (45.8 m2/ha) and LF-30 (46.9 m2/ha). Dead wood on the forest floor was significantly higher in LF-10 (75 m3/ha) than in the other treatments. Seedlings (< 2 cm dbh) of 1,022 species were recorded from 408 genera and 111 families. The mean number of tree seedling species ranged between 170-206; the mean density of seedlings was about two-fold lower in LF-10 (2790/ha) than in the other treatments. Saplings (>2 – 9.9 cm dbh) of 802 species belonged to 241 genera and 65 families. There was a high variability in species richness across treatments (89 – 191/ha), but not in stem numbers. The Dipterocarpaceae family was dominant in all treatments, followed by the Euphorbiaceae. The soils were acidic, low in nutrients and had low to very low fertility. Both primary and logged forest areas are marginal or not suitable for sustained production of plantation crops. Logging caused soil compaction in LF-30. Although in terms of number of species and trees, amount of BA, number of saplings and seedlings LF-30 appeared to have satisfied prescriptions for a second harvest, ecologically the forest is far from mature. The Indonesian Selective Cutting and Replanting (TPTI) system may need to be revised to a 35 – 45 year cycle to ensure long-term forest productivity in terms of not only timber but other goods and ecosystem services, the value of which are never quantified in monetary terms, but can be higher than the timber revenue.

Devido à intensificação das atividades industriais e agrícolas, aliada ao grande crescimento urbano e ao aumento exponencial da população no último século, a pressão sobre os recursos hídricos se intensificaram drasticamente. Sendo assim, existe a necessidade de se buscar novas fontes de abastecimento público de água. A captação de água pluvial remonta a milhares de anos, no entanto, por se tratar de uma área onde os estudos são recentes, muitas dúvidas permeiam sobre o método a ser adotado para a implantação de sistemas de captação pluvial, de forma que garanta a saúde de seus usuários. Desta forma, procurando acrescentar cientificamente e analisar novas possibilidades para sistemas de aproveitamento de água pluvial, este projeto objetivou analisar e caracterizar a qualidade da água em diversos pontos em um sistema de captação, armazenamento e utilização de água pluvial, instalado no Laboratório de Ecologia Isotópica do CENA/USP no município de Piracicaba, SP. Foi construído um sistema em escala real contendo cinco recipientes de 100 L para o descarte de primeiras águas, totalizando aproximadamente 3,3 mm de água descartada, com duas cisternas de 5 mil litros cada para armazenar a água captada. Foram coletadas amostras de água em sete pontos do sistema totalizando 36 análises por evento pluviométrico. Os parâmetros analisados foram pH, condutividade elétrica (CE), nitrogênio total (NT), carbono inorgânico dissolvido (DIC), carbono orgânico dissolvido (DOC) e oxigênio dissolvido (OD). As análises de OD foram descontinuadas após a constatação de que o OD, nas diferentes etapas do sistema, não apresentavam diferenças estatísticas devido ao esquema utilizado na montagem do sistema. O pH coletado sempre apresentou valores mais altos que os valores da precipitação, tendendo a diminuir conforme a água captada era descartada atingindo uma média de pH de 6,1 quando a água encontrava-se nas cisternas. A CE e o NT apresentaram valores mais altos que os valores encontrados na precipitação com um decaimento significativo para cada etapa de descarte, assim como apresentaram correlação com a intensidade pluviométrica e o intervalo de estiagem entre eventos pluviométricos. O desvio padrão de CE tendeu a diminuir a cada etapa de descarte, demonstrando que o sistema de descarte atuava como um homogeneizador da água coletada, independente das características pluviométricas. Os parâmetros de DIC também apresentaram valores maiores que os encontrados na água de chuva, assim como apresentaram queda significativa conforme a quantidade de água descartada. Os parâmetros de DOC não apresentaram qualquer correlação com a quantidade de água descartada ou com os parâmetros pluviométricos. Concluiu-se que o sistema de descarte de primeiras águas tem um papel fundamental na qualidade final da água captada. Assim como, que a recomendação da ABNT, de descartar os primeiros 2 mm de chuva, condiz exatamente com o ponto onde se obtêm a melhor qualidade de água com o mínimo de perda. Foi possível constatar que o intervalo de estiagem e a intensidade pluviométrica influenciaram diretamente na qualidade da água que será coletada. / Due to increasing industrial and agricultural activities, coupled with the extensive urban growth and the exponential increase in population in the last century, the pressure on water resources has intensified dramatically. Thus, there is a need to seek new sources of public water supply. The collection of rainwater goes back thousands of years, however, because it is an area where the studies are recent, many questions permeate on the method to be adopted for the implementation of rainwater harvesting systems, as well as ensure health of its users. Thus, seeking to add scientifically and analyze new possibilities for harnessing rainwater systems, this project aims to analyze and characterize water quality at various points in a system of capture, store and use rainwater, at the Laboratory of Isotope Ecology CENA / USP in Piracicaba, SP. A system has been built in real scale with five drums of 100 L for discarding of first waters, totaling approximately 3.3 mm discarted water, with two cisterns of 5000 liters each to store the collected water. Were seven sampling points totaling 36 analyzes per rainfall event. Parameters of pH, electrical conductivity (CE), total nitrogen (TN), dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and dissolved oxygen (OD) were analyzed. Analyses of OD were discontinued after the realization that the OD, in the different stages of the system, showed no statistical differences due to the layout of the system. The analyzed pH always showed a higher values than the precipitation and has tended to decrease as the collected water was discarded. Showing an average pH of 6.1 when the water reaches the cistern. The values of EC and NT were higher than the values found in precipitation and tended to decrease gradually in each stage of disposal system of the first water, as also showed a correlated pattern with the rainfall intensity and with the interval between rainfall events. The CE standard deviation tend to decrease at each step of the disposal system of the first water, demonstrating that the disposal system of the first water serves as a homogenizer of water captured, regardless of the rainfall characteristics. The parameters of DIC also showed higher values than those found in rain water, and showed a gradual decrease in each stage of disposal system of the first water. The parameters of DOC showed no correlation with the amount of discarted water or with the rainfall parameters. It was concluded that the disposal system of the first waters has a key role in the final quality of water abstracted. As well as the recommendation of ABNT, of discarding the first 2 mm of rain, matches exactly the point where you can get the best quality water with minimal loss. It was found that the drought period and the rainfall intensity directly influence the quality of water that will be collected.

An extensive investigation with parallel field andlaboratory exposures has been conducted to elucidateatmospheric corrosion and metal runoff processes on copper andzinc used for roofing applications. Detailed studies have beenperformed to disclose the effect of various parameters on therunoff rate including: surface inclination and orientation,natural patination (age), patina composition, rain duration andvolume, rain pH, and length of dry periods inbetween rainevents. Annual and average corrosion rates and runoff rateshave been determined consecutively during urban field exposuresin Stockholm on naturally patinated copper and zinc of varyingage and patina composition. The corrosion rate was found todecrease with time, amounting to 6.7 g Cu/(m2.y) and 5.0 gZn/(m2.y) after 48 weeks of exposure, whereas the runoff ratewas relatively constant with time on a yearly basis, being 1.3g/(m2.y) and 3.1 g/(m2.y) for copper and zinc, respectively.The annual runoff rate was found to be significantly lower thanthe corresponding corrosion rate for both copper and zinc.Somewhat higher runoff rates of copper were determined fromnaturally green-patinated copper (&gt;40 years old, 2.0g/(m2.y)) compared to brown-patinated copper (1 year old). Themain reasons are specific environmental conditions combinedwith characteristics of the patina layer, which increase themagnitude of dissolved species flushed from the surface duringthe first flush volume of a rain event. No intrinsic effect ofpanel age on the runoff rate was seen for naturally patinatedzinc. However, differences in prevailing environmentalconditions during the initial exposure period and, hence,differences in formation rate and surface coverage of thecorrosion patina, resulted in variations in runoff rate. Thisinitial difference remained also during prolonged exposureperiods and was referred to as a memory effect. Model roof investigations and laboratory studies showedsurface orientation and inclination to have a detrimentaleffect on the runoff rate with high runoff rates from surfacesof low inclination from horizon and surfaces exposed towardsthe wind direction. Based on fieldexposures and literature data, a correlationwas established between the runoff rate and the prevailingSO2-concentration. The runoff rate increases with increasingSO2 level for exposure sites of similar annual precipitationquantities (500-1000 mm/y). A rain device, using artificialrain, was shown to successfully simulate outdoor rain events ofvarying intensity and pH and result in realistic runoff ratesof both copper and zinc. The device was used to monitor changesin metal concentration and quantity of runoff water duringindividual rain events. High metal concentrations are found inthe initial rain volume flushing the surface (first flush),which decreased to rather constant metal concentrations duringthe subsequent rain volume (steady-state). The magnitude offirst flush depends primarily on environmental conditions priorto a rain event and the characteristics of the corrosionpatina. The metal concentration in runoff water increases withrain acidity, decreases with rain intensity and increases withlength of the dry period preceding a rain event. A comparison between instantaneous corrosion rates,monitored by electrochemical impedance spectroscopy using a2-electrode set-up, and runoff rates during a continuous rainevent was performed for naturally patinated copper panels.Corrosion rates were found to be approximately 10 (brownishpatina) and 25 times (greenish patina) lower than correspondinginstantaneous runoff rates. A schematic description of the first flush and steady-stateregion of the runoff process was established. The magnitude ofthe concentration during first flush is primarily affected byprevailing environmental conditions prior to a rain event,while rain pH and intensity primarily affect the concentrationduring steady-state. <b>Key words:</b>atmospheric corrosion, corrosion rate, runoffrate, copper, zinc, field study, laboratory study, roof, firstflush, rain quantity, rain intensity, rain pH, dry and wetdeposition, corrosion and runoff process.

<p>An extensive investigation with parallel field andlaboratory exposures has been conducted to elucidateatmospheric corrosion and metal runoff processes on copper andzinc used for roofing applications. Detailed studies have beenperformed to disclose the effect of various parameters on therunoff rate including: surface inclination and orientation,natural patination (age), patina composition, rain duration andvolume, rain pH, and length of dry periods inbetween rainevents. Annual and average corrosion rates and runoff rateshave been determined consecutively during urban field exposuresin Stockholm on naturally patinated copper and zinc of varyingage and patina composition. The corrosion rate was found todecrease with time, amounting to 6.7 g Cu/(m2.y) and 5.0 gZn/(m2.y) after 48 weeks of exposure, whereas the runoff ratewas relatively constant with time on a yearly basis, being 1.3g/(m2.y) and 3.1 g/(m2.y) for copper and zinc, respectively.The annual runoff rate was found to be significantly lower thanthe corresponding corrosion rate for both copper and zinc.Somewhat higher runoff rates of copper were determined fromnaturally green-patinated copper (>40 years old, 2.0g/(m2.y)) compared to brown-patinated copper (1 year old). Themain reasons are specific environmental conditions combinedwith characteristics of the patina layer, which increase themagnitude of dissolved species flushed from the surface duringthe first flush volume of a rain event. No intrinsic effect ofpanel age on the runoff rate was seen for naturally patinatedzinc. However, differences in prevailing environmentalconditions during the initial exposure period and, hence,differences in formation rate and surface coverage of thecorrosion patina, resulted in variations in runoff rate. Thisinitial difference remained also during prolonged exposureperiods and was referred to as a memory effect.</p><p>Model roof investigations and laboratory studies showedsurface orientation and inclination to have a detrimentaleffect on the runoff rate with high runoff rates from surfacesof low inclination from horizon and surfaces exposed towardsthe wind direction.</p><p>Based on fieldexposures and literature data, a correlationwas established between the runoff rate and the prevailingSO2-concentration. The runoff rate increases with increasingSO2 level for exposure sites of similar annual precipitationquantities (500-1000 mm/y). A rain device, using artificialrain, was shown to successfully simulate outdoor rain events ofvarying intensity and pH and result in realistic runoff ratesof both copper and zinc. The device was used to monitor changesin metal concentration and quantity of runoff water duringindividual rain events. High metal concentrations are found inthe initial rain volume flushing the surface (first flush),which decreased to rather constant metal concentrations duringthe subsequent rain volume (steady-state). The magnitude offirst flush depends primarily on environmental conditions priorto a rain event and the characteristics of the corrosionpatina. The metal concentration in runoff water increases withrain acidity, decreases with rain intensity and increases withlength of the dry period preceding a rain event.</p><p>A comparison between instantaneous corrosion rates,monitored by electrochemical impedance spectroscopy using a2-electrode set-up, and runoff rates during a continuous rainevent was performed for naturally patinated copper panels.Corrosion rates were found to be approximately 10 (brownishpatina) and 25 times (greenish patina) lower than correspondinginstantaneous runoff rates.</p><p>A schematic description of the first flush and steady-stateregion of the runoff process was established. The magnitude ofthe concentration during first flush is primarily affected byprevailing environmental conditions prior to a rain event,while rain pH and intensity primarily affect the concentrationduring steady-state.</p><p><b>Key words:</b>atmospheric corrosion, corrosion rate, runoffrate, copper, zinc, field study, laboratory study, roof, firstflush, rain quantity, rain intensity, rain pH, dry and wetdeposition, corrosion and runoff process.</p>

Devido à intensificação das atividades industriais e agrícolas, aliada ao grande crescimento urbano e ao aumento exponencial da população no último século, a pressão sobre os recursos hídricos se intensificaram drasticamente. Sendo assim, existe a necessidade de se buscar novas fontes de abastecimento público de água. A captação de água pluvial remonta a milhares de anos, no entanto, por se tratar de uma área onde os estudos são recentes, muitas dúvidas permeiam sobre o método a ser adotado para a implantação de sistemas de captação pluvial, de forma que garanta a saúde de seus usuários. Desta forma, procurando acrescentar cientificamente e analisar novas possibilidades para sistemas de aproveitamento de água pluvial, este projeto objetivou analisar e caracterizar a qualidade da água em diversos pontos em um sistema de captação, armazenamento e utilização de água pluvial, instalado no Laboratório de Ecologia Isotópica do CENA/USP no município de Piracicaba, SP. Foi construído um sistema em escala real contendo cinco recipientes de 100 L para o descarte de primeiras águas, totalizando aproximadamente 3,3 mm de água descartada, com duas cisternas de 5 mil litros cada para armazenar a água captada. Foram coletadas amostras de água em sete pontos do sistema totalizando 36 análises por evento pluviométrico. Os parâmetros analisados foram pH, condutividade elétrica (CE), nitrogênio total (NT), carbono inorgânico dissolvido (DIC), carbono orgânico dissolvido (DOC) e oxigênio dissolvido (OD). As análises de OD foram descontinuadas após a constatação de que o OD, nas diferentes etapas do sistema, não apresentavam diferenças estatísticas devido ao esquema utilizado na montagem do sistema. O pH coletado sempre apresentou valores mais altos que os valores da precipitação, tendendo a diminuir conforme a água captada era descartada atingindo uma média de pH de 6,1 quando a água encontrava-se nas cisternas. A CE e o NT apresentaram valores mais altos que os valores encontrados na precipitação com um decaimento significativo para cada etapa de descarte, assim como apresentaram correlação com a intensidade pluviométrica e o intervalo de estiagem entre eventos pluviométricos. O desvio padrão de CE tendeu a diminuir a cada etapa de descarte, demonstrando que o sistema de descarte atuava como um homogeneizador da água coletada, independente das características pluviométricas. Os parâmetros de DIC também apresentaram valores maiores que os encontrados na água de chuva, assim como apresentaram queda significativa conforme a quantidade de água descartada. Os parâmetros de DOC não apresentaram qualquer correlação com a quantidade de água descartada ou com os parâmetros pluviométricos. Concluiu-se que o sistema de descarte de primeiras águas tem um papel fundamental na qualidade final da água captada. Assim como, que a recomendação da ABNT, de descartar os primeiros 2 mm de chuva, condiz exatamente com o ponto onde se obtêm a melhor qualidade de água com o mínimo de perda. Foi possível constatar que o intervalo de estiagem e a intensidade pluviométrica influenciaram diretamente na qualidade da água que será coletada. / Due to increasing industrial and agricultural activities, coupled with the extensive urban growth and the exponential increase in population in the last century, the pressure on water resources has intensified dramatically. Thus, there is a need to seek new sources of public water supply. The collection of rainwater goes back thousands of years, however, because it is an area where the studies are recent, many questions permeate on the method to be adopted for the implementation of rainwater harvesting systems, as well as ensure health of its users. Thus, seeking to add scientifically and analyze new possibilities for harnessing rainwater systems, this project aims to analyze and characterize water quality at various points in a system of capture, store and use rainwater, at the Laboratory of Isotope Ecology CENA / USP in Piracicaba, SP. A system has been built in real scale with five drums of 100 L for discarding of first waters, totaling approximately 3.3 mm discarted water, with two cisterns of 5000 liters each to store the collected water. Were seven sampling points totaling 36 analyzes per rainfall event. Parameters of pH, electrical conductivity (CE), total nitrogen (TN), dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), dissolved organic carbon (DOC) and dissolved oxygen (OD) were analyzed. Analyses of OD were discontinued after the realization that the OD, in the different stages of the system, showed no statistical differences due to the layout of the system. The analyzed pH always showed a higher values than the precipitation and has tended to decrease as the collected water was discarded. Showing an average pH of 6.1 when the water reaches the cistern. The values of EC and NT were higher than the values found in precipitation and tended to decrease gradually in each stage of disposal system of the first water, as also showed a correlated pattern with the rainfall intensity and with the interval between rainfall events. The CE standard deviation tend to decrease at each step of the disposal system of the first water, demonstrating that the disposal system of the first water serves as a homogenizer of water captured, regardless of the rainfall characteristics. The parameters of DIC also showed higher values than those found in rain water, and showed a gradual decrease in each stage of disposal system of the first water. The parameters of DOC showed no correlation with the amount of discarted water or with the rainfall parameters. It was concluded that the disposal system of the first waters has a key role in the final quality of water abstracted. As well as the recommendation of ABNT, of discarding the first 2 mm of rain, matches exactly the point where you can get the best quality water with minimal loss. It was found that the drought period and the rainfall intensity directly influence the quality of water that will be collected.

To avoid damages and costs for the society due to flooding is it important to be able to model accurate rain scenarios. Due to climate change is it thought that there will be more heavy rainfalls in the future which will increase the risk for flooding. This master thesis will therefore look at the parameters that affect the risk for flooding with focus on raincloud movement and peak arrivals. Earlier research has shown that different directions of the rain will affect the flooding risk differently. Generally will a rain that has the same direction as the downstream flow lead to a higher risk for flooding. The peak arrival time has also shown to lead to different results were a late peak arrival seems to lead to a higher risk for flooding. There is usually too little time and costly to test different movement and peak arrival scenarios, so this report will focus on which of these parameters that have the greatest flooding impact and largest internal variation.  MIKE 21 (created by DHI) is the software used to model the different rain scenarios. The rain types used to test the different scenarios will be a uniform rain, a traditional CDS-rain and five rain shapes that are based on empirical rain types created by SMHI.  The shape of the empirical rains is based on several studies from measured rain events with weather radar. Weather radar have become a fundamental tool in weather forecasting because it can collect data in near real time and also measure the spatial variation inside the rainfall.  These seven mentioned rain types will not be moving, and the rain will have the same spatial intensity over the study area. They will be compared both to each other but also to a CDS-rain that will move over the study area in 4 different directions (north-south, east-west, south - north and west - east).  The different directions gave all very similar results while there was a larger difference between the rain types with different peak arrivals. The peak-value seems to be an important factor when it comes to flooding risk based on the results in this report. The constant uniform rain had the lowest amount of flooded areas while the CDS-rain (which had the highest peak) affected the area the most.

No description available.