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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
81

Snow or rain? - A matter of wet-bulb temperature / Regn eller snö? En fråga om våta temperaturen.

Olsen, Arvid January 2003 (has links)
Accurate precipitation-type forecasts are essential in many areas of our modern society andtherefore there is a need to develop proper working methods for this purpose. Focus of thiswork has been to study important physical processes decisive in deciding both the temperatureof the precipitation particles, hence affecting their phase, and the surrounding air. Two majorlatent heating effects have been emphasized, melting effect and cooling byevaporation/sublimation. Melting of the snow flakes subtracts heat from the surroundings andhence acts as a cooling agent. Phase transformation from solid/liquid into the gas phase alsoneeds heat which here results in a cooling tendency. These two mechanisms may sometimeshave a crucial influence for deciding the correct precipitation-type. The melting effect isdiscussed in a paper about a snow event in Tennessee in USA, and another paper describingan event in Japan showing the influence of the evaporation/sublimation process. In the lattercase the wet-bulb temperature, Tiw as a physical correct discriminator between snow and rainis obtained. A numerical weather prediction model (HIRLAM) is being used to study differentcondensation schemes during three weather situations occurring in Sweden. These areRasch/Kristjánsson condensation scheme, Sundqvist original condensation scheme and amodification of the latter scheme. In the modified Sundqvist condensation scheme the Tiw hasbeen implemented as a limit temperature between snow and rain. The results are showingdifferences between the two main schemes concerning the total precipitation (both snow andrain). Comparisons between Sundqvist condensation scheme and this modified version, calledSundqvist scheme with Tiw show that this latter version creates slightly more snow.Differences between them are largest in dryer areas. Differences in the snow accumulationincrease when the forecast length increases. That makes them harder to be compared to snowanalyses from MESAN (mesoscale analysis) because the analyses is partly based ondifferences in the snow depth and this cannot be directly compared to amount of newly fallensnow especially when surface air temperatures are above freezing. Deviations from the dataanalyses are obtained in both Sundqvist and Sundqvist scheme with Tiw but in some regionsthe latter is in better agreement with measurements. Further work is needed in precipitationtypestudies but the physical correct value with Tiw = 0 ºC as melting temperature used inSundqvist with Tiw scheme is an interesting project for the future in the field of precipitationtypeforecasting. / Sammanfattning av ”Regn eller snö? En fråga om våta temperaturen” Noggranna prognoser beträffande nederbördstyp är väldigt viktiga inom många områden isamhället. Det finns därför ett behov att utveckla bra metoder att avgöra om nederbördenfaller som regn eller snö. Viktiga fysikaliska processer är avgörande för nederbördens och denomgivande luftens temperatur; processernas kritiska betydelse för dess fas har satts i fokus.De två största latenta värmeeffekterna, avkylning genom smältning och genomavdunstning/sublimation har betonats. Smältning av snöflingorna extraherar värme frånomgivningen och därmed sänks temperaturen. Avdunstning och sublimation erfordrar värmeför fastransformation vilket även här tas från omgivningen och därmed en kylande effekt somföljd. Dessa två latenta värmeeffekter har ibland kritisk betydelse för nederbördstypen vidmarkytan och detta diskuteras dels i en artikel om en vädersituation från Tennessee (Kain etal., 2000) där smälteffekten fick avgörande betydelse för nederbördsfasen vid markytan, dels istudier från Japan där betydelsen av avdunstning och sublimation på nederbördstypenbetonats (Matsuo and Sasyo, 1981). I det senare fallet tydliggörs isobara våta temperaturenoch dess betydelse som diskriminator mellan regn och snö. En numerisk vädermodell (HIRLAM) har använts för att studera olika typer avkondensationsscheman och deras betydelse för nederbörden under tre olika väderskeenden iSverige. Dessa är Rasch/Kristjánssons kondensationsschema, Sundqvistskondensationsschema samt en något ändrad variant av Sundqvists kondensationsschema dären subrutin för beräknandet av Tiw har implementerats och ersatt den vanliga temperaturen iden del av schemat som beräknar smältning av nederbörd i fast form. Smälttemperaturen harsedan satts till 0ºC. Resultatet visar skillnader mellan Rasch/Kristjánssons schema ochSundqvists schema beträffande total 12 timmars nederbörd (regn och snö). Vissa periodertenderar Sundqvists kondensationsschema att överproducera nederbörden medan under andraperioder är det Rasch/Kristjánssons schema, som överproducerar jämfört mednederbördsobservationer. Jämförelser mellan Sundqvists schema och Sundqvists schema medTiw visar att den senare producerar mer ackumulerad snömängd med de största skillnaderna iområden som avviker mest från mättnad (100 %). Där finner vi också större differensermellan den vanliga temperaturen och Tiw. Skillnaden blir större när vi ökar den totala tiden förackumulerad snömängd men dessa värden blir då också svårare att verifiera med snöanalyserfrån MESAN. Detta då snöanalyserna bygger på skillnader mellan aktuell och föregåendeobserverade snödjup. Detta behöver ej alls vara lika med den verkliga mängden nysnö somfallit, speciellt under mätperioder då det är plusgrader. Avvikelser från snöanalyserna kannoteras i både Sundqvists schema och Sundqvists schema med Tiw. I vissa regioner är docksnöprognosen från den senare något bättre. Det fysikaliskt korrekta värdet av Tiw = 0ºC somsmältgräns mellan regn och snö istället för den vanliga temperaturen, utgör grunden förintressanta framtida studier beträffande nederbörd och nederbördstyp.
82

Approaches to transmission reduction protocols in low-frequency Wireless Sensor Networks deployed in the field

Wilkins, R. January 2015 (has links)
A key barrier in the adoption of Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs) is achieving long-lived and robust real-life deployments. Issues include: reducing the impact of transmission loss, node failure detection, accommodating multiple sensor modalities, and the energy requirement of the WSN network stack. In systems where radio transmissions are the largest energy consumer on a node, it follows that reducing the number of transmissions will, in turn, extend node lifetime. Research in this area has led to the development of the Dual Prediction Scheme (DPS). However, the design of specific DPS algorithms in the literature have not typically considered issues arising in real world deployments. Therefore, this thesis proposes solutions to enable DPSs to function in robust and long-lived real-world WSN deployments. To exemplify the proposed solutions, Cogent-House, an end-to-end open-source home environmental and energy monitoring system, is considered as a case study. Cogent-House was deployed in 37 homes generating 235 evaluation data traces, each spanning periods of two weeks to a year. DPSs presented within the literature are often lacking in the ability to handle several aspects of real world deployments. To address issues in real-life deployments this thesis proposes a novel generalised framework, named Generalised Dual Prediction Scheme (G-DPS). G-DPS provides: i) a multi-modal approach, ii) an acknowledgement scheme, iii) heartbeat messages, and iv) a method to calculate reconstructed data yield. G-DPS’s multi-modal approach allows multiple sensor’s readings to be combined into a single model, compared to single-modal which uses multiple instances of a DPS. Considering a node sensing temperature, humidity and CO2, the multi-modal approach transmissions are reduced by up to 27%, signal reconstruction accuracy is improved by up to 65%, and the energy requirement of nodes is reduced by 15% compared to single-modal DPS. In a lossy network use of acknowledgements improves signal reconstruction accuracy by up to 2x and increases the data yield of the system up to 7x, when compared to an acknowledgement-less scheme, with only up to a 1.13x increase in energy consumption. Heartbeat messages allow the detection of faulty nodes, and yet do not significantly impact the energy requirement of functioning nodes. Implementing DPS algorithms within the G-DPS framework enables robust deployments, as well as easier comparison of performance between differing approaches. DPSs focus on modelling sensed signals, allowing accurate reconstruction of the signal from fewer transmissions. Although transmission scan be reduced in this way, considerable savings are also possible at the application level. Given the information needs of a specific application, raw sensor measurement data is often highly compressible. This thesis proposes the Bare Necessities (BN) algorithm, which exploits on-node analytics by transforming data to information closer to the data source (the sensing device). This approach is evaluated in the context of a household monitoring application that reports the percentage of time a room of the home spends in various environmental conditions. BN can reduce the number of packets transmitted to the sink by 7000x compared to a sense-and-send approach. To support the implementation of the above solutions in achieving long lifetimes, this thesis explores the impact of the network stack on the energy consumption of low transmission sensor nodes. Considering a DPS achieving a 20x transmission reduction, the energy reduction of anode is only 1.3x when using the TinyOS network stack. This thesis proposes the Backbone Collection Tree Protocol (B-CTP), a networking approach utilising a persistent backbone network of powered nodes. B-CTP coupled with Linear Spanish Inquisition Protocol (L-SIP) decreases the energy requirement for sensing nodes by 13.4x compared to sense-and-send nodes using the TinyOS network stack. When B-CTP is coupled with BN an energy reduction of 14.1x is achieved. Finally, this thesis proposes a quadratic spline reconstruction method which improves signal reconstruction accuracy by 1.3x compared to commonly used linear interpolation or model prediction based reconstruction approaches. Incorporating sequence numbers into the quadratic spline method allows up to 5 hours of accurate signal imputation during transmission failure. In summary, the techniques presented in this thesis enable WSNs to be long-lived and robust in real-life deployments. Furthermore, the underlying approaches can be applied to existing techniques and implemented for a wide variety of applications.
83

Tělo a jeho manifestace / Body and its manifestation

Havlanová, Michaela January 2011 (has links)
Resumé (En) Key words: Body, soma, sarx, pexis, horizon, aesthesis, corporate scheme, body art, body modifications. This thesis deals with body and its manifestation. The body is conceived as philosophic, anthropologic and psychic phenomenon. Philosophic part determinates body as soma, sarx and pexis. The phenomenon as corporate scheme, horizon, motion and aesthesis are used for better understanding as well. Next part deals with body as anthropologic phenomenon. Body modifications, suspensions and their history are showed here. The research makes clear minds and reasons of extremely modificated persons. The last part is psychological. Problems related with wrong corporate scheme are described, as well as evolution of body's perception.
84

Investiční společnosti a fondy / Investment companies and funds

Reichelt, Petr January 2015 (has links)
This diploma thesis deals with collective investment schemes, with the main focus on investment fund managers and administrators. Collective investment scheme is a form of indirect investment on the capital markets. It is an arrangement that enables a number of investors to pool their assets and have these professionally managed by an independent manager. It is a specific form of business which is based on raising finance from public or number of investors and then investing it with a goal of making profit. Investment is spread across a wide range of financial instruments which creates diversified portfolio. The First chapter serves as introduction to the basic principles of collective investment schemes, to its legal framework and legal entities that operate within this framework. Purpose of the second chapter is to give comprehensive overview of the managers of investment funds. It deals with cross-border management of investment funds, both within and outside of EU, operating conditions for AIFMs, capital and organisational requirements. The chapter concludes with explaining obligations for AIFMs managing AIFs which acquire control of companies and issuers. The third chapter focuses on administrators of investment funds it begins with analysing the concept of separation of fund management and...
85

Die Symmetrisierung des MacCormack-Schemas im Atmosphärenmodell GESIMA

Hinneburg, Detlef 02 November 2016 (has links) (PDF)
The dynamical equations of the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model GESIMA are solved numerically on an Arakawa-C grid. Because of the staggered grid most of the prognostic variables and their derivatives have identical local positions. The functional connection between the fluxes and velocities defined at different places is managed by the MacCormack scheme ignoring the local diff erences. The systematic errors are diminished by means of alternate down- and upwind shifting of the fluxes after each time step. A cycle of 8 time steps is necessary to achieve approximately symmetrical conditions because of the shift permutations. Nevertheless, the systematic errors are not completely removed and the iterative calculation of the dynamic pressure is retarded by starting values from eight time steps ago (same permutation of shift directions). Both shortcomings are avoided by a symmetrized MacCormack scheme without the loss of its advantages of handling strong gradients. The new method is based on the symmetrization of the equations with respect to the passive quantities and on the simultaneous calculation of each equation for opposite shift directions of the active variables followed by averaging both increments. The method is tested for a typical example. / Die dynamischen Modellgleichungen des nicht-hydrostatischen mesoskaligen Atmosphärenmodells GESIMA sind numerisch auf einem Arakawa-C-Gitter gelöst. Durch die versetzte Anordnung der Größen auf dem Gitter besitzen die Differenzenquotienten (auf den rechten Seiten) und die prognostizierten Größen (auf den linken Seiten) von vornherein die gleiche lokale Position, allerdings nicht in jedem Fall. Das bisher in GESIMA praktizierte MacCormack-Schema stellt den Zusammenhang zwischen den an verschiedenen Gitterstellen definierten Flüssen und Geschwindigkeiten her, indem die Ortsdifferenz zwischen Fluß- und zugehöriger Geschwindigkeitskomponente ignoriert wird. Zur Verringerung der systematischen Fehler erfolgt die direkte Zuordnung einer Flußkomponente abwechselnd (sequentiell) in einem Zeitschritt zur flußabwärts benachbarten Geschwindigkeitskomponente und im nächsten Zeitschritt zur flußaufwärts benachbarten. Nach Ablauf von jeweils 8 Zeitschritten sind die notwendigen Zuordnungspermutationen der 3 Vektorkomponenten zwecks einer annähernden Symmetrisierung des Verfahrens erreicht. Nachteile des bisherigen Verfahrens sind (a) der nicht vollständige Abbau der jedem Zeitschritt immanenten systematischen Zuordnungsfehler und (b) ein stark erhöhter Rechenaufwand für die iterative Bestimmung des dynamischen Druckes durch einen um 8 Zeitschritte (jeweils gleiche Zuordnungspermutation) zurückliegenden Startwert. Beide Nachteile werden durch ein neues, symmetrisiertes MacCormack-Schema vermieden, ohne daß auf die Vorteile bei der Handhabung starker Gradienten verzichtet werden muß. Das Verfahren beruht (a) auf der Symmetrisierung der lokalen Zuordnung für die passiven Größen innerhalb einer Gleichung (d.h. der nicht durch sie prognostizierten Größen) und (b) auf der simultanen Durchführung der zwei entgegengesetzten Zuordnungsrichtungen für jede der 3 Geschwindigkeitskomponenten innerhalb eines Zeitschrittes mit anschließender Mittelung der beiden Inkremente. Das neue Verfahren wurde anhand eines Beispiels geprüft.
86

Processo estratégico na criação e implantação da Escola de Artes, Ciências e Humanidades da USP: esquema analítico e evidências empíricas / Strategic process in the creation and implantation of the School of Arts, Sciences and Humanities at the USP: analytical schema and empirical evidences.

Palacios, Fernando Antonio Colares 06 June 2011 (has links)
Ao constatar a complexidade e a especificidade dos processos organizacionais em universidades, a tese procurou responder à questão central de como ampliar a capacidade de análise, interpretação e explicação do processo estratégico ocorrido quando da criação e implantação da Escola de Artes, Ciências e Humanidades (EACH), na Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Para tanto, o objetivo geral foi elaborar um esquema analítico capaz de estruturar os elementos intervenientes e propiciar significados aos pesquisadores e aos estrategistas sobre o processo ocorrido na EACH. Propunha-se, de forma específica, responder questões tipo: como caracterizar o processo estratégico, quais os agentes, os recursos organizacionais e as relações contextuais envolvidos e de que forma se combinaram nas ações. A estratégia foi analisada como uma construção social, na qual o ser humano é um potencial agente de transformação social. A tese fundamentou-se nas teorias sociológicas de Giddens (2003) e Sztompka (2005) e nos estudos organizacionais sobre processo. Ainda no campo da estratégia, explorou tipologias de formação e implementação. Utilizando metodologia interpretativa procurou identificar as contradições dialéticas geradas pela interação de agentes em eventos delimitados, imersos em uma realidade histórica, social e cultural. Foram realizadas entrevistas, pesquisa documental e técnicas de observação durante dois anos para a obtenção dos dados da pesquisa. O esquema analítico foi elaborado a partir de três dimensões principais: agentes, contexto e sistemas organizacionais. Na sua aplicação, foram analisados dois eventos constituintes do episódio de criação e implantação da nova unidade: 1) elaboração do projeto da EACH e 2) elaboração do curso de mestrado em sistemas complexos. Os resultados podem ser assim resumidos: a) o esquema analítico mostrou-se capaz de captar e retratar a complexidade do processo na EACH; b) o processo estratégico, nos eventos analisados, caracterizou-se como racional e formal, em determinados momentos, e como um processo negociado e em construção permanente; c) gestores e professores foram agentes principais, sendo influenciados por valores como autonomia e legitimidade; d) fatores organizacionais como cultura da USP, formas de liderança, poder e estruturas formais e não-formais mostraram-se muito influentes, assim como, o contexto histórico e social; e) constatou-se que os modelos organizacionais de análise da universidade conseguem captar apenas partes da complexidade do processo. São apresentadas proposições para a USP no intuito de contribuir para a efetivação do projeto. Espera-se que a tese contribua para ampliar o campo de pesquisa integrando os estudos educacionais aos estudos organizacionais. / After finding the complexity and specificity of organizational processes in Universities, this paper intends to answer the main question of how to increase the capacity of analysis, interpretation and explanation of the strategic process, that took place when the Arts, Science and Humanities School - EACH - was created and implanted in São Paulo University. In order to achieve that purpose, the main goal was to elaborate an analytical schema, capable of structuring the elements involved, and also to give meanings to strategy researchers and to strategists about the process that took place at EACH. It also intends to answer questions such as: how to characterize the strategic process, the agents, the organizational resources and the contextual relations involved, and how they would match in action. The strategy was analyzed as a social construction, in which the human being is a potential agent of social transformation. The thesis is based on the sociological theories of Giddens (2003) and Strompka (2005), so as on organizational studies about processes (1992; 1995). It also explored types of training and implementation. Making use of interpretative methodology, there was an effort to identify the dialectical contradictions created by the agents\' interaction in delimited events, located on a historical, social and cultural reality. Interviews, documentary research and observation techniques were made during the period of two years in order to acquire data for the research. The analytical schema was formulated based on three main dimensions: agents, context and organizational systems. On the usage of the scheme, two events which are part of the process of creation and implementation of the new unit were analyzed: 1) building the EACH project and 2) building a master course based on complex systems. The outcomes can be summarized as follows: a) the analytical scheme proved to be able to capture and to portray the complexity of the process in EACH; b) the strategic process on the analyzed events, was characterized as rational and formal, in certain moments, and as negotiated and ongoing; c) managers and professors were agents being influenced by values such as autonomy and legitimacy; d) organizational factors as forms of leadership, power and formal and non-formal structures proved to be influential, as well as, the historic and social context; e) it was found that the organizational models of analysis of the university can capture only parts of the complexity of the strategic process. Propositions to USP are here presented as an attempt to contribute to the effectiveness of the project. It is expected that a research area can be improved being able to integrate the educational studies to the organizational studies.
87

Fexprs as the basis of Lisp function application; or, $vau: the ultimate abstraction

Shutt, John N 01 September 2010 (has links)
"Abstraction creates custom programming languages that facilitate programming for specific problem domains. It is traditionally partitioned according to a two-phase model of program evaluation, into syntactic abstraction enacted at translation time, and semantic abstraction enacted at run time. Abstractions pigeon-holed into one phase cannot interact freely with those in the other, since they are required to occur at logically distinct times. Fexprs are a Lisp device that subsumes the capabilities of syntactic abstraction, but is enacted at run-time, thus eliminating the phase barrier between abstractions. Lisps of recent decades have avoided fexprs because of semantic ill-behavedness that accompanied fexprs in the dynamically scoped Lisps of the 1960s and 70s. This dissertation contends that the severe difficulties attendant on fexprs in the past are not essential, and can be overcome by judicious coordination with other elements of language design. In particular, fexprs can form the basis for a simple, well-behaved Scheme-like language, subsuming traditional abstractions without a multi-phase model of evaluation. The thesis is supported by a new Scheme-like language called Kernel, created for this work, in which each Scheme-style procedure consists of a wrapper that induces evaluation of operands, around a fexpr that acts on the resulting arguments. This arrangement enables Kernel to use a simple direct style of selectively evaluating subexpressions, in place of most Lisps' indirect quasiquotation style of selectively suppressing subexpression evaluation. The semantics of Kernel are treated through a new family of formal calculi, introduced here, called vau calculi. Vau calculi use direct subexpression-evaluation style to extend lambda calculus, eliminating a long-standing incompatibility between lambda calculus and fexprs that would otherwise trivialize their equational theories. The impure vau calculi introduce non-functional binding constructs and unconventional forms of substitution. This strategy avoids a difficulty of Felleisen's lambda-v-CS calculus, which modeled impure control and state using a partially non-compatible reduction relation, and therefore only approximated the Church-Rosser and Plotkin's Correspondence Theorems. The strategy here is supported by an abstract class of Regular Substitutive Reduction Systems, generalizing Klop's Regular Combinatory Reduction Systems."
88

Numerical Methods for European Option Pricing with BSDEs

Min, Ming 24 April 2018 (has links)
This paper aims to calculate the all-inclusive European option price based on XVA model numerically. For European type options, the XVA can be calculated as so- lution of a BSDE with a specific driver function. We use the FT scheme to find a linear approximation of the nonlinear BSDE and then use linear regression Monte Carlo method to calculate the option price.
89

Hydrological Impacts of Irrigation Schemes and Dams Operation in the Upper Niger Basin and Inner Niger Delta.

Maiga, Fatoumata 09 April 2019 (has links)
The Upper Niger Basins (UNB) and the Inner Niger Delta (IND) are integral parts of the Niger River Basin, which flows through 10 countries and constitutes the third longest river in Africa. Natural climate variability and human interventions are two major factors affecting the hydrological regime in the UNB and IND. This study focuses on the later factor, by assessing the hydrological impacts of key existing and planned manmade structures and irrigation schemes in the UNB: the Sélingué (existing dam in Mali), four variants of the Fomi/Moussako dam (planned in Guinea), and Office du Niger (irrigation scheme located in Mali). The Fomi /Moussako dam will be located in the headwaters of the UNB and therefore, is expected to alter the hydrological regime in large parts of the watershed. Expected impacts include a reduction of the flood peak which will adversely affect critical ecosystems in the IND, and higher flows directly downstream of the dams in the dry season to sustain irrigation. These higher flows will, however, be consumed by Office du Niger irrigation scheme, leading to possible severe water shortages downstream of the irrigation scheme and in the IND. This is likely to affect the Malian economy and the poorest parts of its population, as the IND is crucial for the socio-economic and ecological preservation and development of the population surrounding it. The hydrological impacts of the dams and the irrigation scheme were evaluated in this study by developing a model of the IND and UNB using SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). After the model was calibrated, the effects of the dams and the irrigation scheme on selected flow statistics (mean and standard deviation) were determined at fourteen hydrological stations. In general, the results have shown that (1) the Fomi/Moussako dam will noticeably reduce the downstream high flows, and reduce the average flow; (2) if the Fomi/Moussako dam was to be built, the alternatives with the least storage volume (Moussako 388.5') will have the least impacts on the downstream flows. To assist in related decision making for various users, a Decision Support System (DSS) was also developed. The goal of the DSS is to help users analyze the effects of dams and irrigation on the flow regime by performing a comparative analysis (presence and absence of dams and irrigation in the river). A number of potential adaptation measures were also proposed.
90

Estratégias para a sustentabilidade da mineração de rochas ornamentais no noroeste do estado do Espírito Santo

Macedo, Dione January 2016 (has links)
O presente trabalho tem por objetivo contribuir com a atividade de extração de rochas ornamentais, por meio de propostas com recomendações que possam indicar passos a serem seguidos (guidelines) para a sustentabilidade desse setor, utilizando como estudo de caso a região noroeste do Estado do Espírito Santo. Para isso são feitas propostas de planejamento em longo prazo por meio do Processo Prospectivo e, em mais curto prazo, por um esquema de certificação sustentável para a atividade, com vistas à sustentabilidade desse polo produtor, considerando sua importância e os problemas existentes. O Processo Prospectivo, feito mediante a utilização da abordagem inicial do Processo Prospectivo, com a varredura (scanning) do ambiente, e aplicado para a região noroeste do estado do Espírito Santo, apresentou-se como uma ferramenta adequada para atingir os objetivos do presente estudo, principalmente por apontar, a partir dos resultados, além da sua continuidade, também a viabilidade de implementar uma certificação de sustentabilidade para o setor de rochas ornamentais, pela concordância observada nos resultados obtidos, na visão dos stakeholders. Para a proposta de certificação sustentável foi feita uma pesquisa por meio de questionário com stakeholders chave da indústria de rochas ornamentais para identificar a percepção desses com relação à iniciativa, que incluiu tópicos gerais e específicos divididos em três temas principais: sustentabilidade da indústria de rochas ornamentais no Brasil; desafios para a sustentabilidade dessa indústria e deficiências e omissões da regulamentação vigente, relativa a esses desafios; e a viabilidade de um processo de certificação sustentável para a indústria de rochas ornamentais no Espírito Santo e a participação dos stakeholders e de seus órgãos nesse processo. Os resultados obtidos com o desenvolvimento do presente estudo permitem concluir que, na visão dos stakeholders da indústria de rochas ornamentais do Brasil, em especial na visão daqueles do estado de Espírito Santo, a formalização das empresas do setor, aliada a um processo de certificação, tem potencial para gerar benefícios significativos para o desenvolvimento local e/ou regional sustentável, o que coincide com outras experiências apresentadas na literatura vigente. Os resultados também mostraram que ainda há muito a ser estudado antes que uma certificação sustentável seja implementada, mas que há sinais encorajadores para a continuidade do trabalho, pois parte significativa dos stakeholders (sociedade, governo e empresários do setor) respondeu favoravelmente a essa iniciativa para o setor, até mesmo em âmbito nacional. Nesse sentido, é reforçada a importância da cooperação entre o setor, a sociedade e governo federal, estadual e municipal em todo o processo, de modo a se criar uma cultura que possibilite a sustentabilidade efetiva desse setor. Finalmente, o trabalho mostra que, apesar dos desafios existentes, as propostas de continuidade do Processo Prospectivo e de viabilização de um processo de certificação sustentável têm potencial para aprimorar a indústria de rochas ornamentais pela adoção de critérios, que visem não somente as questões de caráter econômico, como aquelas que melhorem a performance social e ambiental para a efetiva sustentabilidade dessa indústria. / This work aims to contribute with dimension stones industry by doing proposals and recommendations of guidelines to the sustainability of this industry, based on northwest region of Espirito Santo State as case study. Long term planning by applying the Foresight and of short term a Sustainability Certification Scheme are proposed in order to achieve the sustainability of the producer pole by considering its relevance and the existents problems. Foresight was applied for the northwest region using an initial approach of Foresight with the scanning of the environment, and it is presented as an appropriate tool to achieve the objectives of this study, mainly to point out from the results not only its continuity, but also the feasibility of implementing a sustainability certification scheme for the dimension stones industry, by the agreement observed in the results, in the view of stakeholders. For the sustainability certification scheme a survey was conducted with key stakeholders of the dimension stones industry to identify their perceptions regarding to the initiative, which included general and specific topics in three themes: sustainability of the dimension stones industry in Brazil; challenges to the sustainability of the dimension stones industry, and deficiencies and omissions of current regulatory processes regarding these challenges; and the feasibility of a sustainability certification scheme for the dimension stones industry in Espírito Santo State and the participation of entities/bodies/agencies in this process. The results obtained with the development of this study allow us to conclude that, in the view of stakeholders of the dimension stone industry in Brazil, especially the Espírito Santo State, the formalization of companies in the industry, combined with a certification process has the potential to generate significant benefits for local and/or regional sustainable development, which coincides with other experiences presented in current literature. The results also showed that there is still too much to be studied before a sustainability certification scheme is implemented, but there are encouraging signs for the continuity of the work, as a significant part of stakeholders (society, government and industry entrepreneurs) responded favorably to this initiative the industry, even at the national level. In this sense, it is reinforced the importance of cooperation between industry, society and federal, state and local government throughout the process, in order to create a culture that enables the sustainability of this sector. Finally, the study shows that despite the existing challenges, proposals for continuity of the Foresight and achieving a sustainability certification scheme have the potential to improve the dimension stones industry by adopting criteria that not only consider the economic issues of the industry, but also to improve its social and environmental performance for effective sustainability of this industry.

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