This thesis consists of an introduction and five articles. A common theme in all the articles is optimal timing when acting on a financial market. The main topics are optimal selling of an asset, optimal exercising of an American option, optimal stopping games and optimal strategies in trend following trading. In all the articles, we consider a financial market different from the standard Black-Scholes market. In two of the articles this difference consists in allowing for jumps of the underlying process. In the other three, the difference is that we have incomplete information about the drift of the underlying process. This is a natural assumption in many situations, including the case of a true buyer of an American option, trading in a market which exhibits trends, and optimal liquidation of an asset in the presence of a bubble. These examples are all addressed in this thesis.

This paper describes our work pricing options in the binomial model on leveraged exchange traded funds (ETFs) with three different approaches. A leveraged exchange traded fund attempts to achieve a similar daily return as the index it follows but at a specified positive or negative multiple of the return of the index. We price options on these funds using the leveraged multiple, predetermined by the leveraged ETF, of the volatility of the index. The initial approach is a basic time step approach followed by the standard Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein method. The final approach follows a different format which we will call the Trigeorgis pricing model. We demonstrate the difficulties in pricing these options based off the dynamics of the indices the ETFs follow.

The main contribution of this thesis is to examine binary options within the British payoff mechanism introduced by Peskir and Samee. This includes British cash-or-nothing put, British asset-or-nothing put, British binary call and American barrier binary options. We assume the geometric Brownian motion model and reduce the optimal stopping problems to free-boundary problems under the Markovian nature of the underlying process. With the help of the local time-space formula on curves, we derive a closed form expression for the arbitrage-free price in terms of the rational exercise boundary and show that the rational exercise boundary itself can be characterised as the unique solution to a non-linear integral equation. We begin by investigating the binary options of American-type which are also called `one-touch' binary options. Then we move on to examine the British binary options. Chapter~2 reviews the existing work on all different types of the binary options and sets the background for the British binary options. We price and analyse the American-type (one-touch) binary options using the risk-neutral probability method. In Chapters~3 ~4 and ~5, we present the British binary options where the holder enjoys the early exercise feature of American binary options whereupon his payoff is the `best prediction' of the European binary options payoff under the hypothesis that the true drift equals a contract drift. Based on the observed price movements, if the option holder finds that the true drift of the stock price is unfavourable then he can substitute it with the contract drift and minimise his losses. The key to the British binary option is the protection feature as not only can the option holder exercise at unfavourable stock price to a substantial reimbursement of the original option price (covering the ability to sell in a liquid option market completely endogenously) but also when the stock price movements are favourable he will generally receive high returns. Chapters~3 and~4 focus on the British binary put options and Chapter~5 on call options. We also analyse the financial meaning of the British binary options and show that with the contract drift properly selected the British binary options become very attractive alternatives to the classic European/American options. Chapter~6 extends the binary options into barrier binary options and discusses the application of the optimal structure without a smooth-fit condition in the option pricing. We first review the existing work for the knock-in options and present the main results from the literature. Then we examine the method in \cite{dai2004knock} in the application to the knock-in binary options. For the American knock-out binary options, the smooth-fit property does not hold when we apply the local time-space formula on curves. We transfer the expectation of the local time term into a computational form under the basic properties of Brownian motion. Using standard arguments based on Markov processes, we analyse the properties of the value function.

Optimal stopping and mathematical finance are intimately connected since the value of an American option is given as the solution to an optimal stopping problem. Such a problem can be viewed as a game in which we are trying to maximize an expected reward. The solution involves finding the best possible strategy, or equivalently, an optimal stopping time for the game. Moreover, the reward corresponding to this optimal time should be determined. It is also of interest to know how the solution depends on the model parameters. For example, when pricing and hedging an American option, the volatility needs to be estimated and it is of great practical importance to know how the price and hedging portfolio are affected by a possible misspecification. The first paper of this thesis investigates the performance of the delta hedging strategy for a class of American options with non-convex payoffs. It turns out that an option writer who overestimates the volatility will obtain a superhedge for the option when using the misspecified hedging portfolio. In the second paper we consider the valuation of a so-called stock loan when the lender is allowed to issue a margin call. We show that the price of such an instrument is equivalent to that of an American down-and-out barrier option with a rebate. The value of this option is determined explicitly together with the optimal repayment strategy of the stock loan. The third paper considers the problem of how to optimally stop a Brownian bridge. A finite horizon optimal stopping problem like this can rarely be solved explicitly. However, one expects the value function and the optimal stopping boundary to satisfy a time-dependent free boundary problem. By assuming a special form of the boundary, we are able to transform this problem into one which does not depend on time and solving this we obtain candidates for the value function and the boundary. Using stochastic calculus we then verify that these indeed satisfy our original problem. In the fourth paper we consider an investor wanting to take advantage of a mispricing in the market by purchasing a bull spread, which is liquidated in case of a market downturn. We show that this can be formulated as an optimal stopping problem which we then, using similar techniques as in the third paper, solve explicitly. In the fifth and final paper we study convexity preservation of option prices in a model with jumps. This is done by finding a sufficient condition for the no-crossing property to hold in a jump-diffusion setting.

In this study, we use the McKean's integral equation to evaluate the American option price for constant jump di

De ce fait, le premier objectif de notre travail consiste à proposer des générateurs de nombres aléatoires appropriés pour des architectures parallèles et massivement parallèles de clusters de CPUs/GPUs. Nous testerons le gain en temps de calcul et l'énergie consommée lors de l'implémentation du cas linéaire du pricing européen. Le deuxième objectif est de reformuler le problème non-linéaire du pricing américain pour que l'on puisse avoir des gains de parallélisation semblables à ceux obtenus pour les problèmes linéaires. La méthode proposée fondée sur le calcul de Malliavin est aussi plus avantageuse du point de vue du praticien au delà même de l'intérêt intrinsèque lié à la possibilité d'une bonne parallélisation. Toujours dans l'objectif de proposer des algorithmes parallèles, le dernier point est l'étude de l'unicité de la solution de certains cas linéaires inverses en finance. Cette unicité aide en effet à avoir des algorithmes simples fondés sur Monte Carlo / Handling multidimensional parabolic linear, nonlinear and linear inverse problems is the main objective of this work. It is the multidimensional word that makes virtually inevitable the use of simulation methods based on Monte Carlo. This word also makes necessary the use of parallel architectures. Indeed, the problems dealing with a large number of assets are major resources consumers, and only parallelization is able to reduce their execution times. Consequently, the first goal of our work is to propose "appropriate" random number generators to parallel and massively parallel architecture implemented on CPUs/GPUs cluster. We quantify the speedup and the energy consumption of the parallel execution of a European pricing. The second objective is to reformulate the nonlinear problem of pricing American options in order to get the same parallelization gains as those obtained for linear problems. In addition to its parallelization suitability, the proposed method based on Malliavin calculus has other practical advantages. Continuing with parallel algorithms, the last point of this work is dedicated to the uniqueness of the solution of some linear inverse problems in finance. This theoretical study enables the use of simple methods based on Monte Carlo

[EN] The present PhD thesis is focused on numerical analysis and computing of finite difference schemes for several relevant option pricing models that generalize the Black-Scholes model. A careful analysis of desirable properties for the numerical solutions of option pricing models as the positivity, stability and consistency, is provided. In order to handle the free boundary that arises in American option pricing problems, various transformation techniques based on front-fixing method are applied and studied. Special attention is paid to multi-asset option pricing, such as exchange or spread option. Appropriate transformation allows eliminating of the cross derivative term. Transformation techniques of partial differential equations to remove convection and reaction terms are studied in order to simplify the models and avoid possible troubles of stability. This thesis consists of six chapters. The first chapter is an introduction containing definitions of option and related terms and derivation of the Black-Scholes equation as well as general aspects of theory of finite difference schemes, including preliminaries on numerical analysis. Chapter 2 is devoted to solve linear Black-Scholes model for American put and call options. A Landau transformation and a new front-fixing transformation are applied to the free boundary value problem. It leads to non-linear partial differential equation (PDE) in a fixed domain. Stable and consistent explicit numerical schemes are proposed preserving positivity and monotonicity of the solution in accordance with the behaviour of the exact solution. Efficiency of the front-fixing method demonstrated in Chapter 2 has motivated us to apply the method to some more complicated nonlinear models. A new change of variables resulting in a time dependent boundary instead of fixed one, is applied to nonlinear Black-Scholes model for American options, such as Barles and Soner and Risk Adjusted Pricing models. Chapter 4 provides a new alternative approach for solving American option pricing problem based on rationality of investor. There exists an intensity function that can be reduced in the simplest case to penalty approach. Chapter 5 deals with multi-asset option pricing. Appropriate transformation allows eliminating of the cross derivative term avoiding computational drawbacks and possible troubles of stability. Concluding remarks are given in Chapter 6. All the considered models and numerical methods are accompanied by several examples and simulations. The convergence rate is computed confirming the theoretical study of consistency. Stability conditions are tested by numerical examples. Results are compared with known relevant methods in the literature showing efficiency of the proposed methods. / [ES] La presente tesis doctoral se centra en la construcción de esquemas en diferencias finitas y el análisis numérico de relevantes modelos de valoración de opciones que generalizan el modelo de Black-Scholes. Se proporciona un análisis cuidadoso de las propiedades de las soluciones numéricas tales como la positividad, la estabilidad y la consistencia. Con el fin de manejar la frontera libre que surge en los problemas de valoración de opciones Americanas, se aplican y se estudian diversas técnicas de transformación basadas en el método de fijación de las fronteras (front-fixing). Se presta especial atención a la valoración de opciones de múltiples activos, como son las opciones ''exchange'' y ''spread''. Esta tesis se compone de seis capítulos. El primer capítulo es una introducción que contiene las definiciones de opción y términos relacionados y la derivación de la ecuación de Black-Scholes, así como aspectos generales de la teoría de los esquemas en diferencias finitas, incluyendo preliminares de análisis numérico. El capítulo 2 está dedicado a resolver el modelo lineal de Black-Scholes para opciones Americanas put y call. Para fijar las fronteras del problema de frontera libre se aplican transformaciones como la de Landau y un nuevo cambio de variable propuesto. La eficiencia del método front-fixing mostrada en el capítulo 2 ha motivado el estudio de su aplicación a algunos modelos no lineales más complicados. En particular, se propone un cambio de variables que lleva a una nueva frontera dependiente del tiempo en lugar de una fija. Este cambio se aplica a modelos no lineales de Black-Scholes para opciones Americanas, como son el de Barles y Soner y el modelo RAPM (Risk Adjusted Pricing Methodology). El capítulo 4 ofrece una nueva técnica para la resolución de problemas de valoración de opciones Americanas basada en la racionalidad de los inversores. Aparece una función de la intensidad que se puede reducir en el caso más simple a la técnica de penalización (penalty method). Este enfoque tiene en cuenta el posible comportamiento irracional de los inversores. En la sección 4.2 se aplica esta técnica al modelo de cambio de regímenes lo que lleva a un nuevo modelo que tiene en cuenta el posible ejercicio irracional, así como varios estados del mercado. El enfoque del parámetro de racionalidad junto con una transformación logarítmica permiten construir un esquema numérico eficiente sin aplicar el método front-fixing o la conocida formulación de LCP (Linear Complementarity Problem). El capítulo 5 se dedica a la valoración de opciones de activos múltiples. Una transformación apropiada permite la eliminación del término de derivadas cruzadas evitando inconvenientes computacionales y posibles problemas de estabilidad. Las conclusiones se muestran en el capítulo 6. Se pone en relieve varios aspectos de la presente tesis. Todos los modelos considerados y los métodos numéricos van acompañados de varios ejemplos y simulaciones. Se estudia la convergencia numérica que confirma el estudio teórico de la consistencia. Las condiciones de estabilidad son corroboradas con ejemplos numéricos. Los resultados se comparan con métodos relevantes de la bibliografía mostrando la eficiencia de los métodos propuestos. / [CA] La present tesi doctoral se centra en la construcció d'esquemes en diferències finites i l'anàlisi numèrica de rellevants models de valoració d'opcions que generalitzen el model de Black-Scholes. Es proporciona una anàlisi cuidadosa de les propietats de les solucions numèri-ques com ara la positivitat, l'estabilitat i la consistència. A fi de manejar la frontera lliure que sorgix en els problemes de valoració d'opcions Americanes, s'apliquen i s'estudien diverses tècniques de transformació basades en el mètode de fixació de les fronteres (front-fixing). Es presta especial atenció a la valoració d'opcions de múltiples actius, com són les opcions ''exchange'' i ''spread''. Esta tesi es compon de sis capítols. El primer capítol és una introducció que conté les definicions d'opció i termes relacionats i la derivació de l'equació de Black-Scholes, així com aspectes generals de la teoria dels esquemes en diferències finites, incloent aspectes preliminars d'anàlisi numèrica. El 2n capítol està dedicat a resoldre el model lineal de Black-Scholes per a opcions Americanes ''put'' i ''call''. Per a fixar les fronteres del problema de frontera lliure s'apliquen transformacions com la de Landau i s'ha proposat un nou canvi de variable proposat. Açò porta a una equació diferencial en derivades parcials no lineal en un domini fix. L'eficiència del mètode front-fixing mostrada en el 2n capítol ha motivat l'estudi de la seua aplicació a alguns models no lineals més complicats. En particular, es proposa un canvi de variables que porta a una nova frontera dependent del temps en compte d'una fixa. Este canvi s'aplica a models no lineals de Black-Scholes per a opcions Americanes, com són el de Barles i Soner i el model RAPM (Risk Adjusted Pricing Methodology). El 4t capítol oferix una nova tècnica per a la resolució de problemes de valoració d'opcions Americanes basada en la racionalitat dels inversors. Apareix una funció de la intensitat que es pot reduir en el cas més simple a la tècnica de penalització (penal method) . Este enfocament té en compte el possible comportament irracional dels inversors. En la secció 4.2 s'aplica esta tècnica al model de canvi de règims el que porta a un nou model que té en compte el possible exercici irracional, així com diversos estats del mercat. L'enfocament del paràmetre de racionalitat junt amb una transformació logarítmica permeten construir un esquema numèric eficient sense aplicar el mètode front-fixing o la coneguda formulació de LCP (Linear Complementarity Problem). El 5é capítol es dedica a la valoració d'opcions d'actius múltiples. Una transformació apropiada permet l'eliminació del terme de derivades mixtes evitant inconvenients computacionals i possibles problemes d' estabilitat. Les conclusions es mostren al 6é capítol. Es posa en relleu diversos aspectes de la present tesi. Tots els models considerats i els mètodes numèrics van acompanyats de diversos exemples i simulacions. S'estu-dia la convergència numèrica que confirma l'estudi teòric de la consistència. Les condicions d'estabilitat són corroborades amb exemples numèrics. Els resultats es comparen amb mètodes rellevants de la bibliografia mostrant l'eficiència dels mètodes proposats. / Egorova, V. (2016). Finite Difference Methods for nonlinear American Option Pricing models: Numerical Analysis and Computing [Tesis doctoral]. Universitat Politècnica de València. https://doi.org/10.4995/Thesis/10251/68501 / TESIS / Premios Extraordinarios de tesis doctorales

This thesis consists of an introduction and five articles in the field of financial mathematics. The main topics of the papers comprise credit risk modelling, optimal stopping theory, and Dynkin games. An underlying theme in all of the articles is valuation of various financial instruments. Namely, Paper I deals with valuation of a game version of a perpetual American option where the parties disagree about the distributional properties of the underlying process, Papers II and III investigate pricing of default-sensitive contingent claims, Paper IV treats CVA (credit value adjustment) modelling for a portfolio consisting of American options, and Paper V studies a problem motivated by model calibration in pricing of corporate bonds. In each of the articles, we deal with an underlying stochastic process that is continuous in time and defined on some probability space. Namely, Papers I-IV treat stochastic processes with continuous paths, whereas Paper V assumes that the underlying process is a jump-diffusion with finite jump intensity. The information level in Paper I is the filtration generated by the stock value. In articles III and IV, we consider investors whose information flow is designed as a progressive enlargement with default time of the filtration generated by the stock price, whereas in Paper II the information flow is an initial enlargement. Paper V assumes that the default is a hitting time of the firm's value and thus the underlying filtration is the one generated by the process modelling this value. Moreover, in all of the papers the risk-free bonds are assumed for simplicity to have deterministic prices so that the focus is on the uncertainty coming from the stock price and default risk.

There is the need for applying numerical methods to problems that cannot be solved analytically and as the spatial dimension of the problem is increased the need for computational recourses increase exponentially, a phenomenon known as the “curse of dimensionality”. In the Black-Scholes-Merton framework the American option pricing problem has no closed form solution and a numerical procedure has to be employed for solving a PDE. The multi-asset American option introduces challenging computational problems, since for every added asset the dimension of the PDE is increased by one. One way to deal with the curse of dimensionality is threw parallelism. Here the finite element method-of-lines is used for pricing a multi-asset American option dependent on up to four assets in a parallel environment. The problem is also solved with the PSOR method giving a accurate benchmark used for comparison. In finance the put option is one of the most fundamental derivatives since it is basically asset-value insurance and a lot of research is done in the field of quantitative finance on accurate and fast pricing techniques for the multi-dimensional case. “What most experimenters take for granted before they begin their experiments is infinitely more interesting than any results to which their experiments lead.” Norbert Wiener “As soon as an Analytical Engine exists, it will necessarily guide the future course of the science. Whenever any result is sought by its aid, the question will then arise – by what course of calculation can these results be arrived at by the machine in the shortest time?” Charles Babbage

An assembled algorithm for pricing American options with absolute, discrete dividends using adaptive lattice methods is described. Considerations for hardware-conscious programming on both CPU and GPU platforms are discussed, to provide a foundation for the investigation of several approaches for deploying the program onto GPU architectures. The performance results of the approaches are compared to that of a central processing unit reference implementation, and to each other. In particular, an approach of designating subtrees to be calculated in parallel by allowing multiple calculation of overlapping elements is described. Among the examined methods, this attains the best performance results in a "realistic" region of calculation parameters. A fifteen- to thirty-fold improvement in performance over the CPU reference implementation is observed as the problem size grows sufficiently large.