Great Basin bristlecone pine (GBBP) (Pinus longaevaBailey) is one of the longest-lived organisms on Earth, and is one of the most highly fragmented high elevation conifer species. Throughout the Great Basin of the Intermountain West, GBBP are being impacted by changing disturbance regimes, invasive species, and climate change. To better understand the effects of climate variability and ecological disturbances in GBBP systems, three studies were designed and implemented. The first characterized the distribution of forest fuel in stands of GBBP and predicted how fuels may change under future climate scenarios. Using the Forest Inventory Analysis (FIA) plot variables of tree species, height, diameter at breast height (DBH), canopy base height (CBH), coarse (CWD) and fine (FWD) woody debris across elevational gradients, this study examined the effects of changes to fuel loading on predicted changes in fire behavior and severity. All classes of FWD decreased with elevation, and only 1000-hr fuels remained constant across elevational transects. This, combined with lower CBH and foliar moisture and increasing temperatures due to climate change, suggested increased fire potential at the GBBP treeline. The second study examined the role of volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and tree chemistry and their response to the environment. VOCs and within needle chemistry were collected and analyzed along elevational gradients near the northern and southern limits of GBBP. Random Forest analysis distinguished elevation using VOCs, with 83% accuracy, and identified the compounds most important for classification. Ordination revealed that temperature, heat load index, and relative humidity were each significantly correlated with VOCs. Within-needle chemistry provided less predictive value in classifying elevation (68% accuracy) and was correlated only with heat load index. These findings suggest that GBBP VOCs are highly sensitive to the environment. The final study explored the role of VOCs in host selection of mountain pine beetle (MPB). Mountain pine beetles oriented toward VOCs from host limber pine (Pinus flexilis James) and away from VOCs of non-host GBBP using a Y-tube olfactometer. When presented with VOCs of both trees, females overwhelmingly chose limber pine over GBBP. While there were only a few notable differences in VOCs collected from co-occurring GBBP and limber pine, 3-carene and D-limonene were produced in greater amounts by limber pine. There was no evidence that 3-carene is important for beetles when selecting trees, however, addition of D-limonene to GBBP VOCs disrupted the ability of beetles to distinguish between tree species. Climate change will impact how forests are managed and this research could provide insight into the mechanisms underlying the incredible longevity of this iconic tree species.

Indiana University-Purdue University Indianapolis (IUPUI) / The electrical disturbances in the power system have threatened the stability of the system. In the first step, it is necessary to detect these electrical disturbances or events. In the next step, a proper control should apply to the system to decrease the consequences of the disturbances. One-shot control is one of the effective methods for stabilizing the events. In this method, a proper amount of loads are increased or decreased to the electrical system. Determining the amounts of loads, and the location for shedding is crucial. Moreover, some control combinations are more effective for some events and less effective for some others. Therefore, this project is completed in two different sections. First, finding the effective control combinations, second, finding an algorithm for applying different control combinations to different contingencies in real-time. To find effective control combinations, sensitivity analysis is employed to locate the most effective loads in the system. Then to find the control combination commands, gradient descent, and PSO algorithm are used in this project. In the next step, a pattern recognition method is used to apply the appropriate control combination for every event. The decision tree is selected as the pattern recognition method. The three most effective control combinations found by sensitivity analysis and the PSO method are used in the remainder of this study. A decision tree is trained for each of the three control combinations, and their outputs are combined into an algorithm for selecting the best control in real-time. Finally, the algorithm is evaluated using a test set of contingencies. The final results reveal a 30\% improvement in comparison to the previous studies.

京都大学 / 0048 / 新制・課程博士 / 博士(農学) / 甲第20816号 / 農博第2256号 / 新制||農||1055(附属図書館) / 学位論文||H30||N5098(農学部図書室) / 京都大学大学院農学研究科森林科学専攻 / (主査)教授 神﨑 護, 教授 北島 薫, 教授 德地 直子 / 学位規則第4条第1項該当 / Doctor of Agricultural Science / Kyoto University / DGAM

Large scale outages have occurred worldwide in recent decades with some impacting 15-25% of a nation’s population. The complexity of blackouts has been extensively studied but many questions remain. As there are no perfect solutions to prevent blackouts, usually caused by a complex sequence of cascading events, a number of different measures need to be undertaken to minimize impact of future disturbances. Increase in deployment of phasor measurement units (PMUs) across the grid has given power industry an unprecedented technology to study dynamic behavior of the system in real time. Integration of large scale synchronized measurements with SCADA system requires a careful roadmap and methodology. When properly engineered, tested, and implemented, information extracted from synchrophasor data streams provides realtime observability for transmission system. Synchrophasor data can provide operators with quick insight into precursors of blackout (e.g., angular divergence) which are unavailable in traditional SCADA systems. Current visualization tools and SE functions, supported by SCADA, provide some basic monitoring. Inaccuracies in measurements and system models, absence of redundancy in the measured parameters or breaker statuses in most cases, and lack of synchronization and time resolution in SCADA data result in limited functionality and precision for a typical EMS required in today’s operating environment of tighter margins that require more frequent and more precise data. Addition of synchrophasor data, typically having several orders of magnitude higher temporal resolution, (i.e., 60 to 120 measurements per second as opposed to one measurement every 4 to 8 seconds), can help detect higher speed phenomena and system oscillations. Also, time synchronization to one micro-second allows for accurate comparison of phase angles across the grid and identification of major disturbances and islanding. This dissertation proposes a more comprehensive, holistic set of criteria for optimizing PMU placement with consideration for diverse factors that can influence PMU siting decision-making process and incorporates several practical implementation aspects. An innovative approach to interoperability testing is presented and solutions are offered to address the challenges. The proposed methodology is tested to prove the concept and address real-life implementation challenges, such as interoperability among the PMUs located across a large area.

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<p><strong>ABSTRACT </strong></p> <p>In the current climate of downsizing and cost cutting within the health care system in Ontario, the Long Term Care (LTC) sector is faced with the present and future challenge of providing care for a growing population of people afflicted with dementia. LTC facilities are generally regarded as a suitable location for people with dementia experiencing behavioural disturbances to live out the last years of their lives. Critics, advocates and researchers are concerned with the capacity of facilities to meet the complex care needs of this vulnerable population. Confronted by barriers such as staff shortages, increased workloads and acuity of resident care facilities are struggling. The purpose of this study was to explore what characterizes a LTC facility that allows the staff to receive and respond well to the care needs of their residents experiencing behavioural disturbances, to better understand the organizational culture and practices that distinguish them from facilities that are not as successful in their efforts to provide resident-centred care.</p> <p>A small qualitative study of specialized geriatric outreach case managers working within a number of different LTC facilities was conducted using personal interviews to draw forward their experiences and observations. This group of professionals was uniquely positioned to witness the organizational cultures and practices within facilities associated with good and responsive care. Analysis of their accounts suggests that an organizational culture within a LTC facility that is able to create an environment that builds capacity among the staff to provide responsive care, was resident-centred, had an inclusive work culture, provided support and work flexibility was better able to be responsive to the needs of residents with dementia experiencing behavioural disturbances. The findings also revealed the importance of not losing sight of the impact front-line staff can have on making changes and pushing back against the current social policy agenda and constraints in LTC.</p> / Master of Social Work (MSW)

Wide-area disturbances are power outages occurring over large geographical regions that dramatically affect the power system reliability, causing interruptions of the electric supply to residential, commercial, and industrial users. Historically, wide-area disturbances have greatly affected societies. Virginia Tech directed a research project related to the causes of the major disturbances in electric power systems. Research results showed that the role of the power system's protection schemes in the wide-area disturbances is critical. Incorrect operations of power system's protection schemes have contributed to a spread of the disturbances. This research defined hidden failures of protection schemes and showed that these kinds of failures have contributed in the degradation of 70-80 percent of the wide-area disturbances. During a wide-area disturbance analysis, it was found that hidden failures in protection schemes caused the disconnection of power system elements in an incorrect and undesirable manner contributing to the disturbance degradation. This dissertation presents a methodology to assess and rank the effects of unwanted disconnections caused by hidden failures based on Regions of Vulnerability and index of severity in the protection schemes. The developed methodology for the evaluation of the Region of Vulnerability found that the indicator that most accurately reflects the relationship of the Region of Vulnerability with the single line diagram is kilometers. For the representation of the Region of Vulnerability in the power system, we found segments in the transmission line in which the occurrence of faults do make the relay to operate, producing the unwanted disconnection caused by hidden failure. The results in the test system show that the infeed currents restrain the Region of Vulnerability from spreading along power system elements. Finally the methodology to compute the index of severity is developed. The index of severity has the objective of ranking the protection schemes, considers the dynamics of the protection schemes, and evaluates the overall disturbance consequence under the static and dynamic perspectives. / Ph. D.

Disturbances impact abiotic and biotic components within forested ecosystems. This dissertation identifies the impacts of recreational crossing disturbances on water quality, uses dendrochronological techniques to estimate sediment deposition and identify impacts hydrology and climate on radial growth in riparian forested wetlands, and quantifies influences of biotic and abiotic factors on the occurrence of frost-induced cambial damage. In southwestern Virginia, modeled soil erosion rates for multiple-use (hiking, mountain biking, and horseback riding) recreational trail approaches to stream crossings were found to be 13 times greater than rates for undisturbed forests. Downstream changes in macroinvertebrate-based indices indicated water quality was negatively affected downstream from culvert and ford crossings. These findings illustrate recreational stream crossings have the potential to deliver sediment into adjacent streams, particularly where best management practices are not being rigorously implemented, and as a result can negatively impact water quality below stream crossings. Impacts of hydrologic regime were apparent on sediment deposition and on green ash (Fraxinus pennsylvanica Marsh.) and water tupelo (Nyssa aquatica L.) radial growth along the Tensaw River in southwest Alabama. Annual dendrogeomorphic sediment accretion rates were significantly greater for a recent time period (25 years) when compared to longer term rates (131 years) along a natural levee and backswamp. Radial growth in green ash along the natural levee and backswamp was found to be significantly correlated with days flooded and average daily stage level during April while water tupelo further in the backswamp appeared resistant to hydrologic and climatic fluctuations. Results illustrate the importance of riparian wetlands in trapping sediment from adjacent waterways and highlight the role hydrologic regime plays in bottomland succession and productivity. Across northern lower Michigan, late spring frost-induced cambial damage in jack pine (Pinus banksiana Lamb.) occurred more frequently in younger trees and in trees with smaller diameters. Biotic and abiotic factors were found to influence the occurrence of earlywood frost rings. Frequent occurrences of frost-rings can be used to identify frost-prone environments and geographical boundaries for plant species. This dissertation bridged gaps in knowledge of recreational, hydrogeomorphic, and climatic disturbances in forested ecosystems which can be used to develop management strategies. / Ph. D.