Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 1981. / Typescript. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 91-95).

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Texas at Austin, 1998. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 167-194). Available also in a digital version from Dissertation Abstracts.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 1993. / Vita. Abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 224-238). Also available via the Internet.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of Wisconsin--Madison, 1984. / Typescript. Vita. eContent provider-neutral record in process. Description based on print version record. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 126-128).

This report discusses a multi-stage stochastic programming model that maximizes expected ending time profit assuming investors can forecast a bull or bear market trend. If an investor can always predict the market trend correctly and pick the optimal stochastic strategy that matches the real market trend, intuitively his return will beat the market performance. For investors with different levels of prediction accuracy, our analytical results support their decision of selecting the highest return strategy. Real stock prices of 154 stocks on 73 trading days are collected. The computational results verify that accurate prediction helps to exceed market return while portfolio profit drops if investors partially predict or forecast incorrectly part of the time. A sensitivity analysis shows how risk control requirements affect the investor's decision on selecting stochastic strategies under the same prediction accuracy. / text

This thesis focuses on task sequencing and manpower scheduling to develop robust schedules for an aircraft manufacturer. The production of an aircraft goes through a series of multiple workstations, each consisting of a large number of interactive tasks and a limited number of working zones. The duration of each task varies from operator to operator, because most operations are performed manually. These factors limit the ability of managers to balance, optimize, and change the statement of work in each workstation. In addition, engineers spend considerable amount of time to manually develop schedules that may be incompatible with the changes in the production rate. To address the above problems, the current state of work centers are first analyzed. Then, several deterministic mathematical programming models are developed to minimize the total production labour cost for a target cycle time. The mathematical models seek to find optimal schedules by eliminating and/or considering the effect of overtime on the production cost. The resulting schedules decrease the required number of operators by 16% and reduce production cycle time of work centers by 53% to 67%. Using these models, the time needed to develop a schedule is reduced from 36 days to less than a day. To handle the stochasticity of the task durations, a two-stage stochastic programming model is developed to minimize the total production labour cost and to find the number of operators that are able to work under every scenario. The solution of the two-stage stochastic programming model finds the same number of operators as that of the deterministic models, but reduces the time to adjust production schedules by 88%.

Thesis (Ph.D)--Industrial and Systems Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2010. / Committee Chair: Nemhauser, George; Committee Co-Chair: Ahmed, Shabbir; Committee Member: Bill Cook; Committee Member: Gu, Zonghao; Committee Member: Johnson, Ellis. Part of the SMARTech Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Collection.

Stochastic two-stage programming, a main branch of stochastic programming, offers models and methods to find the optimal objective function and decision variables under uncertainty. This dissertation is concerned with developing an approximate procedure to solve the stochastic two-stage programming problem and applying it in relative field. Five methods used in evaluating the expected value of function for distribution problem are discussed and their basic characteristics and performances are compared to choose the most effective approach for use in a two-stage program. Then the stochastic two-stage programming solving method has been established with the combination of a genetic algorithm (GA) and point estimation (PE) procedure. This approach avoids the inherent limitations of other methods by using PE to estimate the expected value of recourse function and the GA to search optimal solution of the problem. To extend the advantage of GA the modified genetic algorithm (MGA) is built to improve the performance of GA. Finally, the whole procedure is used in several examples with different kinds of variable and linear or nonlinear style objective functions. A stochastic two-stage programming model for an aquifer management problem is set up with considering conductivity and local random recharge as the source of uncertainty in the system. The designed procedure includes the response matrix process that replaces the partial differential flow equation, Girinski potential process and a pre-setup process that makes the response matrix process application in general aquifer random field possible. Other chosen problems are solved with designed approach to illustrate the effects of uncertainty source in the stochastic programming model and compared with results with ones given in literatures.

Stochastic linear programming problems are linear programming problems for which one or more data elements are described by random variables. Two-stage stochastic linear programming problems are problems in which a first stage decision is made before the random variables are observed. A second stage, or recourse decision, which varies with these observations compensates for any deficiencies which result from the earlier decision. Many applications areas including water resources, industrial management, economics and finance lead to two-stage stochastic linear programs with recourse. In this dissertation, two algorithms for solving stochastic linear programming problems with recourse are developed and tested. The first is referred to as Quadratic Stochastic Decomposition (QSD). This algorithm is an enhanced version of the Stochastic Decomposition (SD) algorithm of Higle and Sen (1988). The enhancements were designed to increase the computational efficiency of the SD algorithm by introducing a quadratic proximal term in the master program objective function and altering the manner in which the recourse function approximations are updated. We show that every accumulation point of an easily identifiable subsequence of points generated by the algorithm are optimal solutions to the stochastic program with probability 1. The various combinations of the enhancements are empirically investigated in a computational experiment using operations research problems from the literature. The second algorithm is an SD based algorithm for solving a stochastic linear program in which the recourse problem appears in the constraint set. This algorithm involves the use of an exact penalty function in the master program. We find that under certain conditions every accumulation point of a sequence of points generated by the algorithm is an optimal solution to the recourse constrained stochastic program, with probability 1. This algorithm is tested on several operations research problems.

This thesis focuses on task sequencing and manpower scheduling to develop robust schedules for an aircraft manufacturer. The production of an aircraft goes through a series of multiple workstations, each consisting of a large number of interactive tasks and a limited number of working zones. The duration of each task varies from operator to operator, because most operations are performed manually. These factors limit the ability of managers to balance, optimize, and change the statement of work in each workstation. In addition, engineers spend considerable amount of time to manually develop schedules that may be incompatible with the changes in the production rate. To address the above problems, the current state of work centers are first analyzed. Then, several deterministic mathematical programming models are developed to minimize the total production labour cost for a target cycle time. The mathematical models seek to find optimal schedules by eliminating and/or considering the effect of overtime on the production cost. The resulting schedules decrease the required number of operators by 16% and reduce production cycle time of work centers by 53% to 67%. Using these models, the time needed to develop a schedule is reduced from 36 days to less than a day. To handle the stochasticity of the task durations, a two-stage stochastic programming model is developed to minimize the total production labour cost and to find the number of operators that are able to work under every scenario. The solution of the two-stage stochastic programming model finds the same number of operators as that of the deterministic models, but reduces the time to adjust production schedules by 88%.