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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

[en] CHARACTERISTICS OF THE BRAZILIAN FLOATING EXCHANGE / [pt] ESTUDO DA FLUTUABILIDADE DO CÂMBIO BRASILEIRO

JOAO PAULO DA FONSECA PARRACHO SANTANNA 15 January 2004 (has links)
[pt] Esta dissertação tenta encontrar relações entre as variações das reservas internacionais do país e da sua taxa de câmbio. Estas relações são investigadas em diferentes contextos macroeconômicos, caracterizados essencialmente por mais duas variáveis: taxa de juros interna e remuneração do C-bond. Concentramos a análise em situações em que prevalece, nominalmente, câmbio flexível. Para isto, analisamos dados da economia brasileira após a mudança da política cambial de janeiro de 1999. A análise tem fundamentação teórica no Princípio da Paridade da Taxa de Juros, conforme aplicado à caracterização da situação de crise cambial por Carneiro e Wu (2001). Estudamos, também, a hipótese do Medo da Flutuação, proposta por Calvo e Reinhart (2000). O estudo foi baseado na análise de séries de dados mensais e diários. Analisando a série de dados diários, foi possível identificar correlações parciais negativas da variação de reservas com a variação da taxa de câmbio e com a remuneração do C-bond e positiva com a taxa de juros interna. / [en] This work searches relations between the variation of Brazilian international reserves and rate of exchange. These relations are investigated in different macroeconomic contexts, characterized essentially by two more variables: the internal rate of interest and the yield of the C-Bond. Analysis is focused on situations where floating exchange prevails. That is why we analyze Brazilian economic data after the change in the Brazilian exchange regimen, in January of 1999. This analysis has a theoretical basis on the principle of uncovered parity of the rate of interest, as well as on the results of Carneiro and Wu (2001) on the characterization of crisis in the exchange market. We consider also the hypothesis of fear of floating, proposed by Calvo and Reinhart (2000). The empirical study is based on the analysis of series of daily and mensal data. Analyszing the daily data series, we were able to identify a negative partial correlation of the reserves variation with the variation of the exchange rate as well as with the remuneration of the C-Bond and a positive partial correlation with the internal rate of interest.

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