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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

[en] A SPECTRAL SEQUENTIAL APPROACH TO STUDY NON-STATIONARY TIME SERIE / [pt] UMA ABORDAGEM SEQÜENCIAL ESPECTRAL NO ESTUDO DE SÉRIES TEMPORAIS NÃO ESTACIONÁRIAS

MAYSA SACRAMENTO DE MAGALHAES 07 August 2006 (has links)
[pt] Diferentes procedimentos têm sido propostos para a modelagem e previsão de séries temporais sendo que nos anos recentes muitos dos métodos mais importantes têm sido formulados na representação espaço de estado. A principal vantagem de tal abordagem é que se pode usar o Filtro de Kalman diretamente para, seqüencialmente, atualizar o vetor de estado. Apresentamos de forma sistemática a abordagem para a previsão de Séries Temporais não- Estacionárias formulada na representação de espaço de estado desenvolvida por P.Young. A novidade desta abordagem não está na natureza dos algoritmos recursivos, e sim na maneira como os hiperparâmetros são obtidos. Modelling and forecasting of Time Series have been approached in many different ways. Lately, the most important approaches have been formulated in a state space framework. The state space representation enables the state vector to be sequentially updated in time via the Kalman filter. In this dissertation, we present in a systematic way an approach to modelling and forecasting of non-stationary time series, formulated in state space terms, and due to P. Young. The novelty of this methodology is neither the nature fo the time series models nor the recursive algorithms, but on how the hyperparameters are estimated / [en] Modelling and forecasting of times Series have been approached in many different ways. Lately, the most important approaches have been formulated in a space framework. The state space representation enables the state vector to be sequencially updated in time via the Kalman filter. In this dissertation, we present in a systematic way an approach to modelling and forecasting of non-stationary time series, formulated in state space terms, and due to P. Young. The novelty of this methodology is neither the nature of the time series models nor the recursive algorithms, but on how the hyperparameteres are estimated

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