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固定收益資產風險因子的隨機模型研究許立興 Unknown Date (has links)
在金融海嘯與次級房貸後,如何有效的進行風險管理已為金融服務業的重要課題。此外我國政府為與國際接軌,正逐步開放金融服務業對外投資的限制。然而對金融服務業而言,既要增加對外投資、又要有效的控制風險,並同時考慮不同國家之間的相關性是困難的。本研究的主要目的是針對我國金融業主要投資的貨幣,建立固定收益風險因子的隨機模型,進而產生隨機模擬情境,最後以該情境做一簡單的應用說明。透過此模擬情境與隨機模擬模型,風險管理者可以依情況需要計算各種所須要的風險指標與投資損益,進而評估避險投資組合整體的績效。 / Effectively controlling risk in investment has become an important issue since the impact of subprime mortgage crisis. On the other hand, government in Taiwan has reduced bundle of investment in foreign countries; however, it’s a tradeoff of financial services companies between increasing investment in foreign country and risk management. It’s also a hard work to concern the correlation between interest rate and foreign exchange rate in different country. In this research, we are trying to construct a risk factor model and generate simulation for currency in Euro, America, and Asia area. The simulation can provide financial services companies as a reference of risk management.
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