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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

生物多樣性保護網路的成本有效性分析 / Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Reserve Network for Biodiversity Conservation

王肇強, Wang, Chao Chiang Unknown Date (has links)
就地保育被認為是保育生物多樣性的重點工作之一,而設置保護區是最常見的就地保育做法。本文的研究重點在於如何提昇保護區規劃的效率,內容可分為兩大部份。第一部份為回顧用於保護網絡規劃的保護區選擇問題理論相關研究,將研究演進方向分為保育目標、保育成本與限制條件、演算法、空間配置及有效棲地四類進行探討。第二部份為兩個個案分析。個案一為台灣保護網絡規劃研究,利用三種不同的規劃方式來尋找不同水準保育經費限制下,能使保育目標(受保護物種數)極大化的保護區組合。結果發現以OSL演算法配合互補性原則的規劃方式最佳,無論在何種保育目標水準之下其成本均是最低的。個案二為陽明山國家公園北部保護網絡規劃研究,比較考慮保護區以外土地使用類型對保育的貢獻與否,對物種存活率總和-保育成本間的關係的影響。結果發現在保育水準(物種存活率總和)很低時,兩者達到相同的保育水準所需的成本相差很多。比較保護所有棲地和將所有棲地作為農地兩種情況,假設農地對物種保育有所貢獻時,保護所有棲地能使物種存活率總和提高約1.1;若假設農地對物種保育沒有貢獻,則保護區棲地能使物種存活率總和提高約5.2。
2

兩母體共有物種數的估計及最佳停止點 / The optimal stopping rule for estimating the number of shared species of two populations

蔡政珈 Unknown Date (has links)
在生態學與生物學上,物種數常作為生物多樣性的指標,以估計單一群體物種數為例,較知名的方法首推Good (1953)以在樣本中出現一次的物種為基礎,提出的物種數估計方法堪稱的先驅,隨後許多文獻延伸Good的想法,發展出許多的估計方法,例如Burham and Overton (1978)的摺刀估計法,Chao and Lee (1992)則以涵蓋機率方式估計。相對而言,兩群體的共有物種數的研究少有人探討,目前以Chao et al. (2000)的估計式較為知名。 本研究參考Good (1953)提出估計未發現物種出現機率的想法,估計未發現共有物種的機率,並以Burham and Overton (1978)中應用摺刀法估計物種數的概念,建立一階摺刀估計式與變異數,且另行以多項分配公式推導變異數估計式,進行電腦模擬與實際資料驗證並與Chao et al. (2000)提出的共有物種估計式比較。最後根據Rasmussen and Starr (1979)以抽樣成本建立最適停止規則的概念,應用於本研究所提出的估計式,並經由電腦模擬找出抽樣成本與物種分佈均勻程度的關聯,可作為設定停止規則的依據。 / The number of species is often used to measure the biodiversity of a population in ecology and biology. Good (1953) proposed a famous estimate for the number of species based on the probability of unseen species. Subsequently, many studies applied Good’s idea to create new estimation methods, For example, the Jackknife estimate by Burham and Overton (1978), and the estimate by using the sample coverage probability in Chao and Lee (1992) are two famous examples. However, not many studies focus on estimating the number of shared species of two populations, except the method by Chao et al. (2000). In this study, we modify Good’s idea and extend the Jackknife method of Burham and Overton (1978) to develop the estimate for the number of shared species of two populations. In addition, we also establish the variance formula of the estimator by using the multinomial distribution. Subsequently, we use computer simulation and real data sets to evaluate the proposed method, and compare them with the estimator by Chao et al. (2000). Finally, we adapt the idea of optimal stopping rule by Rasmussen and Starr (1979) and combine it with the proposed jackknife estimate. We found that using the sampling cost as the stopping rule is a feasible approach for estimating the number of shared species.
3

共有物種數的無母數估計探討 / A non-parametric estimate for the number of shared species

洪志叡 Unknown Date (has links)
在生態學、生物學、和比較文學的研究中,物種個數通常是評估生物多樣性的重要指標,單一群落物種數的估計已有非常豐富的相關研究。較為知名者包括Good (1953)提出未出現物種的機率,作為估計物種數的參考,往後Good的想法被大量延伸,推演出不少新的估計方法,像是Burnham and Overton (1978)的Jackknife估計法,Chao and Lee (1992)利用涵蓋機率的估計。相對而言,兩群落共有物種數的研究較少,現有研究中較為知名的有Chao et al. (2000)的估計式。 本研究延伸Good想法,探討Jackknife估計法在兩群落的應用,以出現一次的共有物種(一階Jackknife估計),推估未出現共有物種機率,並且仿造Burnham and Overton的想法,建立共有物種數的估計值及變異數。本文除了以電腦模擬,也使用實例(包括:金庸武俠小說、台灣野生水鳥、巴拿馬螃蟹和巴洛科羅拉多森林)檢驗本文的Jackknife估計法,利用涵蓋機率角度發現抽出某特定比例樣本時,估計值涵蓋母體共有物種數之機率值達到九成以上,且也與Chao提出的估計值比較。 / The number of species is frequently used to measure the biodiversity of a population in ecology, biology, and comparative literature. There are quite a lot of studies related to estimating the number of species. Among these studies, Good (1953) proposed a famous estimate (Turing’s estimate) for the probability of unseen species. Subsequently, many methods have been proposed for estimating the number of species based on Good’s idea. For example, the Jackknife estimator by Burnham and Overton (1978) and sample coverage probability by Chao and Lee (1992) are two famous estimates for the number of species. In contrast, there are not many studies for the number of shared species in two communities, and Chao et al. (2000) is probably the only one. This article extends Good’s idea and the Jackknife method to estimate the number of shared species in two communities. Similar to Burnham and Overton, we establish the estimate and its estimated variance, based on the number of species appearing exactly once. We also use computer simulation and real data sets (Jin-Yong martial arts novels, Taiwan wild birds, Panama crustacean, and Barro Colorado Island forest) to evaluate the proposed method. We found that the coverage probability for confidence interval covering the true number of shared species is more than 90%. In addition, we compare the proposed method with Chao’s method.

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