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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Commercial opening and Inflation: A EmpÃric Evidence for Brazil / Abertura Comercial e InflaÃÃo: Uma EvidÃncia EmpÃrica para o Brasil

Isac de AlcÃntara Macedo 30 March 2007 (has links)
Esta dissertaÃÃo analisa o efeito da abertura comercial, a partir da dÃcada de noventa, sobre a taxa de inflaÃÃo no Brasil. De acordo com a literatura teÃrica e empÃrica sobre esta relaÃÃo, quanto maior a abertura comercial, menor o impacto de polÃticas monetÃrias discricionÃrias sobre a taxa de inflaÃÃo. Neste sentido, utilizando informaÃÃes dos Estados brasileiros, referente ao perÃodo entre 1990 e 2003, estimam-se dois modelos economÃtricos com dados em painel com o objetivo de verificar se a correlaÃÃo entre a taxa de inflaÃÃo e abertura econÃmica à negativa. De acordo com Romer (1993), em economias com estabilidade e Banco Central independente esta correlaÃÃo deveria ser fraca ou nÃo significante. Para o caso brasileiro à de se esperar que esta relaÃÃo nÃo se mantenha em funÃÃo do Plano Real, a partir de 1994, por haver estabilizado a economia brasileira e dado maior autonomia ao Banco Central na conduÃÃo da polÃtica monetÃria. Simultaneamente, no inÃcio da dÃcada de noventa, a economia intensificou o processo da abertura econÃmica. De fato, os resultados obtidos a partir da estimaÃÃo dos modelos mostraram que o impacto da abertura sobre a taxa de inflaÃÃo nÃo foi significante e que os fatores determinantes para o seu declÃnio foram os efeitos do Plano Real juntamente com a maior autonomia do Banco Central. / This dissertacion analyzes the effect of the commercial opening, from the decade of ninety, on the tax of inflation in Brazil. In accordance with theoretical and empirical on this relation, how much bigger literature the commercial, lesser opening the impact of discretional monetary politics on the inflation tax. In this direction, using information of the Brazilian States, referring to the period between 1990 and 2003, esteem two econometrical models with data in panel with the objective to verify if the correlation enters the inflation tax and economic opening is negative. In accordance with Romer (1993), in economies with stability and independent Central banking this correlation would have to be weak or not significant. For the Brazilian case it is of if waiting that this relation if does not keep in function of the Real Plan, from 1994, for having stabilized the Brazilian economy and data bigger autonomy to the Central banking in the conduction of the monetary politics. Simultaneously, at the beginning of the decade of ninety, the economy intensified the process of the economic opening. In fact, the results gotten from the esteem of the models had shown that the impact of the opening on the inflation tax was not significant and that the determinative factors for its decline had been the effect of the Real Plan together with the biggest autonomy of the Central banking.

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