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A critical study of statistical methods in use evaluating studying the causes of traumatic mortality, due to traffic accidents submitted in partial fulfillment ... /Selling, Lowell S. January 1939 (has links)
Thesis (M.S.P.H.)--University of Michigan, 1939.
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A critical study of statistical methods in use evaluating studying the causes of traumatic mortality, due to traffic accidents submitted in partial fulfillment ... /Selling, Lowell S. January 1939 (has links)
Thesis (M.S.P.H.)--University of Michigan, 1939.
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Exploring the Determinants of Vulnerable Road Users' Crash Severity in State RoadsCaviedes Cómbita, Àlvaro Alfonso 08 December 2017 (has links)
Pedestrians and bicyclists are the most vulnerable road users and suffer the most severe consequences when crashes take place. An extensive literature is available for crash severity in terms of driver safety, but fewer studies have explored non-motorized users' crash severity. Furthermore, most research efforts have examined pedestrian and bicyclist crash severity in urban areas. This study focuses on state roads (mostly outside major urban areas) and aims to identify contributing risk factors of fatal and severe crashes involving pedestrians and bicyclists in state roads. Two ordinal regression models were developed (one for pedestrian and the other for bicyclist crashes) to examine crash severity risk factors. Additional models were developed to investigate road and traffic characteristics that could increase the likelihood of fatal crashes. In the model for pedestrian crash severity risk factors such as age, vehicle type and movement, light conditions, road classification, traffic control device, posted speed limit, location of the pedestrian and wet road surface during clear weather conditions are statistically significant. The bicyclist crash severity model indicates that age, crash location, vehicle movement and alcohol intoxication during dark conditions are statistically significant. In terms of road characteristics and traffic conditions, the models suggested risk factors such as arterials, light conditions, posted speed limit, roadways, and high heavy vehicle volume, increased the odds of a crash being fatal.
The results seem to suggest that besides improvements in roadway characteristics, additional countermeasures to reduce crash severity for vulnerable users should include separation of vulnerable users from traffic, educational campaigns, more strict control of alcohol intoxicated drivers, and protection strategies of senior pedestrians.
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The analysis of road traffic accident data in the implementation of road safety remedial programmesMollet, C. J. 03 1900 (has links)
Thesis (M.Ing.)--Stellenbosch University, 2001. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: A road safety remedial programme has as an objective the improvement of road
transportation safety by applying road safety engineering remedial measures to
hazardous road network elements in a manner that will be economically
efficient.
Since accident data is the primary manifestation of poor safety levels it must be
analysed in manner that will support the overall objective of economic efficiency.
Three steps in the process of implementing a road safety remedial programme,
that rely on the systematic analysis of accident data, are the identification of
hazardous locations, the ranking of hazardous locations and the evaluation of
remedial measure effectiveness.
The efficiency of a road safety remedial programme can be enhanced by using
appropriate methodologies to measure safety, identify and rank hazardous
locations and to determine the effectiveness of road safety remedial measures.
There are a number of methodologies available to perform these tasks, although
some perform much better than other. Methodologies based on the Empirical
Bayesian approach generally provide better results than the Conventional
methods. Bayesian methodologies are not often used in South Africa. To do so
would require the additional training of students and engineering professionals
as well as more research by tertiary and other research institutions.
The efficiency of a road safety remedial programme can be compromised by
using poor quality accident data. In South Africa the quality of accident data is
generally poor and should more attention be given to the proper management
and control of accident data.
This thesis will report on, investigate and evaluate Bayesian and Conventional
accident data analysis methodologies. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Die doel van 'n padveiligheidsverbeteringsprogram is om op die mees koste
effektiewe manier die veiligheid van onveilige padnetwerkelemente te verbeter
deur die toepassing van ingenieursmaatreëls.
Aangesien padveiligheid direk verband hou met verkeersongelukke vereis die
koste effektiewe implementering van 'n padveiligheidsverbeteringsprogram die
doelgerigte en korrekte ontleding van ongeluksdata.
Om 'n padveiligheidsverbeteringsprogram te implementeer word die ontleding
van ongeluksdata verlang vir die identifisering en priortisering van gevaarkolle,
sowel as om die effektiwiteit van verbeteringsmaatreëls te bepaal.
Die koste effektiwiteit van 'n padveiligheidsverbeteringsprogram kan verbeter
word deur die regte metodes te kies om padveiligheid te meet, gevaarkolle te
identifiseer en te prioritiseer en om die effektiwiteit van verbeteringsmaatreëls te
bepaal. Daar is verskeie metodes om hierdie ontledings te doen, alhoewel
sommige van die metodes beter is as ander. Die 'Bayesian' metodes lewer oor
die algemeen beter resultate as die gewone konvensionele metodes. 'Bayesian'
metodes word nie. in Suid Afrika toegepas nie. Om dit te doen sal addisionele
opleiding van studente en ingenieurs vereis, sowel as addisionele navorsing
deur universiteite en ander navorsing instansies.
Die gebruik van swak kwaliteit ongeluksdata kan die integriteit van 'n
padveiligheidsverbeteringsprogram benadeel. Die kwaliteit van ongeluksdata in
Suid Afrika is oor die algemeen swak en behoort meer aandag gegee te word
aan die bestuur en kontrole van ongeluksdata.
Die doel van hierdie tesis is om verslag te doen oor 'Bayesian' en konvensionele
metodes wat gebruik kan word om ongeluksdata te ontleed, dit te ondersoek en
te evalueer.
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An analysis of slip, trip, and fall incidents among workers at a veterans' hospital [electronic resource] / by Michelle C. Eaton.Eaton, Michelle C. January 2003 (has links)
Title from PDF of title page. / Document formatted into pages; contains 119 pages. / Thesis (M.S.P.H.)--University of South Florida, 2003. / Includes bibliographical references. / Text (Electronic thesis) in PDF format. / ABSTRACT: Occupational slip, trip, and fall, (STF), incidents are a significant cause of traumatic occupational injuries and has been identified as NORA priority area. Objective: The National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health in collaboration with Liberty Mutual Research Center for Safety and Health, the Finnish Institute for Occupational Safety and Health, and BJC Health System is conducting a 3 year study titled "Slip and Falls Prevention in Health Care Workers". A key component of the overall study is the descriptive analysis of 72 months (1996-2001) of STF incidents. Setting: This analysis encompasses data from the James A. Haley Veteran's Administration Medical Center, (JAH). Results: Forty- five months of historical STF data from the ASISTS database was analyzed. / ABSTRACT: Of 279 STF incidents, 71.22%, (240) were female, the median age was 49 years, RN's were the most common occupational category (70 =21.74%), trips were the most common type of incident, (105 = 33.44%), the parking lot was the most common location, (75 = 23.70%), Non- specified slick surfaces (56 = 17.83%) and non- patient related objects were the most common cause (56 =17.83%), 70.85%, (192) returned to full duty, and 83.67%, (246) had no lost work time. Wilcoxon Ranked Sum test comparing those with affected work time found no significant difference in age (p= 0.4133). Analysis could not be performed using exact number of lost work days and days on light duty because of discrepancies between the ASISTS and Safety Office alternative databases. Conclusion: Efforts and resources to decrease the number of STF incidents at the JAH would be best concentrated in the following areas: Occupations, locations, and causes associated with the highest frequencies of STF incidents. / ABSTRACT: Proposed improvements in the method of data collection include: Identify what STF questions want to be answered. Decide what data is required to answer the question. Design a data collection system around this. Strive for a more integrated approach; encourage employee reporting; altering VA form 2162. Given the downward trend in the three year analysis of STF incidents, caution should be used in analyzing the results of a pre and post intervention study. / System requirements: World Wide Web browser and PDF reader. / Mode of access: World Wide Web.
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Statistical analysis of crashes occurring at intersections in malfunction flashWatson, Christopher Earl. January 2008 (has links)
Thesis (M. S.)--Civil and Environmental Engineering, Georgia Institute of Technology, 2009. / Committee Member: Hunter, Michael; Committee Member: Meyer, Michael; Committee Member: Rodgers, Michael. Part of the SMARTech Electronic Thesis and Dissertation Collection.
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Statistical analysis of crashes occurring at intersections in malfunction flashWatson, Christopher Earl 19 November 2008 (has links)
This thesis presents an analysis of the characteristics of malfunction flash incidents based on the Georgia Department of Transportation crash reporting database. Malfunction flash is an unintentional state of flash mode in intersection signal hardware. The flash mode is a signal indication of yellow/red or red/red flash. The flash mode can be due to many issues, such as hardware failure, damage, or storms.
Crash reports are completed by police officers at the scene. After processing by the local jurisdiction reports are sent to GDOT for archiving and analysis. GDOT archives the reports in a PDF image format without editable text. This research will develop a procedure to convert the archived PDF reports to text files using optical character recognition (OCR) software. The developed procedure will extract the description paragraph of the incident from the PDF. The extracted descriptions may then be searched for useful information about the incident. The text files will be run through a filter for keywords, such as; "malfunction flash," "red/red flash," "yellow/red flash," and others. Incidents flagged by the keywords will be reexamined to determine if they are malfunction flash incidents.
The 2006 GDOT incident data base will be used for this effort. From an original possible candidate list of 70,000 signalized intersection incidents malfunction incidents will be identified using this method. A statistical analysis will be completed seeking trends and important characteristics of malfunction incidents.
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Estimating the continuous risk of accidents occurring in the South African mining industryVan den Honert, Andrew 12 1900 (has links)
Thesis (MEng)--Stellenbosch University, 2014. / ENGLISH ABSTRACT: Statistics from mining accidents expose that the potential for injury or
death to employees from occupational accidents is relatively high. This study
attempts to contribute to the on-going efforts to improve occupational safety
in the mining industry by creating a model capable of predicting the continuous
risk of occupational accidents occurring. Model inputs include the time
of day, time into shift, temperatures, humidity, rainfall and production rate.
The approach includes using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to identify
patterns between the input attributes and to predict the continuous risk of
accidents occurring. As a predecessor to the development of the model, a
comprehensive literature study was conducted. The objectives of the study
were to understand occupational safety, explore various forecasting techniques
and identify contributing factors that influence the occurrence of accidents and
in so doing recognise any gaps in the current knowledge. Another objective
was to quantify the contributing factors identified, as well as detect the sensitivity
amongst these factors and in so doing deliver a groundwork for the
present model.
After the literature was studied, the model design and construction was
performed as well as the model training and validation. The training and
validation took the form of a case study with data from a platinum mine
near Rustenburg in South Africa. The data was split into three sections,
namely, underground, engineering and other. Then the model was trained and
validated separately for the three sections on a yearly basis. This resulted
in meaningful correlation between the predicted continuous risk and actual
accidents as well as the majority of the actual accidents only occurring while
the continuous risk was estimated to be above 80%. However, the underground section has so many accidents, that the risk is permanently very high. Yet, the
engineering and other sections produced results useful for managerial decisions. / AFRIKAANSE OPSOMMING: Mynbou ongeluk statistieke dui aan dat die potensiaal vir besering of dood
as gevolg van beroepsongelukke relatief hoog is. Die studie poog om by te dra
tot die voortdurende verbetering van beroepsveiligheid in die mynbedryf deur
middel van ’n model wat die risiko van beroepsongelukke voorspel. Die model
vereis die tyd, tyd verstreke in die skof, temperatuur, humiditeit, reënval en
produksie tydens die ongeluk as inset. Die benadering tot hierdie model maak
gebruik van ’n Kunsmatige Neurale Netwerk (KNN) om patrone tussen die
insette te erken en om die risiko van ’n voorval te beraam. As ’n voorloper
tot die model ontwikkeling, is ’n omvattende literatuurstudie onderneem. Die
doelwitte van die literatuur studie was om beroepsveiligheid beter te verstaan,
verskeie voorspellings tegnieke te ondersoek en kennis van bydraende faktore
wat lei tot voorvalle te ondersoek. Nog ’n doelwit sluit die kwantifisering in van
geidentifiseerde bydraende faktore, asook die opsporing van die sensitiwiteit
tussen hierdie faktore en hierdeur ’n fondasie vir die voorgestelde model te
skep.
Na afloop van die literatuurstudie is die model ontwikkel, opgelei en gevalideer.
Die opleiding en validasie is deur middel van ’n gevallestudie in ’n
platinummyn naby Rustenburg in Suid Afrika gedoen. Die data is verdeel in
drie afdelings, d.i. ondergronds, ingenieurswese en ander. Die model is vir
elke afdeling apart opgelei en gevalideer op ’n jaarlikse basis. Hierdie het gelei
tot ’n betekenisvolle korrelasie tussen die voorspelde risiko en die werklike
ongelukke met die meerderheid van die werklike ongevalle wat voorgekom het
terwyl die risiko 80% oorskry het. In die ondergrondse afdeling is so baie voorvalle waarneem dat die risiko permanent hoog is. Die ander afdelings het wel
resultate verskaf wat sinvol gebruik kan word in bestuursbesluite.
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Analysis of road traffic accidents in Limpopo Province using generalized linear modellingMphekgwana, Modupi Peter January 2020 (has links)
Thesis (M.Sc. (Statistics)) -- University of Limpopo, 2020 / Background: Death and economic losses due to road traffic accidents (RTA) are huge global public health and developmental problems and need urgent attention. Each year nearly 1.24 million people die and millions suffer various forms of disability as a result of road accidents. This puts road traffic injuries (RTIs) as the eighth leading cause of death globally and RTIs are set to become the fifth leading cause of death worldwide by the year 2030 unless urgent actions are taken.
Aim: In this paper, we investigate factors that contribute to road traffic deaths (RTDs) in the Limpopo province of South Africa using models such as the generalized linear models (GLM) and zero inflated models.
Methods: The study was based on retrospective data that comprised of reports of 18,029 road traffic accidents and 4,944 road traffic deaths over the years 2009 – 2015. Generalized linear modelling and zero-inflated models were used to identify factors and determine their relationships to RTDs.
Results: The data was split into two categories: deaths that occurred during holidays and those that occurred during non-holiday periods. It was found that the following variables, namely, Monday, human actions, vehicle conditions and vehicle makes, were significant predictors of RTDs during holidays. On the other hand, during non-holiday periods, weekend, Tuesday, Wednesday, national road, provincial road, sedan, LDV, combi and bus were found to be significant predictors of road traffic deaths.
Conclusion: GLM techniques, such as the standard Poisson regression model and the negative binomial (NB) model, did little to explain the zero excess, therefore, zero-inflated models, such as zero-inflated negative binomial (ZINB), were found to be useful in explaining excess zeros.
Recommendation: The study recommends that the government should make more human power available during the festive seasons, such as the December holidays, and over weekends.
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