<div>The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) has a vision for Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) based on safely introducing aviation services to missions that were previously not served or under-served. Many potential AAM missions lie in metropolitan areas that are beset by various types of uncertainty and potential constraints. Radio interference from other electronic devices can render unreliable communication between flying vehicles to ground operators. Buildings have irregular surfaces that degrade GPS localization performance. Skyscrapers can induce spontaneous turbulence that degrades vehicles' navigational accuracy. However, the potential market demands for aerial passenger-carrying and package delivery services have attracted investments. For example, Google WingX, Amazon Prime Air, and Joby Aviation are well-known companies developing AAM systems and services. If the market visions are realized, how will safety be assessed and maintained with high-density AAM operations?</div><div><br></div><div>While there are multiple technology candidates for realizing high-density AAM operations in urban environments, the means to accomplish the requisite first step of assessing the airspace safety of an integrated AAM eco-system from the candidate technologies is crucial but as yet unclear. This dissertation proposes an entropy-based framework for assessing the airspace safety level for low-altitude airspace in an AAM setting. The framework includes a conceptual model for depicting the information flows between air vehicles and an air traffic authority (ATA) and the use of a probability distribution to represent the traffic state. Subsequently, the framework embeds three airspace-level metrics for assessing airspace safety and uncertainty levels. The traffic safety severity metric quantifies the traffic safety level. The traffic entropy quantifies the uncertainty level of the traffic state distribution. Finally, the temperature is the ratio of the traffic safety severity to the traffic entropy. The temperature is similar to the traffic safety severity but gives a higher weight to the instance with a safe traffic state. </div><div><br></div><div>Simulation studies show that the combined use of the three metrics can evaluate relative airspace safety levels even if the unsafe conditions do not occur. The use cases include using the metrics for real-time airspace safety level monitoring and comparing the design of airspace systems and operational strategies. Additionally, this study demonstrates using a heat map to visualize vehicle-level metrics and assess designs of UAM airspace structures. The contribution of this study includes two parts. First, the temperature metric can heuristically assess a probability function. Based on the definition of the cost function, the temperature metric gives a higher weighting to the instance of the probability function with a lower cost value. This study constructs several triggers for predicting if a near-miss event would happen in the airspace. The temperature-based trigger has a better prediction accuracy than the cost-function-based trigger. Secondly, the temperature can visualize the safety level of an airspace structure with the considerations of the environmental and vehicle state measurement uncertainty. The locations with high-temperature values indicate that the regions are more likely to have endangered vehicles. Although this framework does not provide any means of resolving the unsafe conditions, it can be powerful in the comparison of different airspace design concepts and identify the weaknesses of either airspace design or operational strategies. </div>

Small unmanned aircraft and electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft have recently emerged as vehicles able to perform new missions and stimulate future air transportation methods. This dissertation presents several system identification research advancements for these modern aircraft configurations enabling accurate mathematical model development for flight dynamics simulations based on wind-tunnel and flight-test data. The first part of the dissertation focuses on advances in flight-test system identification methods using small, fixed-wing, remotely-piloted, electric, propeller-driven aircraft. A generalized approach for flight dynamics model development for small fixed-wing aircraft from flight data is described and is followed by presentation of novel flight-test system identification applications, including: aero-propulsive model development for propeller aircraft and nonlinear dynamic model identification without mass properties. The second part of the dissertation builds on established fixed-wing and rotary-wing aircraft system identification methods to develop modeling strategies for transitioning, distributed propulsion, eVTOL aircraft. Novel wind-tunnel experiment designs and aero-propulsive modeling approaches are developed using a subscale, tandem tilt-wing, eVTOL aircraft, leveraging design of experiments and response surface methodology techniques. Additionally, a method applying orthogonal phase-optimized multisine input excitations to aircraft control effectors in wind-tunnel testing is developed to improve test efficiency and identified model utility. Finally, the culmination of this dissertation is synthesis of the techniques described throughout the document to form a flight-test system identification approach for eVTOL aircraft that is demonstrated using a high-fidelity flight dynamics simulation. The research findings highlighted throughout the dissertation constitute substantial progress in efficient empirical aircraft modeling strategies that are applicable to many current and future aeronautical vehicles enabling accurate flight simulation development, which can subsequently be used to foster advancement in many other pertinent technology areas. / Doctor of Philosophy / Small, electric-powered airplanes flown without an onboard pilot, as well as novel electric aircraft configurations with many propellers that operate at a wide range of speeds, referred to as electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, have recently emerged as aeronautical vehicles able to perform new tasks for future airborne transportation methods. This dissertation presents several mathematical modeling research advancements for these modern aircraft that foster accurate description and prediction of their motion in flight. The mathematical models are developed from data collected in wind-tunnel tests that force air over a vehicle to simulate the aerodynamic forces in flight, as well as from data collected while flying the aircraft. The first part of the dissertation focuses on advances in mathematical modeling approaches using flight data collected from small traditional airplane configurations that are controlled by a pilot operating the vehicle from the ground. A generalized approach for mathematical model development for small airplanes from flight data is described and is followed by presentation of novel modeling applications, including: characterization of the coupled airframe and propulsion aerodynamics and model development when vehicle mass properties are not known. The second part of the dissertation builds on established airplane, helicopter, and multirotor mathematical modeling methods to develop strategies for characterization of the flight motion of eVTOL aircraft. Innovative data collection and modeling approaches using wind-tunnel testing are developed and applied to a subscale eVTOL aircraft with two tilting wings. Statistically rigorous experimentation strategies are employed to allow the effects of many individual controls and their interactions to be simultaneously distinguished while also allowing expeditious test execution and enhancement of the mathematical model prediction capability. Finally, techniques highlighted throughout the dissertation are combined to form a mathematical modeling approach for eVTOL aircraft using flight data, which is demonstrated using a realistic flight simulation. The research findings described throughout the dissertation constitute substantial progress in efficient aircraft modeling strategies that are applicable to many current and future vehicles enabling accurate flight simulator development, which can subsequently be used for many research applications.

This thesis presents a dedicated GPS-denied landing system designed for electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft. The system employs active fiducial light pattern localization (AFLPL), which provides highly accurate and reliable navigation during critical landing phases. AFLPL utilizes images of a constellation comprised of modulating infrared lights strategically positioned on the landing site, to determine the aircraft pose through the use of a perspective-n-point (PnP) solver. The AFLPL system underwent thorough development, enhancement, and implementation to address and demonstrate its potential in navigation and its inherent limitations. A proposed method addresses the limitations of AFLPL by using an extended Kalman filter (EKF) to fuse PnP camera pose estimates with sensor measurements from an inertial measurement unit (IMU), attitude heading reference system (AHRS), and optional global positioning system (GPS). The EKF estimation is reported to significantly enhance the accuracy, reliability, and update frequency of the aircraft state estimation. To refine and validate the AFLPL and EKF algorithms, a simulation was developed, consisting of an eVTOL executing a glideslope landing trajectory. Furthermore, a hardware system consisting of a multirotor and infrared light ground units was implemented to test these methods under real-world conditions. This research culminated in the successful demonstration of the AFLPL-based estimation system's efficacy through an autonomous, GPS-denied landing flight test, affirming its potential to improve the navigation and control of eVTOL aircraft lacking access to GPS information.

This dissertation comprises multiple studies surrounding demand estimation, feasibility and capacity analysis, and environmental impact of the Urban Air Mobility (UAM) or Advanced Air Mobility (AAM). UAM is a concept aerial transportation mode designed for intracity transport of passengers and cargo utilizing autonomous (or piloted) electric vehicles capable of Vertical Take-Off and Landing (VTOL) from dense and congested areas. While the industry is preparing to introduce this revolutionary mode in urban areas, realizing the scope and understanding the factors affecting the attractiveness of this mode is essential. The success of UAM depends on its operational efficiency and the relative utility it offers to current travelers. The studies presented in this dissertation primarily focus on analyzing urban travelers' current behavior using revealed preference data and estimating the potential UAM demand for different trip purposes in multiple U.S. urban areas. Chapter II presents a methodology to estimate commuter demand for UAM operations in the Northern California region. A mode-choice model is calibrated from the commuter mode-choice behavior observed in the survey data. An integrated demand estimation framework is developed utilizing the calibrated mode-choice model to estimate UAM demand and place vertiports. The feasibility of commuter UAM operations in Northern California is further analyzed through a series of sensitivity analyses. This study was published in Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice journal. In an effort to analyze the feasibility of UAM operations in different use cases, demand estimation frameworks are developed to estimate UAM demand in the airport access trips segment. Chapter III and Chapter IV focus on developing the UAM Concept of Operations (ConOps) and demand estimation methodology for airport access trips to Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport (DFW)/Dallas Love Field Airport (DAL) and Los Angeles International Airport (LAX), respectively. Both studies utilize the latest available originating passenger survey data to understand arriving passengers' mode-choice behavior at the airport. Mode-choice conditional logit models are calibrated from the survey data, further used to estimate UAM demand. The former study is published in the AIAA Aviation 2021 Conference proceeding, and the latter is published in ICNS 2021 Conference proceedings. UAM vertiport capacity may be a barrier to the scalability of UAM operations. A heavy concentration of UAM demand is observed in specific areas such as Central Business Districts (CBD) during the spatial analysis of estimated UAM demand. However, vertiport size could be limited due to land availability and high infrastructure costs in CBDs. Therefore, operational efficiency is critical for capturing maximum UAM demand with limited vertiport size. The study included in Chapter V focuses on analyzing factors impacting vertiport capacity. A discrete-event simulation model is developed to simulate a full day of commuter operations at the San Francisco Financial District's busiest vertiport. Besides calculating the capacity of different fundamental vertiport designs, sensitivity analyses are carried to understand the impact of several assumptions such as service time at landing pads, service time at parking stall, charging rate, etc. The study explores the importance of pre-positioning UAM vehicles during the time of imbalance between arrival and departure requests. This study is published in ICNS 2021 Conference proceedings. Community annoyance from aviation noise has often been a reason for limiting commercial operations at several major airports globally. Busy airports are located in urban areas with high population densities where noise levels in nearby communities could govern capacity constraints. Commercial aviation noise is only a concern during landing and take-offs. Hence, the impact is limited to communities close to the airport. However, UAM vehicles would be operated at much lower altitudes and have more frequent taking-off and landing operations. Since the UAM operations would mostly be over dense urban spaces, the noise potential is significantly high. Chapter VI includes a study on preliminary estimation of noise levels from commuter UAM operations in Northern California and the Dallas-Fort Worth region. This study is published in the AIAA Aviation 2021 Conference proceedings. The final chapter in this dissertation explores the impact of airspace restrictions on UAM demand potential in New York City. Integration of UAM operations in the current National Airspace System (NAS) has been recognized as critical in developing the UAM ecosystem. Several pieces of urban airspace are currently controlled by Air Traffic Control (ATC), where commercial operation density is high. Even though the initial operations are expected to be controlled by the current ATC, the extent to which UAM operations would be allowed in the controlled spaces is still unclear. As the UAM system matures and the ecosystem evolves, integrating UAM traffic with other airspace management might relax certain airspace restrictions. Relaxation of airspace restrictions could increase the attractiveness of UAM due to a decrease in travel time/cost and relatively more optimal placement of vertiports. Quantifying the impact of different levels of airspace restrictions requires an integrated framework that can capture utility changes for UAM under different operational ConOps. This analysis uses a calibrated mode-choice model, restriction-sensitive vertiport placement methodology, and demand estimation process. This study has been submitted for ICNS 2022 Conference. / Doctor of Philosophy / Urban Air Mobility (UAM) or Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) are concept transportation modes currently in development. It proposes transporting passengers and cargo in urban areas using all-electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) vehicles. UAM is a multi-modal concept involving low-altitude aerial transport. The high capital costs involved in developing vehicles and infrastructure suggests the need for meticulous planning and strong strategy development in the rolling out of UAM. Moreover, urban travelers are relatively more sensitive to travel time savings and travel time reliability; therefore, the efficiency of UAM is critical for its success. This dissertation comprises multiple studies surrounding demand estimation, feasibility and capacity analysis, and the environmental impact of UAM. To estimate the potential for UAM, we need first to understand the mode-choice making behavior of urban travelers and then estimate the relative utility UAM could possibly offer. The studies presented in this dissertation primarily focus on analyzing urban travelers' current behavior and estimating the potential UAM demand for different trip purposes in multiple U.S. urban areas. The system planners would need to know the individual or combined effect of various parameters in the system, such as cost of UAM, network size of UAM, etc., on UAM potential. Therefore, sensitivity analyses with respect to UAM demand are performed against various framework parameters. Capacity constraints are not initially considered for potential demand estimation. However, like any other transportation mode, UAM could suffer from capacity issues that can cause operational delays. A simulation study is dedicated to model UAM operations at a vertiport and estimating factors affecting vertiport capacity. After observing the demand potential for certain optimistic scenarios, we realized the possibility of a large number of low-flying vehicles, which could cause annoyance and environmental impacts. Therefore, the following study focuses on developing a noise estimation framework from a full-day of UAM operations and estimating a highly annoyed population in the Bay Area and Dallas-Fort Worth Region. In our studies, modeling restricted airspaces (due to commercial operations at large airports) was always a critical part of the analysis. The urban airspaces are already quite congested in some urban areas, and we assumed that UAM would not operate in the restricted airspaces. The last study in this dissertation focuses on quantifying the impact of different levels of airspace restrictions on UAM demand potential in New York. It would help system planners gauge the level of integration required between the UAM and National Airspace System (NAS).

<p>As Urban Air Mobility (UAM) is developed and brought into fruition via electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) vehicles, contingencies associated with this new distributed electric propulsion technology in metropolitan areas must be considered. On the state of knowledge on contingencies for eVTOL vehicles, these can be Epistemological Risks or Ontological Risks. Epistemological Risks include known-knowns (probabilistic risks) and known-unknowns (gaps in knowledge). Ontological Risks include, unknown-knowns (hidden knowledge), unknown-unknowns (fog of ignorance). As UAM operations at large scale do not have as much historical accidents data as General Aviation or Commercial Aviation, it is challenging to estimate its accident failure rate per 100,000 flight hours. While battery thermal runaway, battery energy uncertainty, software issues, and common mode power failures are some failure cases listed in this thesis, it is the undiscovered contingency (i.e., unknown-unknown) or unprepared contingency (i.e., unknown-known), along with other external factors, that can lead to an accident. UAM is expected to operate at 1500 feet AGL and at high frequencies over dense metropolitan areas. In an in-flight emergency at these altitudes, any startle response experienced by on-board or remote pilots can lead to longer response times. This study aims to create a framework for contingency planning and risk mitigation using a Reachable Ground Footprint model for eVTOL aircraft under 100% power failure scenarios in-flight. This framework utilizes all existing, public aerodrome infrastructures in metropolitan areas as potential contingency landing sites. Metrics such as Contingency Landing Assurance Percentage and Cruise Altitude Floor requirement are introduced to quantitatively measuring the safety of any UAM trip and provide recommendations on safe cruising altitudes. A demonstration case in the Chicago Metropolitan Area between DuPage Regional Airport and John H. Stroger Hospital Helipad is shown and discussed. Furthermore, aggregate analysis of 434 UAM trips in Chicago Metropolitan Area between Regional Airports, between Regional and Heliports, and between Heliports is performed, along with sensitivity studies involving wind and turn control restrictions. The results discuss variations in Cruise Altitude Floor, Flight Time, and Energy Consumption of these trips using an eVTOL vehicle.</p>

The convergence of various technological and operational advancements has reinstated the interest in On-Demand Air Service (ODAS) as a viable mode of transportation. ODAS enables an end-user to be transported in an aircraft between their desired origin and destination at their preferred time without advance notice. Industry, academia, and the government organizations are collaborating to create technology solutions suited for large-scale implementation of this mode of transportation. Market studies suggest reducing vehicle operating cost per passenger as one of the biggest enablers of this market. To enable ODAS, an ODAS operator controls a fleet of aircraft that are deployed across a set of nodes (e.g., airports, vertiports) to satisfy end-user transportation requests. There is a gap in the literature for a tractable and online methodology that can enable ride-sharing in the on-demand operations while maintaining a publicly acceptable level of service (such as with low waiting time). The need for an approach that not only supports a dynamic-stochastic formulation but can also handle uncertainty with unknowable properties, drives me towards the field of Reinforcement Learning (RL). In this work, a novel two-layer hierarchical RL framework is proposed that can distribute a fleet of aircraft across a nodal network as well as perform real-time scheduling for an ODAS operator. The top layer of the framework - the Fleet Distributor - is modeled as a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process whereas the lower layer - the Trip Request Manager - is modeled as a Semi-Markov Decision Process. This framework is successfully demonstrated and assessed through various studies for a hypothetical ODAS operator in the Chicago region. This approach provides a new way of solving fleet distribution and scheduling problems in aviation. It also bridges the gap between the state-of-the-art RL advancements and node-based transportation network problems. Moreover, this work provides a non-proprietary approach to reasonably model ODAS operations that can be leveraged by researchers and policy makers.