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Quatre essais sur la rationalité limitée en économie et finance comportementales / Four essays on bounded rationality in behavioral economics and financeDuchêne, Sébastien 19 September 2017 (has links)
Cette thèse aborde le thème de la rationalité limitée à travers quatre chapitres, associant modèles théoriques, expériences en laboratoire et analyses statistiques et économétriques. Dans les deux premiers chapitres, nous testons la validité de nouveaux modèles en économie qui utilisent le formalisme mathématique de la mécanique quantique pour rendre compte de biais cognitifs. Au sein du chapitre 1, nous considérons des modèles expliquant l'effet d'ordre et en dérivons de nouvelles prédictions expérimentales. Dans le chapitre 2, nous proposons une expérience originale pour tester une large gamme de modèles quantiques qui rendent compte de l'erreur de conjonction. Les deux groupes de modèles échouent à nos tests empiriques. Nous discutons alors de possibles pistes d'améliorations de ces modèles. Le chapitre 3 explore la façon dont les individus traitent des informations économiques successives, complexes et abondantes. Nos résultats expérimentaux montrent l'inaptitude des sujets à combiner de telles informations, ce qui confirme la théorie de la trace floue. Enfin, le chapitre 4 relève de la finance expérimentale. Il étudie comment l'achat sur marge (respectivement la vente à découvert) augmente (diminue) le niveau des prix, la volatilité, l'hétérogénéité des marchés et les anticipations de prix des traders ainsi que la façon dont il modifie les stratégies de trading. Nos résultats mettent en évidence les nettes conséquences de chacune de ces techniques prises séparément, et identifient des phénomènes inattendus lorsqu'elles sont combinées. Nos analyses ouvrent la voie à une meilleure prise en compte de ces interactions déstabilisatrices par les autorités de régulation. / This thesis studies bounded rationality through four chapters, combining theoretical models, laboratory experiments and statistical and econometric analyzes. In the first two chapters, we test the validity of new models in economics which rely on the mathematical formalism of quantum mechanics to account for cognitive biases. In chapter 1, we consider models explaining the order effect and we derive new experimental predictions. In chapter 2, we propose an original experiment to test a wide range of quantum models that account for the conjunction fallacy. Both groups of models fail in our empirical tests and we then discuss possible ways to improve these models. The third chapter explores how individuals deal with successive, complex and abundant economic information. Our experimental results show the subjects' inability to combine such information, which confirms the fuzzy trace theory. Finally, the fourth chapter deals with experimental finance. It studies how margin buying (respectively short selling) increases (decreases) price levels, volatility, heterogeneity of markets, and traders' price expectations, as well as how it changes trading strategies. Our results highlight the clear consequences of each of these techniques used alone, and point to unexpected phenomena when both are combined. Regulatory authorities could take advantage of our analyzes to reduce the destabilization introduced by these techniques.
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Nepoučitelní uživatelé: příčiny (ne)bezpečných hesel / Careless society: Drivers of (un)secure passwordsNedvěd, Vojtěch January 2021 (has links)
Careless Society: Drivers of (Un)Secure Passwords Thesis abstract Vojtěch Nedvěd May 2, 2021 Vulnerabilities related to poor cybersecurity are a dangerous global economic issue. This thesis aims to explain two examples of poor password management. First, why users use similar password and username and second, why they reuse their passwords, as the main drivers of this behaviour are unknown. We examined the effects of selected macroeconomic variables, gender, password length and password complexity. Additionally, this thesis suggest how to estimate sentiment in passwords using models build on Twitter posts. The results are verified on large password data, including password leaks from recent years. There are four main findings. First, a higher cybersecurity index and diversity of a password seem to be related to the lower similarity between a username and a password. Second, it seems that there are structural differences between countries and languages. Third, the sentiment seems to be a significant determinant too. Fourth, password reuse seems to be positively affected by the cybersecurity level. The thesis contributes to the study of password management. It proposes how to model the relationship, derive the data, split the passwords into words, model the sentiment of passwords, what variables might be...
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An Initial Study of Behavioral Addiction Symptom Severity and Demand for Indoor TanningBecirevic, Amel, Reed, Derek D., Amlung, Michael, Murphy, James G., Stapleton, Jerod L., Hillhouse, Joel J. 01 October 2017 (has links)
Indoor tanning remains a popular activity in Western cultures despite a growing body of literature suggesting its link to skin cancer and melanoma. Advances in indoor tanning research have illuminated problematic patterns of its use. With problems such as difficulty quitting, devoting resources toward its use at the expense of healthy activities, and excessive motivation and urges to tan, symptoms of excessive indoor tanning appear consistent with behavioral addiction. The present study bridges the gap between clinical approaches to understanding indoor tanning problems and behavioral economic considerations of unhealthy habits and addiction. Eighty undergraduate females completed both the Behavioral Addiction Indoor Tanning Screener and the Tanning Purchase Task. Results suggest that behavioral economic demand for tanning significantly differs between risk classification groups, providing divergent validity to the Behavioral Addiction Indoor Tanning Screener and offering additional evidence of the sensitivity of the Tanning Purchase Task to differentiating groups according to tanning profiles.
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Essays in Applied Microeconomic Theory:Copland, Andrew Gregory January 2022 (has links)
Thesis advisor: Uzi Segal / This collection of papers examines applications of microeconomic theory to practical problems. More specifically, I identify frictions between theoretical results and agent behavior. I seek to resolve these tensions by either proposing mechanisms to more closely capture the theoretical environment of interest or extending the model to more closely approximate the world as individuals perceive it. In the first chapter, "Compensation without Distortion,'' I propose a new mechanism for compensating subjects in preference elicitation experiments. The motivation for this tool is the theoretical problem of incentive compatibility in decision experiments. A hallmark of experimental economics is the connection between a subject's payment with their actions or decisions, however previous literature has highlighted shortcomings in this link between compensation and methods currently used to elicit beliefs. Specifically, compensating individuals based on choices they make increases reliability, however these payments can themselves distort subjects' preferences, limiting the resulting data's usefulness. I reexamine the source of the underlying theoretical tension, and propose using a stochastic termination mechanism called the "random stopping procedure'' (RSP). I show that the RSP is theoretically able to structurally avoid preference distortions induced by the current state of the art protocols. Changing the underlying context subjects answer questions—by resolving payoff uncertainty immediately after every decision is made—the assumed impossibility of asking multiple questions without creating preference distortions is theoretically resolved. To test this prediction, I conduct an experiment explicitly designed to test the accuracy of data gathered by the RSP against the current best practice for measuring subject preferences. Results show that RSP-elicited preferences more closely match a control group's responses than the alternative. In the second chapter, "School Choice and Class Size Externalities,'' I revisit the many-to-one matching problem of school choice. I focus on the importance of problem definition, and argue that the "standard'' school choice model is insufficiently sensitive to relevant characteristics of student preferences. Motivated by the observation that students care about both the school they attend, and how over- or under-crowded the school is, I extend the problem definition to allow students to report preferences over both schools and cohort sizes. (Cohort size is intended as a generalization of school crowding, relative resources, or other similar school characteristics.) I show that, if students do have preferences over schools and cohort sizes, current mechanisms lose many of their advantageous properties, and are no longer stable, fair, nor non-wasteful. Moreover, I show that current mechanisms no longer necessarily incentivize students to truthfully report their preferences over school orderings. Motivated by the observation that students care about both the school they attend, and how over- or under-crowded the school is, in "School Choice and Class Size Externalities'' I extend the standard school choice problem to incorporate both of these elements. I show that, if students do have preferences over schools and cohort sizes, current mechanisms are no longer stable, fair, nor non-wasteful. In response, I construct an alternative matching mechanism, called the deferred acceptance with voluntary withdrawals (DAwVW) mechanism, which improves on the underlying (unobserved) manipulability of "standard" mechanisms. The DAwVW mechanism is deterministic and terminates, more closely satisfies core desirable matching properties, and can yield substantial efficiency gains compared to mechanisms that do not consider class size. In the third chapter, I provide an overview of the history of decision experiments in economics, describe several of the underlying tensions that motivate my other projects, and identify alternative potential solutions that have been proposed by others to these problems. In this project, I add context to the larger field of experimental economics in which my research is situated. In addition to the mechanisms discussed by prior literature reviews, I incorporate and discuss recently developed payment and elicitation methods, and identify these new approaches' advantages and drawbacks. / Thesis (PhD) — Boston College, 2022. / Submitted to: Boston College. Graduate School of Arts and Sciences. / Discipline: Economics.
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The Wealth Gap A Cross-Sectional Quantitative Analysis of Self-Esteem and Monetary PowerPretlow, Willard Edwin 01 January 2018 (has links)
The median wealth of Blacks is lower than that of Whites by 90 percent. The corresponding median income for Blacks is 40 percent below Whites. Additional research has revealed that Blacks tend to invest in low-yielding assets and borrow at high interest rates. The alarming problem is that financial outcomes and behaviors can be associated with race. In this cross-sectional quantitative study, the Rosenberg Self-Esteem and the Money Attitude Scale, both are Likert-type scales, served as survey instruments to collect data from Blacks and Whites about their individual financial behaviors. The purpose of this survey was to explore the relationship between self-esteem and monetary power among Blacks and Whites in the Unites States. The Behavioral life-cycle hypothesis served as the theoretical framework for the study. The research question for this study was as follows: There is a relationship between self-esteem and monetary power among Blacks and Whites in the United States. Using the IBM SPSS analytics software, the findings of the linear multiple regression analyses indicated that there was a significant predictive relationship between self-esteem and retention time, self-esteem and distrust, and self-esteem and anxiety. There were no correlation findings related to race, there were however, correlations related to gender. Regional investigative studies to gather data about behavioral factors that drive decision making are still necessary. The social change implication as it relates to asset accumulation is that financial services professionals will begin to shift attention away from financial accounting outcome matters toward behavioral lifestyle outcome matters
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REDUCING SURVEY HYPOTHETICAL BIAS THROUGH REVEALED BEHAVIOR PRIMING: A CASE OF STUDENT PREFERENCE FOR BEEF SERVED BY UNIVERSITY DININGMandlhate, Gaby de Nascimento 01 January 2019 (has links)
Economists are still searching for methods to reduce/eliminate Hypothetical Bias (HB). Different methods have been previously applied some with success and others without. In this study, we aimed to further test the cognitive dissonance approach (CD) through a learning design method to estimate the WTP for five beef attributes: Non-quality, Kentucky Proud, Appalachian, Grass Fed and a mix of 25% Non-quality and 75% Kentucky Proud, using a one and one half bounded model. To test the CD, 881 participants from the University of Kentucky, were randomly assigned to a real/hypothetical market for a battery recycling project at first and afterwards to a hypothetical market for beef. For the battery recycling, participants were asked to donate $1, $2 or $3. For the beef market, participants were randomly assigned to a $4 or $6 for the non-quality attribute patty. Participants assigned to a $4 were afterwards randomly assigned to a $4.5, $5, $5.5 or $6 and the ones assigned to a $6 were afterwards assigned to a $6.5, $7, $7.5 and $8 for the other attribute patties. From this study, we found that the learning design was effective in reducing the cognitive dissonance or conflicts between what consumers say and their actions.
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Federal Reserve lending to commercial banks; effects on financial market stability and monetary controlSimantel, David Allen 01 January 1971 (has links)
The Federal Reserve has proposed a change in its method of administering the discount window. This paper looks at the effects of this proposal on monetary control and on the money markets, assuming that banks base their behavior on profit maximization over the long run.
First, the reserve supply process is postulated. The conditions under which borrowing from the Federal Reserve will improve or reduce monetary control are stated. Second, the primary reserve adjustment process is formulated to show how primary reserve adjustment can affect rates in the money market. Finally arguments are set forth to show how borrowed reserves would behave if commercial banks are attempting to maximize long run profits and under the discount window administration proposed by the Federal Reserve Committee. The conclusion is that borrowed reserves will behave to reduce money market instability but at the same time they will behave to reduce the Federal Reserve control over the stock of Reserves available to the banking system. Borrowing from the Federal Reserve Bank can be expected to behave in a way of offset Federal Reserve open market operations.
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Waste Not, Wait a Lot: The feeling of waste elicits multiple mental accounting strategies in sunk cost decisionsMacDonald, Tyler Fraser 02 October 2020 (has links)
No description available.
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Noise Traders in Large-cap and Small-cap Portfolios: Impact of Sentiments on the MispricingChoo, Eunjun 20 May 2020 (has links)
No description available.
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The Effect of Monetary Incentives on Prosocial Behavior : A behavioral experiment focusing on method development / Effekten av monetära incitament på prosocialt beteende : Ett beteendeexperiment med fokus på metodutvecklingStark, Frida, Medenica, Sandra January 2023 (has links)
It is sometimes said that money speaks louder than words, and in a world where financial decisions are a major driving force, it is interesting to explore how monetary incentives influence our decision making. Some argue that intrinsic motivation is sufficient to be able to measure prosocial decision-making, but what happens when we add monetary incentives to experiments that might otherwise be conducted with hypothetical scenarios? In this study, we conduct an online experiment with 1002 participants to explore if decision making changes when monetary incentives are introduced. The experiment includes five different social dilemmas involving distributions of money between participants. There are two conditions where one group makes hypothetical decisions and the other group receives money based on their decisions (i.e., is incentivized). Furthermore, we investigate if income, age and gender affect prosocial behavior. Our results suggest that both conditions show similar effects on prosocial behavior which implies that usage of either one of the two conditions will generate an equivalent outcome. The effects from household income, age and gender were significant in some social dilemmas, but the effect was not practically relevant for this study. We believe our results may be useful to include in the discussion of whether or not monetary incentives and hypothetical decisions generate similar results when studying prosocial behavior in decision making in experiments.
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