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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

Riesgo soberano y política monetaria: efectos sobre los préstamos bancarios y el crédito comercial

Cantero Sáiz, María 20 April 2015 (has links)
El objetivo de esta tesis doctoral es analizar la influencia del riesgo soberano sobre el canal de crédito de la política monetaria desde una doble perspectiva. La primera parte examina cómo el riesgo soberano determina los efectos de la política monetaria sobre los préstamos bancarios durante restricciones y expansiones monetarias. La segunda parte estudia el impacto del riesgo soberano sobre el crédito comercial, tanto directamente como a través de la política monetaria. En la primera parte, los resultados muestran que los bancos que operan en países con mayor riesgo soberano contraen más su oferta crediticia durante restricciones monetarias, mientras que no existen suficientes evidencias de que aumenten menos su oferta de préstamos durante expansiones monetarias. Asimismo, cuando el riesgo soberano es muy elevado, los bancos reducen su oferta de crédito independientemente del régimen monetario. En la segunda parte, los resultados indican que, durante la crisis, el crédito comercial extendido y neto (diferencia entre el crédito comercial extendido y recibido) descienden a medida que aumenta el riesgo soberano. Sin embargo, en los años de crisis, el crédito comercial recibido se incrementa cuanto mayor es el riesgo soberano, pero sólo cuando éste es bajo o moderado, mientras que cuando es elevado, subidas del mismo producen un descenso del crédito comercial recibido. Asimismo, una restricción monetaria sólo conduce a un aumento del crédito comercial en países con riesgo soberano relativamente bajo. / The purpose of this thesis is to analyze the influence of sovereign risk on the credit channel of monetary policy from a double perspective. The first part examines how sovereign risk determines the effects of monetary policy on bank loans during monetary restrictions and expansions. The second part studies the impact of sovereign risk on trade credit, both directly and through the monetary policy. In the first part, the results show that banks which operate in higher sovereign risk countries reduce their credit supply more during monetary contractions, while there is not enough evidence that they increase their loan supply less during monetary expansions. Additionally, when sovereign risk is very high banks reduce their lending, regardless of the monetary regime. In the second part, the results indicate that during the crisis trade credit supplied and net trade credit (the difference between trade credits supplied and received) decline as sovereign risk rises. However, during the crisis trade credit received increases with the level of the sovereign risk, but only when it is low and moderate. On the contrary, trade credit received reduces as sovereign risk increases when it is high. Additionally, a restrictive monetary policy only leads to an increase in trade credit in countries with relatively low sovereign risk.

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