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Development and validation of a prediction rule for methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus recurrent infection among a veterans affairs healthcare system populationAlbertson, Justin Paul 01 May 2014 (has links)
Objective: Recurrent methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) infections are a significant problem in the healthcare system. Our objective was to create a clinical prediction rule to identify Veterans at high-risk of recurrent MRSA infections.
Methods: A retrospective cohort study of Veterans with MRSA bacteremia was performed using patient data from 2003 to 2011. Recurrent MRSA infection was defined as a positive blood culture between two days and 180 days after discharge from the index hospitalization. Severity of illness was measured at the time of admission using a modified APACHE score. Patients were randomly split into a development or validation cohort. Using the development cohort, variables significant in predicting recurrence on univariate analysis were input into a logistic regression model. The final model, c-statistics, and receiver operating characteristic curves were compared in each cohort.
Results: Of 9,279 patients in the combined cohort, 1,127 (12.1%) had a recurrent MRSA infection within 180 days of the index infection. Using the development cohort, the risk factors identified and included in the logistic regression model were severity of illness, duration of bacteremia, distance to care, lack of MRSA-directed antibiotic therapy, renal failure, coagulopathy, cancer, and cardiac arrhythmia. The model had average discrimination (c-statistic, 0.657), with 68.9% sensitivity and 54.0% specificity. The validation cohort also had average discrimination (c-statistic, 0.625), with 66.8% sensitivity and 52.6% specificity.
Conclusions: Our results identify important risk factors for MRSA recurrence and may help to guide clinicians in targeting high-risk patients for treatment and aggressive follow-up.
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Modeling the dynamics of teen risky driving for evaluating prevention strategiesMissikpode, Celestin 01 January 2018 (has links)
Despite the tremendous efforts made in recent years towards improving overall health status of adolescents, road traffic crashes remain a global problem worldwide among teen drivers. It is well established that the first few months of independent driving are the most dangerous. Indeed, crash risk among adolescent drivers is particularly high during the early months of independent driving, after which it starts to rapidly decrease over a period of over a period of years. Hypotheses for this decline have focused on Some researchers have hypothesized accumulation of driving experience, maturation, and increasing self-regulation. However, the mechanisms by which they interact to decrease teen crash risk in few months are not well understood. Additionally, safety researchers are engaged in a longstanding quest to fundamentally improve teen driving. To that end, increasing number of studies have been striving for solutions. Understanding the processes underlying patterns in teen crash risk and catalyze effective teen driving interventions can benefit from techniques for modelling complexity. The goal of this project was to develop a model that provides initial insights into the mechanisms underlying adolescent risky driving patterns over time. The purpose of the modeling is to investigate how much faster the early improvement of teen risky driving could be with interventions.
This study utilized naturalistic driving data derived from a clinical trial study. A sample of newly-licensed teen drivers and at least one of their parents was recruited from high schools in Iowa and randomly assigned to one out of three groups: control group, feedback group, and feedback plus parent communication group. Each participant's vehicle was equipped with an event triggered video recording system to gather data on near-crashes and crashes as well as their proxies denoted risky driving events. The video recording system was installed in the vehicles of the control group only for data collection purposes. For the feedback intervention group, teen drivers received an immediate feedback via blinking of LED lights on the in-vehicle video system when a driving error occurred. In addition, each teen and their parent in this feedback group received a weekly report card that summarized the types of driving errors made by the teen and provided video clips of those errors. The feedback plus parent communication group was exposed to the feedback intervention described above plus communication strategies for discussing safe driving with teens. The video recording system was also used to collect data on mileage, driver behaviors (eg. traffic violations, cell phone use), and traffic conditions (eg. snow, rain).
The first aim of this study thoroughly investigated heterogeneity in driving outcomes within the population of teen drivers. Results showed two distinct risky driving trajectories, including one inverted U-shaped pattern (initial increase in risky driving followed by a steady decrease) and one relatively constant pattern over time. Risk-taking behavior trajectories were found to follow the same patterns as risky driving. The study also identified two groups of teens with respect to amount of driving: one group has a linear increase in the amount of driving and the second group has an upward U-shaped pattern. Teens classified in the high risk-taking behavior group are more likely to be in the high risky driving group whereas the teens classified in the low risk-taking behavior are more likely to be in the low risky driving group. Results showed that males are more likely to be in high risky driving and high risk-taking behavior groups compared to females.
The second aim of this project was to develop a dynamic model of teen risky driving and use this framework as a guide to leverage an understanding of the dynamic process underlying patterns in teen risky driving over time. The analysis suggests that the natural risky driving behavior (absent intervention) is slow improvement followed by faster improvement, and finally a plateau: that is, S-shaped decline in errors. The results showed that a model that includes cumulative miles driven and recent risky driving events as stock variables and their feedback is capable of explaining the dynamics of teen risky driving over time. The analysis suggests the existence of a reinforcing loop and two negative feedbacks. The reinforcing loop arises from a decline in recent events leading to a faster increase in driving; this leads to a faster accumulation of driving and thus a greater decrease in driving error rate; the decrease in driving error rate leads to a further decline in recent events via a slow replenishing of the stock “recent events”. The first negative feedback is from recent events to amount of driving. By this feedback mechanism, more recent events (or memories of events) lead to less driving, and thus slow accumulation of driving experience (cumulative miles driven). The second feedback in the model is from recent events to event rate. A greater number of recent events (or memories of events) leads to a decrease in event rate perhaps via corrective actions taken by the teen driver. Thus, more recent events (or memories of events) lead to a decrease in event rate, but slow accumulation of experience via less driving. The results highlight that variations of individualized trends in driving event rate and monthly driving are more likely due to significant variations in the stock “cumulative miles driven” and the stock “recent events”. Variations in these stocks are influenced by initial event rates and driving need. The methodological approach provides an explanation for the peak in crash rates during the latter months post-licensure rather than the first month, which was not fully understood.
The third, and final, aim of this teen driving dynamic model project sought to simulate driver feedback intervention and conduct its cost effectiveness analysis. To examine the impact of driver feedback intervention and its tradeoffs, a previous version of the model was extended to create a model that allows the simulation of the intervention and the comparison between its expected costs and benefits. The analysis suggested that the simulated intervention data are comparable to data from actual feedback intervention group. The simulation results indicate significant differences in the period over which the intervention is needed. While the intervention is economically beneficial for some drivers, it is worthless for others. The model also suggests the need of combining several interventions for some drivers for a faster improvement in risky driving.
This research offered initial insights for understanding risky driving patterns, risk-taking behavior, and amount of driving among adolescent drivers and can be helpful when designing teen driving interventions, as the different trajectories may represent unique strata of crash risk level. The dynamic model developed can be used to design and evaluate teen driving interventions in order to identify key leverage points to guide policy and direct the optimum combination of prevention strategies.
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Perceptions of clinical supervisors about their preparedness for clinical teaching at a university in the Western CapeHoffman, Margaret Ursula Marinda January 2019 (has links)
Magister Curationis - MCur / Background: Clinical supervision or clinical accompaniment is considered an integral part of nursing education and is crucial for the development of nursing students’ clinical competence. In order to achieve this, clinical supervision requires skilled human resources which vary from one educational institution to another and may include lecturers, clinical supervisors/facilitators and professional nurses.
Clinical supervisors are required to be good educators as well as excellent clinicians. In addition, they often draw on their individual, personal and professional experiences to guide their teaching to meet the demands of both the clinical and academic contexts in which they work. However, the clinical teaching model or framework used by educational institutions is often not aligned to clinical practice activities and vice versa. This poses challenges for students due to the different expectations of educators and professional nurses in practice. Inadequately prepared clinical supervisors can have a detrimental effect on the delivery of the nursing programme that may include poor clinical teaching and inadequate integration of theory and clinical competencies, which ultimately leads to poorly trained nursing students.
Aim of the study: The aim of this study was to explore the perceptions of clinical supervisors regarding their preparedness for clinical teaching.
Methods: The study adopted a qualitative research approach, utilising an exploratory descriptive design. A non-probability purposive sampling method was used to select 12 clinical supervisors in the undergraduate programme. The researcher collected the data by means of semi-structured interviews with open-ended questions and analysed this data using content data analysis. Analysis of the data using ATLAS, ti 8 research software programme generated four themes and 18 categories.
Findings: The findings indicated that clinical supervisors required time to adapt to their role and improve their knowledge and skills despite them having a positive experience during their orientation. Although appreciative of the support and guidance, clinical supervisors stated that not all colleagues were supportive, which in some instances had a negative impact on interpersonal relationships. The findings furthermore indicated that clinical supervisors apply all the steps of the five phases in the skills lab methodology employed by the School of Nursing at the university where the study was conducted. Clinical supervisors are required to be well informed and committed to continuing education in order to incorporate theory into practice with the latest developments and equipment in facilities. Furthermore, the findings indicated that inconsistency and failure to attend to students’ clinical learning needs can have a negative impact on student learning.
Ethics: The researcher adhered to all principles of research ethics throughout the study.
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ROLE PLAYED BY EXPECTANCY OF THERAPEUTIC OUTCOME IN AN IN VIVO VS AN IN IMAGINATION FLOODING TREATMENT FOR HETEROSEXUAL ANXIETYUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 39-11, Section: B, page: 5554. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1978.
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AN EXAMINATION OF THE EFFECTS OF INDUCED FAILURE ON THE BENDER-GESTALT TEST PERFORMANCE OF NORMAL CHILDRENUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 39-11, Section: B, page: 5558. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1978.
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THE INTEGRATION OF INDIRECT BIOFEEDBACK MODALITIES FOR THE VOLITIONAL CONDITIONING OF BLOOD PRESSUREUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 40-02, Section: B, page: 0912. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1978.
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AVERSIVE CONDITIONING TREATMENT OF OVERWEIGHTUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 35-04, Section: B, page: 1908. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1974.
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THE SYMBOLIC CHARACTERISTICS OF WEAPONS AS RELEASERS OF AGGRESSIVE BEHAVIORSUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 35-07, Section: B, page: 3589. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1974.
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SOCIAL POWER AND THE CAREER OF A SEXUAL OFFENDERUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 35-09, Section: B, page: 4657. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1974.
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ANALOGUE SELF-RECORDING THERAPY: EXPECTANCY EFFECTSUnknown Date (has links)
Source: Dissertation Abstracts International, Volume: 36-08, Section: B, page: 4161. / Thesis (Ph.D.)--The Florida State University, 1975.
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