A thesis submitted to the School of Economic and Business Sciences, Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, University of the Witwatersrand in fulfilment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Commerce (M.Com) in Finance, Johannesburg June 2017 / Traditional finance theory surrounding the risk-return relationship is underpinned by the CAPM which posits that a single risk factor, specifically market risk, is priced into asset returns. Even though it is a popular asset pricing model, the CAPM has been widely criticised due to its unrealistic assumptions and the APT was developed to address the CAPM’s weaknesses. The APT framework allows for a multitude of risk factors to be priced into asset returns; implying that it can be used to model returns using either macroeconomic or microeconomic factors. As such, the APT allows for non-traditional factors, such as investor sentiment, to be included. A macroeconomic APT framework was developed for nine countries using the variables outlined by Chen, Roll, and Ross (1986) and investor sentiment was measured by the FEARS index (Da, Engelberg, & Gao, 2015). Regression testing was used to determine whether FEARS is a statistically significant explanatory variable in the APT model for each country. The results show that investor sentiment is a statistically significant explanatory variable for market returns in five out of the nine countries examined. These results add to the existing APT literature as they show that investor sentiment has a significant explanatory role in explaining asset prices and their associated returns. The international nature of this study allows it to be extended by considering the role that volatility spill-over or the contagion effect would have on each model. / XL2018

Thesis (M.M. (Finance & Investment)--University of the Witwatersrand, Faculty of Commerce, Law and Management, Wits Business School, 2016 / This study investigates how interest rates impact the South African Stock market. We investigate how the selected interest rates proxies predict the level of the FTSE/JSE All Share Index returns. The vector auto-regression (VAR) model was estimated and interpreted, based on the monthly data from June 1995 to September 2014. Using tools such as Granger causality, impulse response function and variance decomposition, we found that the selected variables did not significantly influence the FTSE/JSE All Share Index returns. Consequently, these variables are not useful as predictive tools for the South African stock market returns. / MT2017

This study shows how the two investment strategies Net-nets and magic formula performs on the Swedish stock markets subgroups Small, Mid and Large Cap. Also, with the intention to see which of these two strategies suits the private investors on the Swedish stock market and see which gave the highest rate of return. The results after a 15-year long time period showed us that Magic Formula was the one to be preferred on the Swedish stock market much due to the incompatibility of Net-nets on the Swedish stock market. Mainly because of the small sample of compatibility companies that suited the Net-nets instructions. Magic Formula was therefore able to yield a higher rate of return on all the subgroups compared to Net-nets and gave us the conclusion that it performs best on the Mid Cap on the Swedish stock market.

Previous research has shown that the asset pricing model of Sharpe, Litner and Black fails to capture the relationship between market β and average return. This previous work showed that the relationship between β and average return was flat. Subsequently it was shown that a strong relationship between book-to-market equity and stock price returns existed. It has also been shown that book to market equity has strong roots in economic fundamentals. Utilities have historically used betas to justify rate increases I developing rate structures that meet the rate of return demands for investors given the risk profiles that the company betas suggest. Realizing that low betas argue against large rate increases l utilities have turned to other avenues to justify higher returns. The suggested relationship of book-to-market equity and average stock returns would provide utilities with a new argument. This thesis will show that the search for a risk proxy in the rate of return relationship for the electric utility is not resolved. The relationship reported between book-to-market equity and stock price returns does not appear to be statistically significant in the electric utility sector and extreme caution is advised in using this empirical model to predict or explain stock price returns. / Master of Arts

No description available.

Small-scale timber farming provides alternative income for growers selling to forestry, procurement companies and timber suppliers or agents. The research used focus groups and structured questionnaires in the Sokhulu area to determine the contribution of small-scale timber farming to enhance sustainable livelihood. The Sustainable Livelihood Framework measured livelihood levels of different grower types in terms of access to natural, human, financial, social and physical assets. Findings show that timber suppliers had a higher asset composition, than growers selling to companies or growers selling to timber suppliers. Households lacking access to forestry resources sold timber to agents and households wanting to avoid harvesting and transport risks sold timber to suppliers. Timber farming contributes income, employment and business opportunities towards alleviating poverty rather than providing a complete solution. Tree harvesting support households during financial hardship and reduce vulnerability through diversified livelihood strategies. Disadvantages include: trees taking time to mature while immediate income is required, trees exposed to natural hazards, cheating by local harvesting and transport contractors and timber plot sales sometimes do not receive the agreed price. Despite disadvantages, timber farming provide economic benefits and further studies are needed to determine income level on mature trees, by-product sales and whether higher prices for more tonnage will sustain households that wait for tree maturity, thereby determining optimal break-even point for rural timber farmers. / Environmental Sciences / M.A. (Human Ecolgy)

Nie Xiaofeng. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2002. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 52-56). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter 2 --- A Minimax Model and Its CAPM --- p.9 / Chapter 2.1 --- Model Formulation --- p.9 / Chapter 2.2 --- Efficient Frontier --- p.11 / Chapter 2.3 --- Market Portfolio --- p.15 / Chapter 2.4 --- CAPM of Minimax Model --- p.22 / Chapter 3 --- "A Revised Minimax Model with Downside Risk, and Its CAPM" --- p.28 / Chapter 3.1 --- Model Formulation --- p.28 / Chapter 3.2 --- Efficient Frontier --- p.30 / Chapter 3.3 --- Market Portfolio and CAPM --- p.38 / Chapter 4 --- Numerical Analysis --- p.43 / Chapter 4.1 --- Efficient Frontiers --- p.43 / Chapter 4.1.1 --- Input Data --- p.45 / Chapter 4.1.2 --- Efficient Frontiers --- p.45 / Chapter 4.2 --- Monthly Rate of Return Comparison --- p.47 / Chapter 5 --- Summary --- p.50 / Bibliography --- p.52

<p>This study explored the livelihood activities in female-headed households in Vrygrond, Cape Town. The objective of this study was to identify and analyse livelihood strategies adopted by female-headed households. The Capability Approach was used as a theoretical framework of the study. This approach drew on the idea that resources and abilities enable people to achieve a range of valued ways of being and doing.</p>

Financial sector of an economy plays an important role in its economic development and prosperity of the country. Banking industry serves as the backbone of the financial sector that accumulates saving from surplus economic units in the form of deposits and provides it to deficit economic units in the form of advances. Banking industry provides support to economy and industries in specific in the time of recessions and economic crisis. But when banks are at the heart of economic recession or banks are the cause of financial crisis like the recent past financial crisis 2007-09, it makes the situation worst for economic recovery. So it is of great importance to keenly observe the performance of the banks and their compliance with the regulatory requirements.   Performance of the banks is measured at two levels, one is at the management and regulatory level of the banks and another is at external rating agencies. Purpose of regulatory and supervisory rating systems is to measure the bank performance at internal level and its compliance with regulatory requirements to keep the bank on right track. These ratings are highly confidential and are only available to the bank management.  External credit rating agencies examine and evaluate the banks and issue ratings for the general public and investors in particulars. It is of great importance that both these ratings present the same results about the condition of the banks to provide clear information to investors and management. In past several banks suffer from bankruptcy that was the failure of both internal rating systems and credit rating agencies.   CAMELS is the supervisory and regulatory rating system implemented by State Bank of Pakistan. It takes into account six important components of a bank when it evaluates performance of the bank. These components are Capital, Assets, Management, Earning, Liquidity and Sensitivity to market risk. Ratings is assigned to theses components on the scale of 1 to 5 and that is a base for composite rating that also ranged from 1 to 5. PACRA rating agency is the dominant credit rating agency of Pakistan that performs ratings for most banks and industries in the country. In our research we examine the similarities in the results generated by CAMELS rating system and PACRA rating agency. For that purpose we sample seventeen commercial banks of Pakistan Banking industry.   We observed that results generated by sample banks do not show any similarities with each other. This might be an indication of the banks that went on to bankruptcy in past three to four years or a future threat to financial sector of Pakistan.

published_or_final_version / Economics / Master / Master of Social Sciences