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The study of china¡¦s statistical accuracy: household income surveys as the case studyTseng, Hui-Lien 24 August 2004 (has links)
International academia expressed doubt that china¡¦s statistical surveys reflect actual economic performance in 2001, in regard to the China¡¦s statistical accuracy, many scholars put forward different opinions. And compared the Chinese government's official figures with the countries of the world, lie in the question of investigating information on¡§ the degree of public¡¨ and the statistical surveys of¡§ report to a higher level officials¡¨. The main purpose of this research is probing into the problem of the Chinese government's official figures via the surveys of Chinese household income to prove that the distribution income of China to the initial data inaccuracy making China¡¦s household income unable to reflect the true. Therefore, we should doubt that China's statistics for lacking credibility on household income.
Through the analysis structure of this text, we find out the following¡Gfirst of all, under the centralization type statistical system, the local statistical organization undertake the job of¡§survey¡¨ and¡§analysis¡¨ as the role of ¡§the sportsman and concurrently referee¡¨ make the question of statistical standard unable to improve. Secondly, with the Chinese non-sampling error proportion is far too larger. China statistical year book reported Chinese household income date merely conform to the ¡§salaried family¡¨¡F those who worked in the state-owned enterprise, but surveys date are not suitable for rural family and non state-owned enterprises worker¡¦s family. Moreover, through analyzing China¡¦s statistical education; the protection of the relent law and the impetus of the civil statistical work, my research discovered that the Chinese government's official figures are less accurate than those of industrialized countries and the supervision function are very weak.
Finally, China has transformed its planned economy system into an initial socialist market economy system that interwove by the various forms and multiple interests relation, therefore strengthened the difficulty of statistical surveys of the professional. Especially under the turn rail environment deepening the degree of high-level and low-level officials¡§ the individual information asymmetric¡¨, and after the dismantling of the old supervise management system, the new statistical supervisal system is unable to confine yet. Contemporary the implemented statistical surveys of socialist market economy are more error then those of planned economy. On the above analyzes, I suggested that the Chinese government¡¦s official statistics should strengthened the sophisticated data compiling systems such as American statistics system that adopted the statistics system of social feedback and the statistics of decentralize, unable china to increase its social statistics and reduce the question of statistical surveys of¡§ report to a higher level officials¡¨, and heightening the Chinese statistical data a little more accurately.
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