Submitted by Gustavo Gomes (gustavolascasas@gmail.com) on 2013-09-17T13:50:30Z No. of bitstreams: 2 ??rea Metropolitana de Belo Horizonte versus ??rea Metropolitana de Curitiba um estudo comparativo.pdf: 2217440 bytes, checksum: 11720e66f778362c67bead31eb5c5010 (MD5) license_rdf: 23599 bytes, checksum: 9e2b7f6edbd693264102b96ece20428a (MD5) / Approved for entry into archive by Roger Guedes (roger.guedes@fjp.mg.gov.br) on 2013-09-18T15:42:11Z (GMT) No. of bitstreams: 2 ??rea Metropolitana de Belo Horizonte versus ??rea Metropolitana de Curitiba um estudo comparativo.pdf: 2217440 bytes, checksum: 11720e66f778362c67bead31eb5c5010 (MD5) license_rdf: 23599 bytes, checksum: 9e2b7f6edbd693264102b96ece20428a (MD5) / Made available in DSpace on 2013-09-18T15:42:11Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 2 ??rea Metropolitana de Belo Horizonte versus ??rea Metropolitana de Curitiba um estudo comparativo.pdf: 2217440 bytes, checksum: 11720e66f778362c67bead31eb5c5010 (MD5) license_rdf: 23599 bytes, checksum: 9e2b7f6edbd693264102b96ece20428a (MD5) Previous issue date: 2007 / Funda????o Jo??o Pinheiro / O trabalho faz uma compara????o entre o crescimento econ??mico das regi??es metropolitanas de Curitiba e Belo Horizonte utilizando dados do per??odo de 1985-1997. Trata dos modelos te??ricos usados na an??lise e explica a din??mica de crescimento dessas regi??es atrav??s do m??todo Shift-Share e da an??lise dos coeficientes de exporta????o e importa????o. Conclui-se que o crescimento das duas regi??es est?? mais ligado a desconcentra????o econ??mica de S??o Paulo e n??o a uma capacidade de crescimento end??geno destas regi??es. / This article makes a comparison between the economic growth of the metropolitan regions of Curitiba and Belo Horizonte utilizing data from the periods between 1985 to 1997. It is about the theoretical models used in the analysis and explains the growing dynamic of these regions through the Shift-Share method and by the analysis of exportation coefficients and importation. It is concluded that the growth of both regions is more linked to the economic decentralization from S??o Paulo, and not from an ability of endogenous growth of these regions. / Economia e Finan??as

Made available in DSpace on 2014-12-17T14:34:46Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 FrancianeAC_DISSERT.pdf: 1159752 bytes, checksum: 5789ae9b3c2000239de9673924458330 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-10-04 / This Master s Thesis aims to use the theoretical models of growth with restricted balance of payments, specifically Kaldor (1970) and Thirlwall (1979) models, to analyze the behavior and the pattern of specialization of Brazilian exports and imports in the last years. It is observed that, in some periods, the pattern of specialization has contributed in restricting long-term growth of the Brazilian economy. It has been hypothesized that overall this is due to lack of structural transformation policies. To achieve this goal, it analyzed the performance of Brazilian exports and imports disaggregating them according to their technological content. The basis for comparison was a group of countries to which Brazil is inserted in, the BRIC. In this regard, the work is a comparative analysis by using descriptive statistics. It is concluded that the low rate of GDP growth experienced by Brazil since the 1980s can be explained in part by the decoupling of the Brazilian National Innovation System (NIS) and the Brazilian productive structure. This would be reducing the income elasticity of exports and raising imports, causing a pattern of specialization intensive primary commodities and labor and low-skill labor / A presente disserta??o tem como objetivo utilizar o referencial te?rico dos modelos de crescimento com restri??o do balan?o de pagamentos, especificamente os modelos de Kaldor (1970) e Thirlwall (1979), para analisar o comportamento e o padr?o de especializa??o das exporta??es brasileiras nos ?ltimos anos. Observa-se que, em alguns per?odos, o padr?o de especializa??o tem contribu?do na restri??o do crescimento de longo prazo da economia brasileira. Tem-se como hip?tese geral que isto se deve ? insufici?ncia de pol?ticas de transforma??o estrutural. Para atingir tal objetivo, analisou-se o desempenho das exporta??es e importa??es brasileiras desagregando-as de acordo com o seu conte?do tecnol?gico. A base de compara??o foi um grupo de pa?ses o qual o Brasil est? inserido, o BRIC. Neste aspecto, o trabalho consiste numa an?lise comparativa mediante o uso de estat?stica descritiva. Conclui-se que as modestas taxas de crescimento do PIB vivenciadas pelo Brasil desde a d?cada de 1980 podem ser explicadas em parte pelo descolamento entre o Sistema Nacional de Inova??o (SNI) brasileiro e a estrutura produtiva. Isto estaria reduzindo as elasticidades-renda das exporta??es e elevando a das importa??es, ocasionando um padr?o de especializa??o intensivo em commodities prim?rias e em trabalho de baixa qualifica??o

Made available in DSpace on 2014-12-17T14:34:47Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 1 AndreiLS_DISSERT.pdf: 1080738 bytes, checksum: 0e789761c9337cdeb73ac492e8a471a2 (MD5) Previous issue date: 2013-07-29 / This study aims to investigate the influence of the balance of payments constrained on economic growth in Brazil from 1991 to 2010. With this order, are shown some of the Keynesian balance of payments constrained growth models, inspired by Thirlwall (1979) and Kaldor (1970), which are supported by important points in common, such as adherence to the principle of effective demand. Given that within this theoretical perspective, there is no consensus about the best model to explain the growth rate allowed by the balance of payments constraint, the results are presented by the representative of the empirical literature that addresses the topic, which are necessary for understand the Brazilian case. From the estimation of the income elasticity of imports (0.85) via autoregressive vectors with error correction (VEC), it was calculated five growth rates of income, as predicted by the models of Thirlwall (1979), Thirlwall and Hussain (1982), Moreno-Brid (1998, 2003) and Louren?o et al. (2011) and compared with the actual growth rate. The empirical analysis has shown that: it can not reject the presence of external constraint in the Brazilian economy, there is a strong similarity in growth rates provided by different modeling suggest that growth with external constraint. In addition, when using data in quarterly for the period after 1990 there are no factors that could cause instability in the parameters of the import function (income elasticity and price elasticity of imports) within the period, which indicates that the structural break widely associated with the year 1994 was not confirmed by this study / Este trabalho tem como objetivo verificar a influ?ncia da restri??o externa sobre o crescimento econ?mico brasileiro no per?odo de 1991 a 2010. Com este intuito, s?o apresentados alguns dos principais modelos keynesianos de crescimento restringido pela balan?a de pagamentos, inspirados por Thirlwall (1979) e Kaldor (1970), os quais s?o sustentados por importantes pontos em comum, como a ades?o ao princ?pio da demanda efetiva. Tendo em vista que, no ?mbito desta linha te?rica, n?o h? consenso sobre a modelagem que melhor explique a taxa de crescimento permitida pela restri??o externa, s?o apresentados os resultados encontrados por parte representativa da literatura emp?rica que trata do tema, que se faz necess?rio para um melhor entendimento do caso brasileiro. A partir da estima??o da elasticidade-renda das importa??es (0,85) atrav?s de vetores autorregressivos com corre??o de erros (VEC), foram calculadas cinco taxas de crescimento da renda, conforme previsto pelos modelos de Thirlwall (1979), Thirlwall e Hussain (1982), Moreno-Brid (1998; 2003) e Louren?o et al. (2011) e comparou-as com a taxa de crescimento efetiva. A an?lise emp?rica permitiu verificar que: n?o se pode rejeitar a presen?a de restri??o externa na economia brasileira; h? forte similaridade nas taxas de crescimento previstas pelos diferentes modelagens que prop?em o crescimento com restri??o externa. Al?m disso, ao se utilizar s?ries trimestrais para o per?odo p?s-1990, n?o existem fatores capazes de provocar instabilidade nos par?metros da fun??o de importa??o (elasticidade-renda e elasticidade-pre?o das importa??es) dentro do per?odo, o que indica que a quebra estrutural amplamente associada ao ano de 1994 n?o foi confirmada para o per?odo de an?lise deste estudo