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The Research of DSR Indicator Framework and Multi-objective Programming for Sustainable Development in TaiwanTung, Hui-Ling 09 June 2004 (has links)
Abstract
The concept of sustainable development in the dynamic operation concerns for the ecosystem¡¦s health, social justice and ideals of responsibility to future generations. From this point of view, the striking levels of economic growth achieved over the past few decades has been accompanied by environmental degradation, which exceeds the carrying capacity of supporting ecosystems in this island. Based on the characteristics of indicators on the Commission on Sustainable Development of United Nations, this research constructs quantitative approaches to evaluate whether the historical data in Taiwan meets the relationship in DSR (Driving-force-State-Response) indicator framework of sustainable development or not. This research also formulates the social-economic-environmental multi-objective programming system to the normative value of sustainable development for planning an optimal strategy path of sustainable development in Taiwan. Moreover, this research also forms a complex system called PREE system, which population (P), resources (R), environment (E) and economy (E) could develop with sustenance, order and coordination, to make policy planning for an overall, comprehensive and systematic mechanism of sustainable development.
This research aims at building the indicator system of sustainable development in Taiwan, performing regression analysis for DSR system, finding key indicators of each individual dimension of sustainable development, developing the multi-objective integrated model solved by goal programming for sustainable development, and realizing the scenario analyses with assigned priority change of objective function.
The results indicate the historical data in Taiwan meets the relationship in DSR indicator framework of sustainable development. The findings illustrate that the scenario for green income accompanied by the highest priority of environmental quality is optimal under the condition of moderate-driven rate of population growth, if green income per capita is considered to be the core set. On the other hand, the findings also indicate the declining rate of population growth, the depletion of water resource and energy, and the degradation of environment. Some suggestions related to public policies for spreading the international concept of sustainable development and for the balance of socio-environment and natural resource. This research explores that such a process generates as a means for nation to understand what specific actions to take in order to simulate the allocating results of national policy affecting the social, economic and environmental system and to measure progress towards sustainable development.
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Integrated coastal zone management using system dynamics approach for land subsidence problems¡Ðthe case study of Pingtung plainLin, Chun-i 13 August 2007 (has links)
Coastal zone become the object which is used to develop when the economy developed quickly and population increase. As a result of coastal zone is a region which involves economy, environment, ecology, and engineering. We must integrated many factors and coordinated related groups. Then we can achieve the goal of sustainable development.
The research involved the knowledge and experiences from Europe, American, and Japan. Except they used a construct of Integrated Coastal Zone Management (ICZM) to think the questions, they combined ecology, water conservancy engineering, social economic activities, and environmental protection. Then they used DSR framework as the foundation to establish the system which evaluated sustainable development of the coastal zone, and they can develop the system dynamic model analyzing the coastal management in many conditions.
Land subsidence is a potential crisis, it grows obviously with the time and has the impact to the environment., When typhoon occurs in the west part of Taiwan coastal area, draining which is unable to operate may cause flood, mole avalanche, seawater intrusion and soil salinization. First we must understand the origin and the management of land subsidence, then we can make the effective strategies by researching different background and geography characteristic of the region.
As a result of land subsidence involves economy, environment, ecology and engineering, the process of land subsidence is a complex problem which has multiple causes. This problem usually involves time-delay and long-term effect. System dynamics is an approach that is used to describe, explore and analyze the procedure, information and the boundary of organizations in complex systems. Such model is good for solving dynamic complex problems with non-linearity, causal circulation, information feedback and time-delay as long as the estimative parameter fall in its confidence level.
The object of the research is to inspect land subsidence in the Pingtung plain. Therefore, this study proposes to find strategies which is suitable to solve interested problems according to integrate social-economic and ecologic-environment development. The framework of the research is based on the DSR (Driving forces-State-Response) index, and it makes evaluated factor from collecting domestic and foreign literature. Then we selected the important factors and its weight value by using the method of AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) to visit the expert and the scholar. According to above, we developed the model of system dynamics and build confidence in the model. In addition, the result of the simulation can provide good supporting information for decision makers by using the model for several strategies simulation and making the index to represent the performance of simulation analysis.
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