The thesis assesses the costs and benefits of Namibia's membership of the CMA to determine whether the CMA is an optimal currency area at least from the perspective of Namibia. This issue is examined from two main perspectives: (a) whether real exchange rate (RER) adjustment is frustrated by the inability to use the nominal exchange rate as an instrument of adjustment. Evidence of persistent RER misalignment may be seen as a necessary condition for an independent nominal exchange rate regime, however, it is not sufficient.(b) In this case, we examine whether nominal devaluations will have sustained effects on RER adjustment, given Namibia's structural features, such as the high degree of openness and a small nontradable sector. An equilibrium RER for Namibia is estimated using a single equation model of RER determination. The model is used to compute RER misalignments to determine whether there are sustained long periods of misalignments. To test whether nominal exchange rates can be effective in changing relative prices, a simple model was developed to measure pass-through of foreign price and exchange rate changes to domestic prices and wages. This provides useful information regarding whether nominal devaluations can be sustained. The results show that RER misalignments have been small, while the extent and speed of pass-through is complete and instantaneous for most items, suggesting that nominal devaluations in Namibia are not likely to have real effects. Even if it was the case that monetary autonomy cannot be supported on grounds of affecting relative prices, it may nevertheless be important for Namibia to pursue an independent exchange rate strategy. To examine this possibility, the analysis was extended by looking at costs and benefits of OCAs which do not rely on the ability to change relative prices. Benefits arising from savings on transactions costs and on foreign exchange reserves amounted to 3.8% and 2.4% of GDP, respectively. Further, we demonstrated that past "shocks" between Namibia and South Africa were highly correlated. The findings of the thesis suggest that the CMA is an optimal exchange regime for Namibia.

This thesis is a case study of the effects of association with the EU on domestic industrial policy making in Poland during 1990-1995 from a liberal intergovernmentalist perspective, showing how association affected the industrial policy-making autonomy of the Government in relation to other domestic actors in two ways. First, because domestic interests were weak and divided in transition-era Poland, the EU provided political leaders with a sharper focus and allowed them to consolidate domestic support for government industrial policy initiatives. Second, where domestic opposition arose, association helped political leaders to overcome it by giving industrial policy initiatives greater legitimacy and allowing them to be portrayed as "mandatory" for EU membership. The manner in which the Government handled domestic pressure for intervention from state enterprises seeking to avoid painful adjustments and restructuring during the transition offers a prime test of the effects of EU association on industrial policy-making autonomy. In most areas, the pro-market, pro-competition policies mandated by EU association were incompatible with the nature and level of governmental involvement in industry under socialism, requiring an end to state subsidies and other forms of discretionary support enjoyed by state enterprises for nearly four decades. Incorporating case studies of the steel and textiles sectors, this thesis illustrates how in the context of transition, the Government's commitment to EU association was stronger than for other recent EU members and ensured that the Government would deviate from the course charted in the Association Agreement only in cases of intense domestic pressure, and even then only temporarily. Accordingly, in a new twist to liberal intergovernmentalism, Poland's transitional domestic situation coupled with the country's enduring commitment to eventual EU membership ensured that the effects of association on policy-making autonomy were more pronounced in Poland than in existing member states.

<p>This study was on the anticipated impact of GATS on the financial services industry in Africa. The paper examined the possible positive and negative impact of the GATS agreement on the financial services industry in the African countries. The research focused on the banking sector and the insurance sector as the main financial sectors under investigation.</p>

This thesis investigates implications of interdependence between stock market prices in the context of several financial applications including: portfolio selection, tests of market efficiency and measuring the extent of integration among national stock markets. In Chapter 2, I note that volatility spillovers (transmissions of risk) have been found in numerous empirical studies but that no one, to my knowledge, has evaluated their effects in the general portfolio framework. I dynamically forecast two multivariate GARCH models, one that accounts for volatility spillovers and one that does not, and construct optimal mean-variance portfolios using these two alternative models. I show that accounting for volatility spillovers lowers portfolio risk with statistical significance and that risk-averse investors would prefer realised returns from portfolios based on the volatility spillover model. In Chapter 3, I develop a structural MGARCH model that parsimoniously specifies the conditional covariance matrix and provides an identification framework. Using the model to investigate interdependencies between size-sorted portfolios from the Australian Stock Exchange, I gain new insights into the issue of asymmetric dependence. My findings not only confirm the observation that small stocks partially adjust to market-wide news embedded in the returns to large firms but also present evidence that suggests that small firms in Australia fail to even partially adjust (with statistical significance) to large firms??? shocks contemporaneously. All adjustments in small capitalisation stocks occur with a lag. Chapter 4 uses intra-daily data and develops a new method for measuring the extent of stock market integration that takes into account non-instantaneous adjustments to overnight news. This approach establishes the amounts of time that the New York, Tokyo and London stock markets take to fully adjust to overnight news and then uses this This thesis investigates implications of interdependence between stock market prices in the context of several financial applications including: portfolio selection, tests of market efficiency and measuring the extent of integration among national stock markets. In Chapter 2, I note that volatility spillovers (transmissions of risk) have been found in numerous empirical studies but that no one, to my knowledge, has evaluated their effects in the general portfolio framework. I dynamically forecast two multivariate GARCH models, one that accounts for volatility spillovers and one that does not, and construct optimal mean-variance portfolios using these two alternative models. I show that accounting for volatility spillovers lowers portfolio risk with statistical significance and that risk-averse investors would prefer realised returns from portfolios based on the volatility spillover model. In Chapter 3, I develop a structural MGARCH model that parsimoniously specifies the conditional covariance matrix and provides an identification framework. Using the model to investigate interdependencies between size-sorted portfolios from the Australian Stock Exchange, I gain new insights into the issue of asymmetric dependence. My findings not only confirm the observation that small stocks partially adjust to market-wide news embedded in the returns to large firms but also present evidence that suggests that small firms in Australia fail to even partially adjust (with statistical significance) to large firms??? shocks contemporaneously. All adjustments in small capitalisation stocks occur with a lag. Chapter 4 uses intra-daily data and develops a new method for measuring the extent of stock market integration that takes into account non-instantaneous adjustments to overnight news. This approach establishes the amounts of time that the New York, Tokyo and London stock markets take to fully adjust to overnight news and then uses this

Thesis (Ph.D.)--Auburn University, 2005. / Abstract. Vita. Includes bibliographic references (ℓ. 164-173)

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Melbourne, Faculty of Law, 2005. / Author's name on spine: H.K. Mutai. Typescript. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 263-284).

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Western Sydney, 2008. / "A thesis submitted in fulfilment of the requirements for the award of the degree Doctor of Philosophy, School of Economics and Finance, College of Business, University of Western Sydney." Includes bibliographies.

Thesis (Ph. D.)--University of California, Santa Cruz 2003. / Typescript. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 143-153).

Thesis (J.S.D.)--Cornell University, 1990. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 215-233).

Thesis (Ph. D.)--Rutgers University, 2005. / Vita. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 219-237).