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abstract: It has been identified in the literature that there exists a link between the built environment and non-motorized transport. This study aims to contribute to existing literature on the effects of the built environment on cycling, examining the case of the whole State of California. Physical built environment features are classified into six groups as: 1) local density, 2) diversity of land use, 3) road connectivity, 4) bike route length, 5) green space, 6) job accessibility. Cycling trips in one week for all children, school children, adults and employed-adults are investigated separately. The regression analysis shows that cycling trips is significantly associated with some features of built environment when many socio-demographic factors are taken into account. Street intersections, bike route length tend to increase the use of bicycle. These effects are well-aligned with literature. Moreover, both local and regional job accessibility variables are statistically significant in two adults' models. However, residential density always has a significant negatively effect on cycling trips, which is still need further research to confirm. Also, there is a gap in literature on how green space affects cycling, but the results of this study is still too unclear to make it up. By elasticity analysis, this study concludes that street intersections is the most powerful predictor on cycling trips. From another perspective, the effects of built environment on cycling at workplace (or school) are distinguished from at home. This study implies that a wide range of measures are available for planners to control vehicle travel by improving cycling-level in California. / Dissertation/Thesis / Masters Thesis Urban and Environmental Planning 2015

This dissertation provides a comprehensive examination of the role of Transportation Networking Companies (TNC) across four dimensions. First, we examined the factors affecting Transportation Networking Companies (TNC) pricing and destination choice behavior using weekday TNC trip data from Chicago spanning January 2019 through December 2019. Towards achieving this goal, we developed a joint model framework where trip fare is modelled using linear regression model (LR) and destination choice is modelled using a multinomial logit model (MNL). Second, we build a systematic framework to analyze spatial TNC demand patterns (origins) across the urban region at the census tract (CT) level and compare them to overall transportation demand. We propose and compute a novel metric at the census tract level to identify the potential imbalance between overall transportation demand and TNC demand by developing a Generalized Ordered Logit. The model applicability is further illustrated through elasticity analysis. Third, based on earlier studies we identified that current TNC related macroscopic studies do not incorporate attributes at the microscopic resolution. We bridge the macroscopic and microscopic analysis using a bi-level modeling approaching that accommodates for the influence of microscopic attributes within the macroscopic modeling approach. In this proposed framework, the trip level destination choice model (microscopic model) takes the form of a multinomial logit model and the origin-destination flow model (macroscopic model) takes the form of a multinomial logit fractional split model. Finally, in our effort to incorporate TNCs into travel demand tools, we conducted a comprehensive literature review on studies examining the impact of TNCs on various components of travel demand models (TDM). We provide guidelines for potential travel demand model updates using three use case examples including vehicle ownership model, trip generation model, and trip level mode choice components.

Explicar os padrões de diversidade de espécies e entender os processos que geram e mantêm essa diversidade na natureza é um dos grandes objetivos da Ecologia. A teoria clássica de competição prevê que duas espécies só podem coexistir quando há divergência no uso de recursos. Portanto, há um limite de similaridade imposto pela competição entre as espécies, que leva à co-ocorrência de espécies com estratégias ecológicas mais diferentes entre si. Por outro lado, o ambiente físico pode impor restrições às possíveis estratégias ecológicas das espécies. Ambientes com limitações de recursos ou condições desfavoráveis permitem apenas a sobrevivência de espécies com estratégias mais similares, um processo conhecido como filtro ambiental. Dois processos podem então gerar padrões antagônicos na estrutura das comunidades, selecionando estratégias ecológicas mais parecidas ou mais diferentes entre si. Há ainda a possibilidade de que os dois processos ou mesmo nenhum dos dois seja importante na estruturação das comunidades, levando a um padrão aleatório ou neutro. Utilizando-se das contribuições proporcionais (elasticidades) das três taxas vitais demográficas - sobrevivência, crescimento e fecundidade - para a taxa de crescimento populacional para inferir as estratégias ecológicas das espécies de árvores de uma comunidade, nos propusemos a responder a pergunta: \"Qual processo é responsável pela estruturação de comunidades de árvores tropicais?\". O trabalho foi realizado em uma parcela permanente de 10,24 hectares na Restinga da Ilha do Cardoso, São Paulo. Todos os indivíduos com mais de 15cm de perímetro à altura do peito foram marcados, identificados e tiveram seus diâmetros à altura do peito registrados para dois censos. As elasticidades das três taxas vitais para 89 espécies de árvores foram obtidas por meio de um modelo de projeção integral (IPMs). Os IPMs são ferramentas modernas mais robustas que os clássicos modelos matriciais, comumente utilizados em estudos demográficos. Definimos um espaço ecológico no triângulo onde as estratégias ecológicas das espécies são classificadas de acordo com as elasticidades das três taxas demográficas. Construímos também uma filogenia molecular específica para a comunidade baseada nos marcadores cloroplásticos rbcL e matK, com a qual obtivemos as distâncias entre todos os pares de espécies. Calculamos o sinal filogenético das estratégias ecológicas por meio da correlação entre a distância entre as espécies no espaço ecológico e suas distâncias filogenéticas. Aceitamos a premissa de conservação das estratégias ecológicas na filogenia. As espécies puderam ser classificadas em quatro grupos demográficos distintos no espaço ecológico, distribuídos principalmente no eixo crescimento-sobrevivência, o que é esperado para árvores. Não há sinal filogenético para as estratégias ecológicas, o que indica que ambos os processos ou nenhum dos dois processos é importante na estruturação dessa comunidade. Nosso trabalho traz uma nova abordagem metodológica e resultados que contradizem a literatura recente, em que a importância dos filtros ecológicos na estruturação de comunidades tropicais é repetidamente encontrada. A confirmação deste padrão para outras comunidades poderá colaborar para o melhor entendimento dos processos estruturadores das comunidades tropicais. / One of Ecology\'s biggest goals is to explain the patterns of species\' diversity and to understand the processes that generate and maintain this diversity in natural communities. Classical competition theory predicts that two species will be able to coexist only when there is divergence in the use of resources, i.e., competition imposes a limiting similarity among species that allows co-occurrence of species with divergent ecological strategies. On the other hand, the physical environment may impose restrictions to the range of possible ecological strategies of species. Environments with limited resources or adverse conditions will allow the survival of species with more specific strategies, a process known as environmental filtering. These two processes will generate opposite effects on the structure of communities, as more similar or more different ecological strategies will be selected. There is still the possibility that both processes are occurring simultaneously, or neither are important for the community. In both cases, a neutral or random pattern is expected. Using the proportional contribution (elasticities) of the three demographic vital rates - survival, growth and fecundity - to the finite rate of increase of population as a mean of inferring the ecological strategy of trees in a community, we intended to answer the question: \"What process is responsible for the structuring of tropical tree communities?\". Data was collected in a Restinga forest 10.24 ha permanent plot. All individuals with more than 15cm of perimeter at breast height were marked, identified and had their diameters at breast height registered for two censes. Elasticities of the three vital rates for 89 tree species were obtained with an Integral Projection Model (IPM). IPMs are modern tools more robust than classical matrix models, commonly used in demographic studies. We defined an ecological space in the triangle where ecological strategies are plotted according to elasticities of the three vital rates. We also generated a molecular phylogeny based on rbcL and matK chloroplast markers, and used it to obtain the phylogenetic distance between all pairs of species. We calculated the phylogenetic signal of ecological strategies using the correlation between ecological distances in the ecological space and phylogenetic distances. We assumed ecological strategies to be conserved in the phylogeny. Species could be classified into four demographic groups in ecological space, distributed mainly in a growth-survival axis. This is expected for trees. No phylogenetic signal was found for the ecological strategies. This can mean that either both processes are structuring this community, or neither is important. Our study uses a new methodological approach and presents new results that contradict recent literature, on which environmental filtering is repeatedly accounted as the main process structuring tropical communities. Confirmation of this pattern for other communities may bring further understanding of structuring of tropical communities.

The main goal of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of two biological control agents in reducing population growth and spread of the invasive tree Melaleuca quinquenervia, a subtropical tree native to Australia, and invasive in Florida, Puerto Rico, and the Bahamas. While in Florida two insects Oxyops vitiosa (weevil), and Boreioglycaspis melaleucae (psyllid) have been established as biocontrol agents, in Puerto Rico only psyllids are present, and in the Bahamas no biocontrol agents are present. This study combined demographic data, experiments and mathematical models to investigate the influence of the biocontrol agents on M. quinquenervia's spatial population dynamics. In the field, permanent plots were established and demographic data was collected in populations in the native and exotic ranges. Australian populations are comprised mostly of tall adult trees, while in the exotic ranges populations are comprised mostly of short trees (<1.3m in height), and small adult trees. In a shade-house, I performed an experiment to investigate the effects of insect type and density on survival and growth of M. quinquenervia seedlings. I found that high density of insects, independently or in combination, reduce seedling performance, thus having the potential to alter the seedling-short plant transition of the M. quinquenervia life cycle. Based on the demographic data, I developed integral projection models (IPMs) to determine population growth rates in each region. Populations in Australia and the Bahamas are increasing, while populations in Florida and Puerto Rico are decreasing. Population growth is most sensitive to the seedling-short plant transition in all regions, except Florida, where it is most sensitive to survival of tall plants. Simulations combining the results of the IMPs and experiment indicated the biocontrol damage results in reductions in population growth rate in Puerto Rico and the Bahamas. Seed dispersal and demographic data was combined to develop an integrodifference structured model of population spread. Simulations indicated that by reducing seedling performance, insects have the potential to reduce the rate of population spread. Overall this study shows that individual-level effects of biocontrol agents have translated into reductions in population growth rate and rate of spread of M. quinquenervia.

Explicar os padrões de diversidade de espécies e entender os processos que geram e mantêm essa diversidade na natureza é um dos grandes objetivos da Ecologia. A teoria clássica de competição prevê que duas espécies só podem coexistir quando há divergência no uso de recursos. Portanto, há um limite de similaridade imposto pela competição entre as espécies, que leva à co-ocorrência de espécies com estratégias ecológicas mais diferentes entre si. Por outro lado, o ambiente físico pode impor restrições às possíveis estratégias ecológicas das espécies. Ambientes com limitações de recursos ou condições desfavoráveis permitem apenas a sobrevivência de espécies com estratégias mais similares, um processo conhecido como filtro ambiental. Dois processos podem então gerar padrões antagônicos na estrutura das comunidades, selecionando estratégias ecológicas mais parecidas ou mais diferentes entre si. Há ainda a possibilidade de que os dois processos ou mesmo nenhum dos dois seja importante na estruturação das comunidades, levando a um padrão aleatório ou neutro. Utilizando-se das contribuições proporcionais (elasticidades) das três taxas vitais demográficas - sobrevivência, crescimento e fecundidade - para a taxa de crescimento populacional para inferir as estratégias ecológicas das espécies de árvores de uma comunidade, nos propusemos a responder a pergunta: \"Qual processo é responsável pela estruturação de comunidades de árvores tropicais?\". O trabalho foi realizado em uma parcela permanente de 10,24 hectares na Restinga da Ilha do Cardoso, São Paulo. Todos os indivíduos com mais de 15cm de perímetro à altura do peito foram marcados, identificados e tiveram seus diâmetros à altura do peito registrados para dois censos. As elasticidades das três taxas vitais para 89 espécies de árvores foram obtidas por meio de um modelo de projeção integral (IPMs). Os IPMs são ferramentas modernas mais robustas que os clássicos modelos matriciais, comumente utilizados em estudos demográficos. Definimos um espaço ecológico no triângulo onde as estratégias ecológicas das espécies são classificadas de acordo com as elasticidades das três taxas demográficas. Construímos também uma filogenia molecular específica para a comunidade baseada nos marcadores cloroplásticos rbcL e matK, com a qual obtivemos as distâncias entre todos os pares de espécies. Calculamos o sinal filogenético das estratégias ecológicas por meio da correlação entre a distância entre as espécies no espaço ecológico e suas distâncias filogenéticas. Aceitamos a premissa de conservação das estratégias ecológicas na filogenia. As espécies puderam ser classificadas em quatro grupos demográficos distintos no espaço ecológico, distribuídos principalmente no eixo crescimento-sobrevivência, o que é esperado para árvores. Não há sinal filogenético para as estratégias ecológicas, o que indica que ambos os processos ou nenhum dos dois processos é importante na estruturação dessa comunidade. Nosso trabalho traz uma nova abordagem metodológica e resultados que contradizem a literatura recente, em que a importância dos filtros ecológicos na estruturação de comunidades tropicais é repetidamente encontrada. A confirmação deste padrão para outras comunidades poderá colaborar para o melhor entendimento dos processos estruturadores das comunidades tropicais. / One of Ecology\'s biggest goals is to explain the patterns of species\' diversity and to understand the processes that generate and maintain this diversity in natural communities. Classical competition theory predicts that two species will be able to coexist only when there is divergence in the use of resources, i.e., competition imposes a limiting similarity among species that allows co-occurrence of species with divergent ecological strategies. On the other hand, the physical environment may impose restrictions to the range of possible ecological strategies of species. Environments with limited resources or adverse conditions will allow the survival of species with more specific strategies, a process known as environmental filtering. These two processes will generate opposite effects on the structure of communities, as more similar or more different ecological strategies will be selected. There is still the possibility that both processes are occurring simultaneously, or neither are important for the community. In both cases, a neutral or random pattern is expected. Using the proportional contribution (elasticities) of the three demographic vital rates - survival, growth and fecundity - to the finite rate of increase of population as a mean of inferring the ecological strategy of trees in a community, we intended to answer the question: \"What process is responsible for the structuring of tropical tree communities?\". Data was collected in a Restinga forest 10.24 ha permanent plot. All individuals with more than 15cm of perimeter at breast height were marked, identified and had their diameters at breast height registered for two censes. Elasticities of the three vital rates for 89 tree species were obtained with an Integral Projection Model (IPM). IPMs are modern tools more robust than classical matrix models, commonly used in demographic studies. We defined an ecological space in the triangle where ecological strategies are plotted according to elasticities of the three vital rates. We also generated a molecular phylogeny based on rbcL and matK chloroplast markers, and used it to obtain the phylogenetic distance between all pairs of species. We calculated the phylogenetic signal of ecological strategies using the correlation between ecological distances in the ecological space and phylogenetic distances. We assumed ecological strategies to be conserved in the phylogeny. Species could be classified into four demographic groups in ecological space, distributed mainly in a growth-survival axis. This is expected for trees. No phylogenetic signal was found for the ecological strategies. This can mean that either both processes are structuring this community, or neither is important. Our study uses a new methodological approach and presents new results that contradict recent literature, on which environmental filtering is repeatedly accounted as the main process structuring tropical communities. Confirmation of this pattern for other communities may bring further understanding of structuring of tropical communities.