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A hybrid approach to expert and model based effort estimationBaker, Daniel Ryan. January 1900 (has links)
Thesis (M.S.)--West Virginia University, 2007. / Title from document title page. Document formatted into pages; contains viii, 121 p. : ill. (some col.). Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (p. 112-121).
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Codage et traitement de signal avancé pour les systèmes MIMOMedles, Abdelkader 15 April 2004 (has links) (PDF)
L'utilisation d'antennes multiple à la transmission et réception dans les communications mobiles, offre d'importantes perspectives pour accroître le débit et améliorer la qualité du lien. Cela peut être effectué en utilisant un plus important multiplexage spatial et en exploitant la diversité contenue dans le canal, tout en gardant une complexité acceptable. L'état de connaissance sur le canal a un impact important sur la conception de la chaîne de transmission. En effet, l'information sur l'état du canal (CSI) au transmetteur (Tx) a un impact sur le codage alors que la qualité du CSI au récepteur (Rx) a principalement un impact sur la détection et l'estimation du canal. Dans la première partie de cette thèse nous avons considéré le cas d'absence de CSI au Tx et un parfait CSI au Rx. On propose la dispersion spatio-temporelle (STS), qui est un schéma de codage spatio-temporel basé sur le précodage linéaire en utilisant un filtre multi-entrée multi sortie (MIMO). Le STS effectue un multiplexage de flux maximal, qui est optimisé pour exploiter une diversité maximale, atteindre un bon gain codage et conserver la capacité ergodique. Un autre avantage du STS est qu'il permet d'utiliser une variété de récepteurs de complexité réduite. Le Stripping MIMO avec égalisation a retour de décision, est un récepteur non-itératif qui détecte les flux d'une manière successive. Les performances du Stripping sont données en terme du compromis entre diversité et multiplexage. Un autre récepteur non-itératif est l'égaliseur à retour de décision appliqué au cas MIMO. Il permet la détection des symboles des différents flux d'une manière conjointe mais successivement dans le temps. Le troisième récepteur proposé est itératif. Il profite de la présence d'un codage canal binaire et itère entre l'égaliseur linéaire et le décodeur canal binaire. Des simulations sont présentées pour évaluer les performances. Dans la seconde partie on considère des canaux avec un CSI partiel au Tx et parfait au Rx. La connaissance partiale dans ces cas peut être le résultat de la décomposition du canal en paramètres lents et rapides. Elle peut aussi être le résultat d'une réciprocité du canal physique entre la liaison montante et descendante. A ces différents cas on présente des modèles de canaux adaptés et on étudie la capacité ergodique. Dans la dernière partie on traite du cas d'absence de CSI aux Tx et Rx. La capacité de deux modèles de canaux, évanescent par bloc et sélectif en temps, sont étudiées. A cause de l'absence de CSI au Rx le canal doit être estimé dans les systèmes utilisés en pratique. On propose des estimateurs semi-aveugle qui combinent l'information de la séquence d'apprentissage et celle de la partie aveugle. Les conditions d'identifiabilité sont obtenues et des simulations sont proposées pour évaluer les performances.
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An Application of Landscape Design to Student Academic SuccessRoy, Roger A. January 2006 (has links) (PDF)
No description available.
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Model based estimation of parameters of spatial populations from probability samplesWeaver, George W. 02 October 1996 (has links)
Many ecological populations can be interpreted as response surfaces; the spatial
patterns of the population vary in response to changes in the spatial patterns of
environmental explanatory variables. Collection of a probability sample from the
population provides unbiased estimates of the population parameters using design
based estimation. When information is available for the environmental
explanatory variables, model based procedures are available that provide more
precise estimates of population parameters in some cases. In practice, not all of
these environmental explanatory variables will be known. When the spatial
coordinates of the population units are available, a spatial model can be used as a
surrogate for the unknown, spatially patterned explanatory variables. Design
based and model based procedures will be compared for estimating parameters of
the population of Acid Neutralizing Capacity (ANC) of lakes in the Adirondack
Mountains in New York. Results from the analysis of this population will be used
to elucidate some general principles for model based estimation of parameters of
spatial populations. Results indicate that using model based estimates of
population parameters provide more precise estimates than design based estimates
in some cases. In addition, including spatial information as a surrogate for
spatially patterned missing covariates improves the precision of the estimates in
some cases, the degree to which depends upon the model chosen to represent the
spatial pattern.
When the probability sample is selected from the spatial population is a
stratified sample, differences in stratum variances need to be accounted for when
residual spatial covariance estimation is desired for the entire population. This
can be accomplished by scaling residuals by their estimated stratum standard
deviation functions, and calculating the residual covariance using these scaled
residuals. Results here demonstrate that the form of scaling influences the
estimated strength of the residual correlation and the estimated correlation range. / Graduation date: 1997
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An Integrated Affine Jump Diffusion Framework to Manage Power Portfolios in a Deregulated MarketCulot, Michel F.J. 24 January 2003 (has links)
Electricity markets around the world have gone through, or are currently in a deregulation phase. As a result, power companies that formerly enjoyed a monopoly are now facing risks. In order to cover (hedge) these risks, futures markets have emerged, in parallel with the spot price markets. Then, markets of more complex derived products have appeared to better hedge the risk exposures of power suppliers and consumers.
An Affine Jump Diffusion (AJD) framework is presented here to coherently model the dynamics of the spot price of electricity and all the futures contracts. The non-storability of electricity makes it indeed impossible to use it in hedging strategies. Futures contracts, however, are standard financial contracts that can be stored and used in hedging strategies. We thus propose to consider the set of futures contracts as the primary commodities to be modelled and jointly estimate the parameters of the spot and futures prices based on their historical time series.
The estimation is done by Maximum Likelihood, using a Kalman Filter recursive algorithm that has been updated to account for non-Gaussian errors. This procedure has been applied to the German European Energy index (EEX) based in Frankfurt for electricity, to the Brent for Crude oil, and to the NBP for natural gas.
The AJD framework is very powerful because the characteristic function of the underlying stochastic variables can be obtained just by solving a system of complex valued ODEs. We took advantage of this feature and developed a novel approach to estimate expectations of arbitrary functions of random variables that does not require the probability density function of the stochastic variables, but instead, their characteristic function. This approach, relying on the Parseval Identity, provided closed form solutions for options with payoff functions that have an analytical Fourier transform. In particular, European calls, puts and spread options could be computed as well as the value of multi-fuel power plants that can be viewed as an option to exchange the most economic fuel of the moment against electricity.
A numerical procedure has also been developed for options with payoff functions that do not have an analytical Fourier transform. This numerical approach is indeed using a Fast Fourier Transform of the payoff function, and can be used in Dynamic Programming algorithms to price contracts with endogenous exercise strategies.
Finally, it is showed that the (mathematical) partial derivatives of these contracts, often referred to as the Greeks, could also be computed at low cost. This allows to build hedging strategies to shape the risk profile of a given producer, or consumer.
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Informing Climate Policy Given Incommensurable Benefits EstimatesJacoby, Henry D. 02 1900 (has links)
The determination of long-term goals for climate policy, or of near-term mitigation effort, requires a shared conception among nations of what is at stake. Unfortunately, because of different attitudes to risk, problems of valuing non-market effects, and disagreements about aggregation across rich and poor nations, no single benefit measure is possible that can provide commonly accepted basis for judgment. In response to this circumstance, a portfolio of estimates is recommended, including global variables that can be represented in probabilistic terms, regional impacts expressed in natural units, and integrated monetary valuation. Development of such a portfolio is a research task, and the needed program of work suggested. / Abstract in HTML and technical report in PDF available on the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change website (http://mit.edu/globalchange/www/). / Results cited from the MIT Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change were developed with the support of the US Department of Energy, Office of Biological and Environmental Research [BER] (DE-FG02-94ER61937) the US Environmental Protection Agency (X-827703-01-0), the Electric Power Research Institute, and by a consortium of industry and foundation sponsors.
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Fast algorithms and applications for multi-dimensional least-squares-based minimum variance spectral estimation /Wei, Lin. January 1900 (has links)
Thesis (Ph. D.)--Oregon State University, 2007. / Printout. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 125-128). Also available on the World Wide Web.
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Filtering and estimation theory first-order, polynomial and decentralized signal processing /Aysal, Tuncer Can. January 2007 (has links)
Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Delaware, 2007. / Principal faculty advisor: Kenneth E. Barner, Dept. of Electrical and Computer Engineering. Includes bibliographical references.
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Nonlinear Robust Observers for Simultaneous State and Fault EstimationRaoufi, Reza 06 1900 (has links)
A fault in the system operation is deemed to occur when the system practically
experiences an abnormal condition, such as a malfunction in the actuators/sensors. Hence,
detection and isolation of the faulty components is crucial in control applications.
Effective control and monitoring of a system requires accurate information of internal
behaviour of the system. This internal behaviour can be analyzed by system's states.
Practically, in many real systems, state space variables are not fully available for
measurements. The two critical problems stated have motivated significant research work
in the area of robust state and fault estimation. Fault reconstruction and estimation is
regarded as a stronger extension to fault detection and isolation (FDI) since accurate
fault estimation automatically implies fault detection.
It is well known that two promising control strategies to cope with uncertain control
processes are H_infinity Control and Sliding Mode Control. Therefore, in this PhD thesis,
we employ these tools and we propose observer based robust fault reconstruction (RFR) by
integrating H_infinity filtering and Sliding Mode Control. We also employ adaptive
control on the sliding motion to deal with faults with unknown bounds. Another open
problem in the context of FDI and RFR is due to systems with multiple faults at different
system's components since it is often the case where actuators and also sensors suffer
from faults during the course of the system's operation. Both actuators and sensors can
suffer from faults either alone, at separate times or simultaneously. The co-existence of
unknown fault at both sensor(s) and actuator(s) has not been addressed in any earlier
design of fault reconstruction schemes. In this Thesis, inspired by the theory of
singular systems, we aim at solving this problem. A New structure for reduced-order
unknown input observers (UIOs) with application to chaotic communication and sensor fault
reconstruction is also proposed. / Controls
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A Network Conditions Estimator for Voice Over IP Objective Quality AssessmentNocito, Carlos Daniel 22 November 2011 (has links)
Objective quality evaluation is a key element for the success of the emerging Voice over IP (VoIP) technologies. Although there are extensive economic incentives for the convergence of voice, data, and video networks, packet networks such as the Internet have inherent incompatibilities with the transport of real time services. Under this paradigm, network planners and administrators are interested in ongoing mechanisms to measure and ensure the quality of these real time services. Objective quality assessment algorithms can be broadly divided into a) intrusive (methods that require a reference signal), and b) non intrusive (methods that do not require a known reference signal). The latter group, typically requires knowledge of the network conditions (level of delay, jitter, packet loss, etc.), and that has been a very active area of research in the past decade. The state of the art methods for objective non-intrusive quality assessment provide high correlations with the subjective tests. Although good correlations have been achieved already for objective non-intrusive quality assessment, the current large voice transport networks are in a hybrid state, where the necessary network parameters cannot easily be observed from the packet traffic between nodes. This thesis proposes a new process, the Network Conditions Estimator (NCE), which can serve as bridge element to real-world hybrid networks. Two classifications systems, an artificial neural network and a C4.5 decision tree, were developed using speech from a database collected from experiments under controlled network conditions. The database was composed of a group of four female speakers and three male speakers, who conducted unscripted conversations without knowledge about the details of the experiment. Using mel frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs) as the feature-set, an accuracy of about 70% was achieved in detecting the presence of jitter or packet loss on the channel. This resulting classifier can be incorporated as an input to the E-Model, in order to properly estimate the QoS of a network in real time. Additionally, rather than just providing an estimation of subjective quality of service provided, the NCE provides an insight into the cause for low performance.
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