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Redundancy and Robustness Quantification of Bridge Systems based on Reliability and Risk ApproachesSarmiento, Silvia January 2023 (has links)
Over the last few decades, evaluating the performance of existing structures has become increasingly important, particularly as the number of bridges reaching their design life continues to rise. As a result, there is a growing need for effective and accurate procedures to guide the assessment of the current structures' capacity and safety levels to implement appropriate maintenance and rehabilitation strategies. Evaluating a structure's performance involves assessing its ability to carry loads, resist external forces, and maintain its functionality over time. This is a complex process that requires a deep understanding of the structure's behavior, as well as knowledge of the environmental conditions it is subjected to. In recent years, technological advances and an increased understanding of reliability concepts have allowed for the development of more sophisticated tools and methods for structural evaluation. Thus, engineers and researchers can obtain more accurate and reliable data about a structure's performance, which can inform decision-making processes related to maintenance, repair, and replacement. This study aims to present a methodology that guides the assessment of existing structures' performance effectively and accurately. Precisely, the performance is measured in terms of redundancy and robustness. Thus, a comparison of existing reliability- and risk-based indicators is performed through an example application presented in one of the appended papers. The comparison allows an overview of the difference between the available measures and the type of information provided by each one of them. Also, in one of the appended papers a new algorithm for evaluating the failure probability value is proposed. The algorithm is based on metamodel strategies and integrates the advantages of kriging, learning, and copula functions. The proposed algorithm aims to reduce the number of performance function evaluations, so the number of model runs is feasible when using Finite Element Modeling (FEM). By comparing the available redundancy and robustness indicators, it was possible to observe that each measure provides different insights into these two structural properties. Additionally, direct comparison between them is challenging since their units can differ, and the lack of a target or standard values makes their interpretation difficult. Therefore, when using a specific indicator, it is required to specify the definition adopted clearly. Furthermore, the proposed algorithm showed through the validation examples and the case study that it can obtain the failure probability accurately and effectively. Its application resulted in a more economical methodology, in terms of computational cost, compared to other existing reliability methods.
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Structural assessment procedures for existing concrete bridges : Experiences from failure tests of the Kiruna BridgeBagge, Niklas January 2017 (has links)
Assessing existing bridges is an important task in the sustainable management ofinfrastructure. In practice, structural bridge assessments are usually conducted usingtraditional and standardised methods, despite knowledge that these methods oftenprovide conservative estimates. In addition, more advanced methods are available, suchas nonlinear finite element (FE) analysis, that are used for research purposes and cansimulate the structural behaviour of bridges more accurately. Therefore, it would beuseful to develop practical and reliable procedures for refined assessments using theseadvanced techniques.Focusing on the ultimate load-carrying capacity of existing concrete bridges, this thesispresents a procedure for structural assessments. The fundamental idea is to improve theassessment successively, as necessary to predict bridges’ structural behaviour adequately.The procedure involves a multi-level assessment strategy with four levels of structuralanalysis, and an integrated framework for safety verification. At the initial level (Level 1)of the multi-level strategy, traditional standardised methods are used, no failures arecovered implicitly in the structural analysis and action effects are verified using localresistances calculated using analytical models. In the subsequent enhanced levels (Levels2 – 4), nonlinear FE analysis is used for stepwise integration of the verification of flexural,shear-related and anchorage failures into the structural analysis. The framework for safetyverifications includes partial safety factor (PSF), global resistance safety factor (GRSF) andfull probabilistic methods. Within each of these groups, verifications of desired safetymargins can be conducted with varying degrees of complexity.To demonstrate and evaluate the proposed structural assessment procedure, comparativestudies have been carried out, based on full-scale tests of a prestressed concrete bridge.This was the Kiruna Bridge, located in the northernmost city in Sweden, which was duefor demolition as part of a city transformation project, necessitated by large grounddeformations caused by the large nearby mine. Thus, it was available for destructiveexperimental investigation within the doctoral project presented in this thesis. The bridgehad five continuous spans, was 121.5 m long and consisted of three parallel girders with a connecting slab at the top. Both the girders and slab were tested to failure to investigatetheir structural behaviour and load-carrying capacity. Non-destructive and destructivetests were also applied to determine the residual prestress forces in the bridge girders andinvestigate the in situ applicability of methods developed for this purpose. The so-calledsaw-cut method and decompression-load method were used after refinement to enabletheir application to structures of such complexity. The variation of the experimentallydetermined residual prestress forces was remarkably high, depending on the sectioninvestigated. There were also high degrees of uncertainty in estimated values, and thusare only regarded as indications of the residual prestress force.Level 1 analysis of the multi-level assessment strategy consistently underestimatedcapacity, relative to the test results, and did not provide accurate predictions of the shearrelatedfailure observed in the test. With linear FE analysis and local resistance modelsdefined by the European standard, Eurocode 2, the load-carrying capacity wasunderestimated by 32 % for the bridge girder and 55 % for the bridge deck slab. At theenhanced level of structural analysis (Level 3), nonlinear FE analyses predicted thecapacities with less than 2 % deviation from the test results and correctly predicted thefailure mode. However, for existing bridges there are many uncertainties, for instance,the FE simulations were sensitive to the level of residual prestressing, boundaryconditions and assumed material parameters. To accurately take these aspects intoaccount, bridge-specific information is crucial.The complete structural assessment procedure, combining the multi-level strategy andsafety verification framework, was evaluated in a case study. Experiences from theprevious comparative studies were used in an assessment of the Kiruna Bridge followingthe Swedish assessment code. The initial assessment at Level 1 of the multi-level strategyand safety verification, using the PSF method, indicated that the shear capacity of one ofthe girders was critical. The most adverse load case (a combination of permanent loads,prestressing and variable traffic loads) was further investigated through enhancedstructural analyses implicitly accounting for flexural and shear-related failures (Level 3).Nonlinear FE analysis and safety evaluation using the PSF method, several variants of theGRSF method and the full probabilistic analysis for resistance indicated that the permittedaxle load for the critical classification vehicle could be 5.6 – 6.5 times higher than thelimit obtained from the initial assessment at Level 1. However, the study also indicatedthat the model uncertainty was not fully considered in these values. The modeluncertainty was shown to have strong effects on the safety verification and (thus)permissible axle loads. The case study also highlighted the need for a strategy forsuccessively improving structural analysis to improve understanding of bridges’ structuralbehaviour. The refined analysis indicated a complex failure mode, with yielding of thestirrups in the bridge girders and transverse flexural reinforcement in the bridge deck slab,but with a final shear failure of the slab. It would be impossible to capture suchcomplexity in a traditional standardised assessment, which (as mentioned) indicated thatthe shear capacity of the girder limited permissible axle loads. However, nonlinear FEanalyses are computationally demanding, and numerous modelling choices are required.Besides a strategy for rationally improving the analysis and helping analysts to focus oncritical aspects, detailed guidelines for nonlinear FE analysis should be applied to reduce the analyst-dependent variability of results and (thus) the model uncertainty. Clearly, toensure the validity of bridge assessment methods under in situ conditions, theirevaluations should include in situ tests. This thesis presents outcomes of such tests, therebyhighlighting important aspects for future improvements in the assessment of existingbridges.
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