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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

VALUE-AT-RISK ESTIMATION USING GARCH MODELS FOR THE CHINESE MAINLAND STOCK MARKET

Zhou, Dongya January 2020 (has links)
With the acceleration of economic globalization, the immature Chinese mainland stock market is gradually associated with the stock markets of other countries. This paper predict the return rate of Chinese mainland stock market using several models from GARCH family, test the predictability by calculating Value-at-Risk, also capture the dynamic correlation between other fifive countries or region and mainland China by DCC-GARCH model. The results indicate that E-ARMA-GARCH model fifits the best due to the signifificant heteroscedasticity and leverage effect of Chinese mainland stock market. It has the strongest positive correlation with HongKong while the weakest correlation with the United States.

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