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  • About
  • The Global ETD Search service is a free service for researchers to find electronic theses and dissertations. This service is provided by the Networked Digital Library of Theses and Dissertations.
    Our metadata is collected from universities around the world. If you manage a university/consortium/country archive and want to be added, details can be found on the NDLTD website.
1

EquilÃbrio financeiro dos regimes prÃprios de previdÃncia social no Brasil / Financial balance of own social security systems in Brazil

Denilson de Oliveira Adriano 11 December 2014 (has links)
nÃo hà / Ao se investigar o equilÃbrio financeiro dos Regimes PrÃprios de PrevidÃncia Social (RPPS) dos servidores pÃblicos, espera-se que os resultados deste estudo contribuam com a literatura empÃrica ainda escassa no Brasil. Seguindo uma modelagem economÃtrica de dados em painel, considerando-se os 22 estados brasileiros no perÃodo 2005â2011, busca-se analisar a solvÃncia dos RPPS atravÃs da metodologia tradicional em sustentabilidade fiscal com restriÃÃo orÃamentÃria intertemporal, ao se testar a estacionaridade da sÃrie representativa do dÃficit previdenciÃrio e da despesa sobre o saldo de servidores ativos, fazendo-se uso de quatro testes alternativos: Levin-Lin-Chu (2002); Im-Pesaram-Shin (2003); Dickey- Fuller (1979) e Phillips-Perron (1988). Os resultados dos testes mostraram que o dÃficit previdenciÃrio nÃo possui raiz unitÃria, sendo assim estacionÃrio tanto no sistema como um todo, como individualmente. A sÃrie despesa sobre saldo de ativos, por seu turno, mostrou-se estacionaria apenas no todo. Conclui-se que o equilÃbrio financeiro, entre as duas abordagens, à mais viÃvel atravÃs do acrÃscimo nas receitas, cuja polÃtica de curto prazo poderia ser direcionada, por exemplo, para o aumento das alÃquotas de contribuiÃÃo previdenciÃria dos entes patrocinadores e dos segurados. AlÃm disso, hà a necessidade de se implementar novas reformas previdenciÃrias no sentido de viabilizar o equilÃbrio financeiro dos RPPS no longo prazo. / At aiming to investigate the financial balance in the Social Security System of public employees (RPPS), it is expected that the results here found contribute to the scarce empirical literature in Brazil. Following a panel data econometric modeling, by taking the 22 brazilian states in the period 2005â2011, it was approached the solvency of RPPS through a traditional methodology in fiscal sustainability under intertemporal budget constraint. In order to verify the stationarity of the series representative of the pension deficit and expenditure on the balance of active workers four alternative tests procedures were considered: Levin-Lin-Chu (2002); Im-Pesaram-Shin (2003); Dickey-Fuller (1979) e Phillips-Perron (1988). The results from the tests showed that the pension deficit present no unit root, which implies stationary series in the social security in both aggregate and individual basis. The expense series on balance of assets, in turn, was stationary only in the aggregate. Besides, It was found that that the financial balance between the two approaches is more feasible through the increase in revenue. This can give the increase in social security contribution rates of sponsors and insured. This does not exclude the need for pension reforms to bring advances to the financial balance of RPPS.

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