Advanced fuel economies in both traditional internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEs) and electric vehicles (EVs) have a strong influence on transportation revenue by reducing fuel consumption per vehicle and ultimately drawing down the amount of fuel tax revenue received. It is expected that more ICE vehicle with advanced fuel economies and electric vehicles, especially gasoline hybrid electric vehicles, will enter the roadway in coming years, and fuel tax revenues and the Highway Trust Fund will increasingly become more affected. This study estimates the impact that increased sales of advanced ICEs and EVs will have on future fuel tax revenues by drawing on industry estimates of future EV and ICE market shares and anticipates future fleet mix and fuel economy for both vehicle technologies. An estimation process overview is provided and assumptions are described. Fuel tax revenue amounts that would be expected from future light vehicle fleets with increased shares of EVs are compared to equally sized fleets comprised of all ICEs, and future fleet mixes are estimated. Results show that as more electric vehicles enter the light vehicle fleet, greater revenue losses are expected, and total losses from years 2011 through 2050 depend on fleet composition and fuel economy of both vehicle types. Finally, it is found that the amount of fuel taxes paid by ICE drivers each year remain greater than fuel taxes paid by EV drivers even with advances in the average ICE vehicle fuel economy. / text

The general opinion is that an increase in fuel taxation would affect the countryside of Sweden to a greater extent, than the inner-city areas of the country. The topic of fuel taxation has become widely discussed on a political level throughout Europe. This paper examines the distributional effects on taxation of fuel in Sweden, by comparing different municipalities from different regions. By using aggregated data from different sources and estimate an increase in fuel prices by 10 percent, this paper estimates the direct effects of an increase in fuel taxation. The results show that by increasing the price on fuel with 10 percent, the municipalities located in the countryside of Sweden have a higher distributional impact and a greater tax burden compared to municipalities located near larger cities. But the differences are modest, and this paper concludes that the fuel tax should be considered proportional throughout all regions of the country.

Our nation is faced with a shortfall in funding desired transportation improvement programs. Texas is one of many states currently at crisis level as it is faced with an estimated annual funding shortfall of about $7 billion dollars between projected needs and transportation fund availability. This is a result of increased vehicle miles traveled and significant population growth that has outpaced the state’s transportation fund availability. Not only is the Texas transportation system declining in quality, but it is rapidly falling behind in the quantity needed to maintain current quality of life. As the Texas Mobility Fund balance approaches zero, the state needs to look toward non-traditional financing mechanisms to address its revenue shortfall. This report examines the problems associated with increased transportation demands in Texas and financing the expansion and maintenance of the state’s transportation system. / text

The climate changes have arguably been one of the main concerns during the last centuries.The largest contribution of the climate change derives from humanly created greenhouse gases.One third of the greenhouse gas emissions in Sweden comes from domestic transportation.This has led the government to set a taxation on fuels to reduce the carbon dioxide emissionsfrom transportation. The Swedish government has set a target of reducing the CO2 fromdomestic transportation by 70% of 2010th level by 2030 as a part of the long run target of zeronet emissions by 2045.This thesis aims to develop the knowledge about the relation between fuel taxation and carbonemissions from domestic car traveling in Sweden. One previous study has been conductedcovering the same problem. The previous study analyzed older data which creates theopportunity for this thesis to give updated results about the issue. This analysis is based ontime-series data from Sweden between 1990-2019. Regression models will be estimated usingordinary least squares (OLS) estimates to find the coefficient values. The results indicate anegative relationship between fuel taxation and carbon emission from cars in Sweden with a99% confidence level. An increase by the fuel tax by 1 SEK/liter would save approximately600 kilotons CO2 from domestic car traveling on a year. The value of the CO2 saved by anincrease of fuel tax by 1 SEK would be approximately 4 178 062 000 SEK. However, the resultshould not be interpreted as a recommendation for a policy. A more comprehensive analysisabout the effects of fuel taxation is needed to make decisions about whether the policy shouldbe implemented. The extended analysis should account for more ecological effects but also,economic, cultural, and social effects of the fuel tax. / Klimatkrisen är onekligen ett av de oftast debatterade problemen i modern tid. Klimatetsförändringar hotar flera arters överlevnadsmöjligheter, inte minst människan. Utsläpp avväxthusgaser är i dagsläget den största orsaken till de pågående klimatförändringarna. AvSveriges växthusgasutsläpp kommer en tredjedel från inrikestransporter. För att reduceraväxthusgaserna från inrikestransporter skattesätter staten drivmedel. Staten har en målsättningom att CO2 utsläppen från inrikestransporter ska minska med 70% av 2010 års nivå till år 2030.Detta är ett etappmål för att nå det långsiktiga målet om obefintliga nettoutsläpp avväxthusgaser år 2045.Denna studie avser att undersöka sambandet mellan drivmedelsskatten och koldioxidutsläppfrån inrikes biltransporter i Sverige. Liknande studier har genomförts tidigare, men då dessastudier analyserat äldre data kan denna studie ge en mer uppdaterad bild av problemet.Analysen bygger på tidsseriedata från Sverige mellan 1990–2019. Regressionsmodellerkommer att skattas med minsta kvadratmetoden (OLS) för att finna drivmedelsskattenssamband med koldioxidutsläppen från inrikes biltransporter. Resultatet visar att det finns ensignifikant negativ relation mellan drivmedelsskatten och koldioxidutsläpp från bilar i Sverigepå 99% konfidensnivå. En ökning av drivmedelsskatten med 1 krona per liter leder till enminskning av CO2 utsläpp från bilar med cirka 600 kiloton under ett år. Denna minskningmotsvarar ett värde av cirka 4 178 062 000 SEK. Resultatet bör dock inte tolkas som enrekommendation angående drivmedelsskatt. Vid beslutsfattande kring drivmedelsskatten bören mer omfattande analys genomföras. Den mer omfattande analysen bör innehålla flerekologiska effekter, men även ekonomiska, kulturella och sociala effekter avdrivmedelsskatten.

Transportation funding is critical to maintaining the assets that provide mobility for the movement of Georgia's people and goods. Currently, most of Georgia's transportation revenue is provided by the motor fuel tax. Inflation and recent increases in fuel economy have decreased fuel tax revenue in Georgia and weakened the Georgia Department of Transportation's (GDOT)'s ability to maintain and expand its transportation network. This thesis synthesizes factors from literature that affect motor fuel tax revenue. These include demographic, economic, technological, and environmental forces that influence travel behavior and vehicle fuel economy. A model was then created that incorporated these factors to model GDOT's 2009 fuel tax revenue and then project revenue in 2020 and 2030. The model uses an input/output structure that segments the fleet into personal, freight, and transit categories. User inputs, historical data, and projections are linked via relationships and feedback loops to project travel and fuel tax revenue forward. Because a near-infinite number of scenarios exist, conservative and aggressive scenarios were created for 2020 and 2030 scenarios that output revenue on an absolute, per-mile, and per-capita basis for comparison with more recent revenues. The model outputs predict marginal declines in revenue by 2020 and significant declines by 2030. In response to these declines, the thesis evaluates methods of increasing transportation revenue. These methods include increasing the fuel tax, incorporating a VMT-fee, and widespread tolling measures. After evaluation, a policy recommendation is provided for how to best implement revenue strategies.

Asset managers continue to prepare physical infrastructure investments needed to accommodate the emerging technologies, namely vehicle connectivity, electrification, and automation. The provision of new infrastructure and modification of existing infrastructure is expected to incur a significant amount of capital investment. Secondly, with increasing EV and CAV operations, the revenues typically earned from vehicle registrations and fuel tax are expected to change due to changing demand for vehicle ownership and amount of travel, respectively. This research estimated (i) the changes in highway expenditures in an era of ECAV operations, (ii) the net change in highway revenues that can be expected to arise from ECAV operations, and (iii) the changes in user equity across the highway user groups (vehicle classes). In assessing the changes in highway expenditures, the research developed a model to predict the cost of highway infrastructure stewardship based on current and/ or future system usage. <div><br></div><div>The results of the research reveal that CAVs are expected to significantly change the travel patterns, leading to increased system usage which in turn results in increased wear and tear on highway infrastructure. This, with the need for new infrastructure to support and accommodate the new technologies is expected to result in increased highway expenditure. At the same time, CAVs are expected to have significantly improved fuel economy as compared to their human driven counterparts, leading to a decrease in fuel consumption per vehicle, resulting in reduced fuel revenues. Furthermore, the prominence of EVs is expected to exacerbate this problem. This thesis proposed a revision to the current user fee structure to address these impacts. This revision contains two major parts designed to address the system efficiency and equity in the near and long term. For the near term, this thesis recommended a variable tax scheme under which each vehicle class pays a different fuel tax rate. This ensures that both equity and system efficiency are improved during the transition to ECAV. In the long term, this thesis recommended supplementing the fuel tax with a distance based VMT tax, applicable to electric vehicles.<br></div>

<p>  </p> <p>The trucking industry seems to be resistant to electrification, even though truck electrification can lead to large societal as well as user benefits. This dissertation develops a framework to inform policy making and enhance electric vehicle (EV) preparedness in the trucking industry through the study of two interrelated elements: (a) the adoption of electric trucks and (b) the appropriate implementation of electric truck technology. These two elements cover the user perspective, which is not adequately studied, and the agency perspective, which is pivotal in the decision-making process. Specifically, this study addressed the following research questions: (i) which factors affect the purchase decisions of truck fleet managers or owners for electric trucks? (ii) what is the ranking of and interrelationships between the barriers to the adoption of electric trucks? (iii) which location criteria should be considered for the strategic implementation of dynamic wireless charging (DWC) in a freight transportation network and where should this technology be located based on these criteria, and (iv) what is the impact of electric truck adoption on highway revenue and potential of alternative funding mechanisms to recover the revenue loss?</p> <p>For the adoption of electric trucks, a stated preference survey was designed and distributed online to truck fleet managers/owners in the U.S., gathering 200 completed responses. Statistical and multi-criteria decision-making approaches were employed to identify the factors that affect the purchase intentions of truck fleet managers and explore the barriers to electric truck adoption. The results showed that the purchase intentions of truck fleet managers are affected by trucking firm and truck fleet characteristics, behavioral factors/opinions regarding electric trucks, and awareness of innovative charging technologies. Furthermore, electric truck adoption would be accelerated if stakeholders focused on the barriers related to the business model, product availability, and charging time. Additionally, electric truck adopters and non-adopters may not be viewed as one homogenous group, since differences were found in the ranking and interrelationships of barriers to electric truck adoption between these two groups. </p> <p>The implementation of electric truck technology was examined based on the truck fleet managers’ survey, secondary data sources and the case of Indiana, U.S. A multi-criteria decision-making spatial approach was proposed to identify the candidate locations for the deployment of DWC. It was concluded that the most suitable locations for DWC lanes were on interstates, near airports and ports and away from EV charging stations. A data-driven framework was also developed to quantify the impact of electric truck adoption and estimate the optimal fee for each truck to recover the revenue loss. Using the market penetration levels estimated based on the survey data collected, the average annual fuel tax revenue loss for Indiana was approximately $349M. To maintain the same tax revenue per vehicle, annual fees ranging from $969 (in 2021) to $1,243 (in 2035) for single-unit trucks and $6,192 to $7,321 for combination trucks would be needed. To address public relations problems of EV fee implementation, this study also discussed alternative mitigation measures: a vehicle-miles-traveled fee and a pay-as-you-charge fee.</p> <p>In summary, this dissertation contributes to the body of literature by providing significant insights regarding the perspectives of truck fleet managers for electric trucks as well as a comprehensive list of all the location criteria for DWC. The proposed frameworks and study findings can be used by policymakers and other major stakeholders of the EV ecosystem to frame certain strategies to accelerate electric truck adoption, identify the most suitable locations for charging infrastructure, better understand the impact of electric trucks on the highway revenue, and provide the groundwork for developing EV roadmaps.</p>