This study examines the effect of the introduction of CSI300 Index Futures on the volatility of the stock market. Taking into account of the existence of the long term trend of diminishing volatility of the Chinese stock market, the difference-in-difference method was used instead of the simple before-and-after method to investigate how the volatility of the constituent stocks changes relative to the non-constituent stocks after the introduction of CSI300 Index Futures. Empirical results revealed that the volatility of the constituent stocks increased as compared with that of non-constituent stocks before and after the inception of the CSI300 Index Futures. The temporal-self comparison for the stocks entered or removed from the CSI300 Index List showed that that the introduction of index futures has a long-term destabilizing effect. / 本文研究滬深300股票指數期貨的推出對我國股票市場波動率的影響。考慮到中國股市長期波動率下降的趨勢的存在,我們用差上差的方法取代了傳統的簡單事前事後比較方法來研究成分股相對于非成分股波動率在滬深300股票指數期貨推出前後是如何變化的。實證結果顯示成分股股票相對于非成分股股票,波動率在滬深300股票指數期貨推出前後實際上是上升的。對於進入或者剔除出滬深300指數名單的股票的實證研究顯示,這種股票不同狀態的自我比較說明對於滬深300股票指數期貨的推出在長期有失穩作用。 / Luo, Shengjie. / Thesis M.Phil. Chinese University of Hong Kong 2014. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 40-42). / Abstracts also in Chinese. / Title from PDF title page (viewed on 12, October, 2016). / Detailed summary in vernacular field only.

Wong Hau Man, Ben. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1994. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 85-89). / Abstract / Acknowledgment / Chapter Chapter 1. --- Introduction --- p.1 / Chapter Chapter 2. --- Introduction to the Hang Seng Index Futures Market --- p.9 / Chapter Chapter 3. --- Dynamic Efficiency --- p.17 / Chapter 3.1 --- The Potential Lead/Lag Relationship between the Stock Index Futures price and the Stock Index --- p.18 / Chapter 3.2 --- Empirical Evidence of the Lead/Lag Relationship -the US experience --- p.20 / Chapter 3.3 --- Granger and Engle's Error-Correction Model --- p.21 / Chapter 3.4 --- Error-Correction Model for the Hang Seng Index Futures Price and Hang Seng Index --- p.25 / Chapter 3.5 --- Simultaneous Error-Correction Model --- p.30 / Chapter Chapter 4. --- Price Volatility --- p.38 / Chapter 4.1 --- Why Volatility Matters --- p.38 / Chapter 4.2a --- Theoretical Foundation of the relationship between Futures Trading and Cash Market Volatility --- p.39 / Chapter 4.2b --- Empirical Evidence of Futures Trading and Cash Market Volatility - the US experience --- p.40 / Chapter 4.3 --- The Schwert Estimation Method --- p.42 / Chapter 4.4 --- Hang Seng Index Volatility and Cash Market Trading Volume --- p.47 / Chapter 4.5 --- Hang Seng Index Volatility and Futures Trading Activities --- p.48 / Chapter 4.6 --- Hang Seng Index Volatility and Contract Life Cycle --- p.50 / Chapter Chapter 5. --- Margin Policy --- p.56 / Chapter 5.1 --- The Economic Role of Futures Margin --- p.57 / Chapter 5.2a --- Theoretical Foundation of the relationship between Margin Requirement and Futures Volatility --- p.58 / Chapter 5.2b --- Empirical Evidence of Margin Requirement and Price Volatility --- p.59 / Chapter 5.3 --- HSI Futures Margin Requirement and Probability of Exhaustion --- p.61 / Chapter 5.4 --- HSI Futures Margin Requirement and HSI Futures Volatility --- p.64 / Chapter 5.4a --- Event-Study Approach --- p.64 / Chapter 5.4b --- Alternative Method --- p.66 / Chapter 5.5 --- HSI Futures Leverage and Price Volatility --- p.70 / Chapter Chapter 6. --- Conclusions --- p.81 / REFERENCES --- p.85 / APPENDIX 1. - Data Description --- p.90 / APPENDIX 2. - FIGURES --- p.92 / Chapter - --- Figure 1. Trend of HSI from May 86 to Dec93 --- p.93 / Chapter - --- Figure 2. Trend of HSI Futures Price from May 86 to Dec93 --- p.94 / Chapter - --- Figure 3. Volatility of HSI from May 86 to Dec93 --- p.95 / Chapter - --- Figure 4. HSI Futures Margin and Futures Volatility (Futures volatility is measured in daily change in contracts value) --- p.96

by Lam Chi-keung, Wallace, Ng Kim-hung. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1995. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 41-44). / ABSTRACT --- p.iii / ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS --- p.iv / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.v / LIST OF TABLES --- p.vi / LIST OF FIGURES --- p.vii / LIST OF APPENDICES --- p.viii / CHAPTER / INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / DEVELOPMENT OF METHODOLOGY --- p.7 / cost-of-carry model --- p.7 / Stock Index Futures --- p.9 / Borrowing and Lending Rates --- p.12 / Transaction Costs --- p.13 / Calendar Spread in Stock Index Futures --- p.15 / Discrete Dividend --- p.15 / Futures Spread --- p.16 / SCOPE OF STUDY --- p.18 / Spread and Discrepancy --- p.18 / Trading Rule --- p.18 / Predicting Market Price by Equilibrium Futures Price --- p.21 / DATA --- p.22 / RESULTS --- p.26 / Descriptive Statistics --- p.26 / Stimulated Trading Rule --- p.27 / Regression Analysis --- p.28 / CONCLUSION AND DISCUSSION --- p.29 / APPENDIX --- p.31 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.38

by Low Fung Seong Jenny, Yau Yin. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1999. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 53). / ABSTRACT --- p.ii / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.iv / ACKNOWLEDGMENTS --- p.v / Chapter / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Chapter II. --- THE HONG KONG MONETARY SYSTEM --- p.3 / Linked Exchange Rate System --- p.3 / Monetary Base --- p.3 / Capital Inflow and Outflow --- p.4 / Interest Rate and the Link --- p.5 / The Interbank Market --- p.9 / Chapter III. --- INTRODUCTION TO HIBOR FUTURES --- p.11 / Background of the HIBOR Futures --- p.12 / Features of Three-Month HIBOR Futures Contract --- p.14 / Futures Quotations and Futures Prices --- p.16 / Delivery and Determination of Final Settlement Prices --- p.17 / Functions of HIBOR Futures Contract --- p.17 / Short Hedge --- p.18 / Long Hedge --- p.20 / Speculation --- p.22 / Chapter IV. --- TEST OF COST OF CARRY RELATIONSHIP FOR HIBOR FUTURES --- p.24 / Cost of carry Relationship --- p.24 / Forward and Futures Prices --- p.27 / Cash Prices versus Futures Prices --- p.27 / Testing the Cost of Carry on Three-month HIBOR Futures Contracts --- p.30 / Collection of Data --- p.30 / Methodology --- p.30 / Findings --- p.31 / Analysis of Findings --- p.35 / Chapter V. --- CONCLUSION --- p.37 / ENDNOTES --- p.38 / APPENDICES --- p.40 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.53

by Hui Chi Hang and Wong Wai Ming. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1997. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 89-92). / ABSTRACT --- p.iv / TABLE OF CONTENT --- p.v / Chapter Page / Chapter PART I : --- Interest Rate Swap --- p.1 / Chapter 1. --- INTRODUCTION AND HISTORY OF SWAP --- p.2 / Chapter 2. --- INTRODUCTION TO INTEREST RATE SWAP --- p.6 / Chapter 3. --- ECONOMICS AND PRICING OF INTEREST RATE SWAP --- p.8 / "Exhibit I - Example 1,2 & 3" --- p.19 / Chapter 4. --- APPLICATION OF INTEREST RATE SWAP --- p.25 / Chapter PART II: --- Currency Swap --- p.27 / Chapter 5. --- INTRODUCTION TO CURRENCY SWAP --- p.28 / Chapter 6. --- ECONOMICS AND PRICING OF CURRENCY SWAP AND LTFX CONTRACTS --- p.30 / Exhibit II - Example 4 --- p.38 / Chapter Part III : --- Implication of Swap in Major Markets --- p.41 / Chapter 7. --- MAJOR SWAP MARKETS --- p.42 / Chapter 8. --- THE HONG KONG SWAP MARKET --- p.49 / Chapter Part IV : --- Risks and Control in Swaps --- p.53 / Chapter 9. --- COMMON RISKS AND CONTROL IN SWAPS --- p.54 / Appendix --- p.60 / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION TO OTHER MAJOR SWAPS --- p.61 / Chapter II. --- USER GUIDE FOR USING THE DISKETTE FOR PRICING OF SWAPS --- p.71 / Chapter III. --- QUESTIONNAIRE FOR INTERVIEWS --- p.79 / Chapter IV. --- BRIEF REPORT ON INTERVIEWS --- p.81 / Bibliography --- p.89 / Exhibit I - Example 1 --- p.93 / Exhibit I - Example 2 --- p.94 / Exhibit I - Example 3 --- p.95 / Exhibit II - Example 4 --- p.96 / "Diskette for SWAP. XLS for pricing of interest rate swap, and LTFX contracts" --- p.97

published_or_final_version / Law / Master / Master of Laws

published_or_final_version / Business Administration / Master / Master of Business Administration

by Wong Man Kit, Andy, Yu Miu Ki. / Thesis (M.B.A.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2000. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 53-54). / ABSTRACT --- p.ii / ACKNOWLEDGEMENT --- p.iii / TABLE OF CONTENTS --- p.iv / Chapter / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Credit Risk --- p.2 / Operational risk --- p.3 / Liquidity risk --- p.3 / Legal risk --- p.3 / Market Risk --- p.3 / Model risk --- p.4 / Chapter II. --- LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.5 / Value at Risk (VaR) --- p.5 / Minimum Variance --- p.7 / Dollar equivalence --- p.8 / Statistical Hedging --- p.8 / Risk and Return in an Imperfect Hedge --- p.8 / Expected return and standard deviation in a hedged position --- p.9 / Risk and Return in an actual hedge --- p.11 / Optimal Hedge Ratio --- p.13 / Deriving Optimal Hedge Ratio h* --- p.15 / Computing the minimum risk hedge ratio by regression --- p.16 / Basis Risk --- p.18 / Sources of Basis Risk --- p.19 / Variation in the equilibrium price relationship between cash and futures --- p.19 / "Random ""noise"" in the price process" --- p.19 / Mismatch between cash position and the underlying for the future --- p.20 / Hedging Effectiveness --- p.21 / Chapter III. --- DATA AND METHODOLOGY --- p.25 / Data --- p.25 / Data Collection --- p.25 / Data Selection --- p.25 / Data Manipulation --- p.26 / Methodology --- p.27 / Part I: The Selection of the Portfolios --- p.27 / Part II: The Determination of the Hedge Ratio --- p.28 / Part III: Hedged vs. Unhedged --- p.29 / Part IV: Data Analysis & Comparison --- p.31 / Chapter IV. --- FINDINGS --- p.35 / High volatility of Hong Kong market --- p.35 / Manipulation of institutional investors --- p.36 / Hong Kong financial market are less mature --- p.36 / Less efficient information flow --- p.37 / Less Sophisticated Investors --- p.38 / Results and Discussion --- p.39 / Empirical Results --- p.40 / Explanation for the differences --- p.42 / Limitations --- p.47 / Learning Period --- p.47 / Cross Hedging --- p.47 / Mismatch between the futures and the underlying index --- p.48 / Missing Stock Data in the S&P500 --- p.49 / Chapter V. --- CONCLUSION --- p.50 / Tradeoff between risk and return --- p.50 / Hedge Effectiveness --- p.51 / BIBLIOGRAPHY --- p.53

by Ng Wai-Leung Anthony. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 1999. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 83-87). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Chapter I. --- INTRODUCTION --- p.1 / Chapter II. --- LITERATURE REVIEW --- p.5 / Chapter 2.1 --- The Importance of Stock Index and Index Futures --- p.6 / Chapter 2.2 --- Importance of Index Forecasting --- p.6 / Chapter 2.3 --- Reasons for the Lead-Lag Relationship between Stock and Futures Markets --- p.9 / Chapter 2.4 --- Importance of the lead-lag relationship --- p.10 / Chapter 2.5 --- Some Empirical Findings of the Lead-Lag Relationship --- p.10 / Chapter 2.6 --- New Approach to Financial Forecasting - Artificial Neural Network --- p.12 / Chapter 2.7 --- Artificial Neural Network Architecture --- p.14 / Chapter 2.8 --- Evidence on the Employment of ANN in Financial Analysis --- p.20 / Chapter 2.9 --- Hong Kong Securities and Futures Markets --- p.25 / Chapter III. --- GENERAL GUIDELINE IN DESIGNING AN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK FORECASTING MODEL --- p.28 / Chapter 3.1 --- Procedure for using Artificial Neural Network --- p.29 / Chapter IV. --- METHODOLOGY --- p.37 / Chapter 4.1 --- ADF Test for Unit Root --- p.38 / Chapter 4.2 --- "Error Correction Model, Error Correction Model with Short- term Dynamics, and ANN Models for Comparisons" --- p.38 / Chapter 4.3 --- Comparison Criteria of Different Models --- p.39 / Chapter 4.4 --- Data Analysis --- p.39 / Chapter 4.5 --- Data Manipulations --- p.41 / Chapter V. --- RESULTS --- p.42 / Chapter 5.1 --- The Resulting Models --- p.42 / Chapter 5.2 --- The Prediction Power among the Models --- p.45 / Chapter 5.3 --- ANN Model of Input Variable Selection Using Contribution Factor --- p.46 / Chapter VI. --- CAUSALITY ANALYSIS --- p.54 / Chapter 6.1 --- Granger Casuality Analysis --- p.55 / Chapter 6.2 --- Results Interpretation --- p.56 / Chapter VII --- CONSISTENCE VALIDATION --- p.61 / Chapter VIII --- ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK TRADING SYSTEM --- p.67 / Chapter 7.1 --- Trading System Architecture --- p.68 / Chapter 7.2 --- Simulation Runs using the Trading System --- p.77 / Chapter XI. --- CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE WORKS --- p.79

Choy Siu Kai. / Thesis (M.Phil.)--Chinese University of Hong Kong, 2005. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 35-37). / Abstracts in English and Chinese. / Chapter Chapter 1 --- Introduction --- p.1-2 / Chapter Chapter 2 --- Literature Review --- p.3-9 / Chapter Chapter 3 --- An Overview of Hong Kong Security Market and Data Description --- p.10-18 / Chapter Chapter 4 --- Methodology --- p.19-24 / Chapter Chapter 5 --- Futures and Mini Futures Results --- p.25-28 / Chapter Chapter 6 --- Index and Futures Contracts Results --- p.29-32 / Chapter Chapter 7 --- Conclusion --- p.33-34 / References --- p.35-37 / Appendix --- p.38-40 / Tables --- p.41-52 / Graphs --- p.53-57