Includes bibliographical references.

Includes abstract. / Includes bibliographical references (leaves 72-75). / The timing of post-conflict elections is a critical element that requires careful consideration to minimize the risk of producing adverse results. Through examining the literature and studying Liberia's 1997 and 2005 elections, this work seeks to identify the best timing practices for post-contlict elections. The theoretical basis, which is inspired by the works of Roland Paris and Terrence Lyons, is that if the circumstances are to permit the long-term goal of democratization, then post-conflict elections should follow a protracted transition period prior to holding the election.

Foreign aid to Malawi has the ability to perpetuate the country's fifteen-year long hunger crisis. For millions of Malawians, chronic starvation is attributable to their inability to access food available on internationalised markets. Bilateral foreign aid to the Southern African state is aimed at stimulating development which, if successful, should also lift the country beyond threat of chronic, long-term malnourishment for the poorest of its citizens. Donor's, however, measure developmental aid's success along a narrow set of indicators - such as economic growth - dictating the direction of policy for recipient nations wishing to maintain the inflow of aid. For Malawi, this is all but inevitable as foreign aid accounts for 40% of government revenue. As a result of this dependency on external income, Malawi's government has targeted economic growth in order to maintain its aid support. Economic growth in Malawi has been fuelled by public spending and is unsustainable in the long term. The rapid growth was accompanied by high levels of inflation and the further entrenchment of a perennial trade accounts deficit, leaving the national currency weak. In addition, the majority of public spending reinforces the country's economic identity of an agricultural state, ensuring that 90% of Malawians who rely on agriculture for an income will remain poor due to the imbalance of trade. The indirect perpetuation of an agricultural economy, alongside unsustainable and unstable growth, has led to a situation where most Malawians cannot afford to buy food.

Since the late 1990s economic insecurity and political uncertainty have continued to worsen in Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe's economy plunged into deep crisis in the early 2000s owing to failed fiscal policies and the highly criticised 'Fast-track' land reform program. Election related violence between 2002 and 2013 resulted in a state of insecurity thereby leading to an exodus of Zimbabwean migrants. An unprecedented influx of Zimbabwean migrants to South Africa (SA) led to high levels of illegal migration and the clogging up of the asylum seeker management system in the early 2000s. In 2009, SA launched the Dispensation of Zimbabweans Project (DZP) in order to achieve four main objectives: to reduce pressure on the asylum management system, to curb the deportation of illegal Zimbabwean migrants, to regularise Zimbabweans who were residing in SA illegally and to provide amnesty to Zimbabweans who had obtained South African documents fraudulently. The DZP was considered a success and a successor permit, the Zimbabwe Special Dispensation Permit (ZSP), was launched in 2014 to allow former DZP applicants to extend their stay in South Africa. Using government publications, parliamentary debates, non-governmental organization (NGO) and media reports it was found that the DZP reduced pressure on the asylum seeker management system while deportation figures dropped significantly. It was also found that, less than 6% (250 000) of an estimated 1,5 million undocumented migrants were documented during the regularisation processes. The DZP and ZSP projects complemented South Africa's highly restrictive approach to migration management and jealous safeguarding of access to permanent residence and citizenship. The regularisation projects also enabled the South African government to show sympathy towards Zimbabweans who were forced to migrate to South Africa by recognising that they could not return home as long as the situation back home remained unchanged.

Includes abstract. Includes bibliographical references (leaves 86-91).

Bibliography: leaves 74-77. / This thesis examines the growing partnership between Russia and the ED. Although suspicious of each other's intentions at times, both sides have realized the necessity for close cooperation. In many respects, the ED is an economic empire in search of a security structure, while Russia is a military power without an economic base. The crime, corruption, and slowly developing democracy in Russia are of supreme security concern for the EU, because they create instability and uncertainty in the region.

Includes bibliographical references (leaves 80-89). / This research explores the extent to which Zimbabwean national policies and more broadly SADC affect informal trade and informal traders. Whilst SADC governments claim a desire to fight poverty, the organisation at the same time is pursuing policies that are obstructive to poverty alleviation. This is, for example, reflected in its lack of recognition of informal cross border traders. The thesis argues that one of the reasons explaining this is that SADC lacks an autonomous development strategy; its integration scheme is informed by the European model.

The Somalia-based militant group, Al Shabaab, has conducted mass casualty transnational terrorist attacks and has become a regional security threat. In an effort to uncover the best explanation of the drivers behind the group's use of transnational terror, a critical analysis of Rational Choice Theory, Spill-over Conflict Theory and Regional War Complex Theory was conducted. Evaluating each theory according to whether its assumptions held true, the theory offered a parsimonious explanation of Al Shabaab's use of transnational terror which could be supported by at least three types of evidence, the strengths and weaknesses of each theory, with regard to explaining Al Shabaab's transnational terror were identified. The findings showed that Al Shabaab as a transnational actor should not be seen as a linear transformation of the group, moving outwards from Somalia, but connected to an interlinked web between countries in the Horn of Africa, where domestic vulnerabilities such as political and socioeconomic marginalisation and a vulnerability to radicalisation allow for the cross-pollination of intent, and the capabilities to carry out attacks. As such, the regional and international interconnections captured by the Regional War Complex offered the best explanation of the drivers of Al Shabaab's use of transnational terror. Although Rational Choice Theory most clearly highlighted Al Shabaab's intent to transform from a domestic actor to a regional one, and the Spill-over Model showed that refugees could offer a recruitment source, it was the increased regional capabilities through the establishment of affiliates located outside of Somalia which gave the group the capacity to carry out transnational attacks and to operate as a transnational actor.

abstract: Scholarship offers several models to explain international norm development and global socio-political change. This research offers a comparative analysis between the tightly coupled Norm Life Cycle model and the loosely coupled Bee Swarm model from world polity theory. I critique the Norm Life Cycle model as having three problematic components 1) actor-centered, 2) historically narrow, and 3) linear. Using the anti-sex trafficking movement as a case study, this research finds that the loosely coupled perspective prevails. Pre-existing institutions created the environment for norm development processes. Institutional workspaces create the foundation for actors to act and come together. The Bee Swarm model is more inclusive and captures more nuanced aspects of social change. / Dissertation/Thesis / Masters Thesis Political Science 2020

This dissertation explores the impact of private capital flows on South Africa's developmental state agenda in the post-apartheid era. South Africa is one country that has set, beforehand, the objective to become a developmental state. However, the role of private capital flows as a factor that can determine the success, or the failure of that objective is largely missing from the debate about constructing the developmental state in South Africa. By exploring the impact of private capital flows, the study seeks to inform the reader about the nature and composition of private capital flows in South Africa as well as investigate whether these flows hinder or accelerate South Africa's developmental state objective. The study has utilized qualitative methods. It also made use of quantitative data as a secondary supplement to ensure a greater understanding of the research problem. In addition, the study has used the theory of financialization from Marxist Political Economy which posits that private capital flows are unproductive and merely interested in surplus accumulation without producing anything substantive in the long term. The research findings indicate that financial liberalization as a step that was taken by the democratic government to attract private capital flows has not been beneficial for South Africa's long term development as it allows capital flight and illicit financial flows. While South Africa did manage to attract private capital flows after liberalizing its capital account, these flows have been made up mainly of portfolio investments that do not contribute significantly to the productive sectors. Instead, portfolio investments drive excessive household debt, consumption and financial speculation. Moreover, private capital flows reinforce a non-developmental agenda by exacerbating the problem of unemployment, inequality, and poverty which are key developmental goals that South Africa seek to overcome through the developmental state. More importantly, South Africa's reliance on private capital flows constrain its economic policy choices and this, in turn, hinders an emergence of a developmental state.