Denna studie bestod i att undersöka situationen på marknaden angående framdriftsanläggningar för LNG-tankfartyg. Syftet med arbetet var att skapa en relevant bild av hur situationen ser ut idag och genom intervjuer ta reda på hur den kan komma att förändras. Genom en litteraturstudie undersöktes läget på marknaden och utifrån det kunde relevanta frågor utformas. Efter att frågorna hade utformats tog författarna kontakt med olika företag som var anknutna till marknaden för LNG-tankfartyg. Intervjuer med företagen genomfördes och dessa har gjort det möjligt att analysera hur läget kan komma att förändras. Studien har visat att det finns ett system, DFDE, som dominerar fartygsbeställningar i dagsläget. Det finns även nyare system som består av gasdrivna tvåtaktsmotorer som förväntas ta över en del av marknaden. Andra system såsom ånganläggningar och anläggningar med gasturbin finns tillgängliga men de ligger inte i fokus i dagsläget. / This study consisted of analysing the current situation on the market for propulsion systems for LNG-carriers. The purpose of the study was to create a relevant picture of what the situation looks like today and through interviews try to predict how the situation might come to change. By using already existing literature the authors reviewed the situation on the market as it is today and formed relevant questions. After the questions had been formed the authors contacted several companies associated with the LNG-carrier market. Interviews with these companies were carried out and it is through these interviews possible to analyse how the situation might come to change. The study has shown that there is one system that dominates the market for LNG-carrier propulsion, DFDE. There is however a new system, with dual-fuel two stroke engines that is expected to take over a part of the market in the near future. Other propulsion systems such as steam propulsion plant and a system with a gas turbine exist on the market but the interest in these systems is limited.

No Brasil a geração de energia elétrica é predominantemente baseada no uso de fontes renováveis e obtida por meio de centrais hidroelétricas. Ainda assim é necessária a diversificação das fontes de suprimento de energia para a geração de eletricidade quando o recurso hídrico for escasso. Uma alternativa é utilizar gás natural como combustível para as usinas termoelétricas, como vem sendo introduzido na matriz energética de outros países, permitindo a diversificação das fontes energéticas dos mesmos. A indústria do gás natural, assim como outras atividades industriais, não está isenta de acidentes que podem provocar graves consequências à integridade das pessoas e das propriedades. Por este motivo, é necessário desenvolver estudos para determinar quais são as possíveis causas que poderiam ocasionar estes acidentes, e quais são os possíveis cenários associados a estas falhas especificamente na área do transporte de GNL (Gás Natural Liquefeito). É neste contexto que este trabalho de pesquisa tem por objetivo desenvolver um método, baseado nas técnicas de análise de risco, que permita identificar os principais cenários de falha associados à ocorrência de um vazamento de GNL ou de boil-off durante as operações de carga e/ou descarga de navios. Neste cenário, considera-se a presença das barreiras de proteção destinadas a conter esse evento iniciador de perigo no sistema de carga e descarga do navio transportador de GNL, quando o navio está atracado no porto. Adicionalmente à apresentação do método, e como resultado do trabalho, são identificados quais os componentes que pertencem ao circuito de carga e descarga de GNL, e que tenham uma categoria de risco denominada como Crítica (C), Moderada (M) ou Não Crítica (NC). Finalmente, a implantação do método propõe medidas que ajudam a diminuir o nível de risco associado aos componentes denominados críticos, a fim de garantir uma operação segura e livre de acidentes que ponham em risco a integridade dos operadores, dos equipamentos e do ambiente. / Although the electricity generation in Brazil is predominantly based on renewable sources and obtained by means of hydroelectric power plants, it is still necessary to diversify sources of energy supply to generate electricity when the water resource is scarce. An alternative is the use natural gas as fuel for power plants, once it has been introduced in the energy matrix of other countries, allowing the diversification of their energy sources. The natural gas industry, as well as other industrial activities, is not free from accidents, which can cause serious consequences to the integrity of people and properties. For this reason, it is necessary to develop studies to determine what are the possible causes that could lead to serious accidents and what are the possible scenarios of these faults specifically in the area of LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) transportation. In this context, this research aims to develop a method based on risk analysis concepts which identifies the main failure scenarios given the occurrence of LNG or boil-off leakage during ship loading and unloading operations, considering the presence of containment barriers designed to hold this hazard initiator event in loading and unloading system of the LNG carrier when the ship is in harbor. In addition to the method presentation this research identifies which are the components of LNG loading and unloading circuit, which have a risk category classified as Critical (C), Moderate (M) and NonCritical (NC). Finally, the method implementation allows the proposal of safety and maintenance measures to help reducing the risk level in order to ensure safe operation, free of accidents that endanger the integrity of the operators, the equipment and the environment.

No Brasil a geração de energia elétrica é predominantemente baseada no uso de fontes renováveis e obtida por meio de centrais hidroelétricas. Ainda assim é necessária a diversificação das fontes de suprimento de energia para a geração de eletricidade quando o recurso hídrico for escasso. Uma alternativa é utilizar gás natural como combustível para as usinas termoelétricas, como vem sendo introduzido na matriz energética de outros países, permitindo a diversificação das fontes energéticas dos mesmos. A indústria do gás natural, assim como outras atividades industriais, não está isenta de acidentes que podem provocar graves consequências à integridade das pessoas e das propriedades. Por este motivo, é necessário desenvolver estudos para determinar quais são as possíveis causas que poderiam ocasionar estes acidentes, e quais são os possíveis cenários associados a estas falhas especificamente na área do transporte de GNL (Gás Natural Liquefeito). É neste contexto que este trabalho de pesquisa tem por objetivo desenvolver um método, baseado nas técnicas de análise de risco, que permita identificar os principais cenários de falha associados à ocorrência de um vazamento de GNL ou de boil-off durante as operações de carga e/ou descarga de navios. Neste cenário, considera-se a presença das barreiras de proteção destinadas a conter esse evento iniciador de perigo no sistema de carga e descarga do navio transportador de GNL, quando o navio está atracado no porto. Adicionalmente à apresentação do método, e como resultado do trabalho, são identificados quais os componentes que pertencem ao circuito de carga e descarga de GNL, e que tenham uma categoria de risco denominada como Crítica (C), Moderada (M) ou Não Crítica (NC). Finalmente, a implantação do método propõe medidas que ajudam a diminuir o nível de risco associado aos componentes denominados críticos, a fim de garantir uma operação segura e livre de acidentes que ponham em risco a integridade dos operadores, dos equipamentos e do ambiente. / Although the electricity generation in Brazil is predominantly based on renewable sources and obtained by means of hydroelectric power plants, it is still necessary to diversify sources of energy supply to generate electricity when the water resource is scarce. An alternative is the use natural gas as fuel for power plants, once it has been introduced in the energy matrix of other countries, allowing the diversification of their energy sources. The natural gas industry, as well as other industrial activities, is not free from accidents, which can cause serious consequences to the integrity of people and properties. For this reason, it is necessary to develop studies to determine what are the possible causes that could lead to serious accidents and what are the possible scenarios of these faults specifically in the area of LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) transportation. In this context, this research aims to develop a method based on risk analysis concepts which identifies the main failure scenarios given the occurrence of LNG or boil-off leakage during ship loading and unloading operations, considering the presence of containment barriers designed to hold this hazard initiator event in loading and unloading system of the LNG carrier when the ship is in harbor. In addition to the method presentation this research identifies which are the components of LNG loading and unloading circuit, which have a risk category classified as Critical (C), Moderate (M) and NonCritical (NC). Finally, the method implementation allows the proposal of safety and maintenance measures to help reducing the risk level in order to ensure safe operation, free of accidents that endanger the integrity of the operators, the equipment and the environment.

Ce travail de thèse porte sur les outils statistiques pour l'évaluation des maxima de charges de sloshing dans les cuves de méthaniers. Selon les caractéristiques du navire, son chargement et les conditions de navigation, un ballotement hydrodynamique est observé à l'intérieur des cuves, phénomène communément appelé sloshing. La détermination des charges qui s'appliquent à la structure est basée sur des mesures de pression d'impact au moyen d'essais sur maquette. Les maxima de pression par impact, extraits des mesures, sont étudiés. La durée d'un essai est équivalente à 5 heures au réel et insuffisante pour déterminer des maxima de pression associés à de grandes périodes de retour (40 ans). Un modèle probabiliste est nécessaire pour extrapoler les maxima de pression. Le modèle usuel est une loi de Weibull. Comme ce sont les valeurs extrêmes des échantillons qui nous intéressent, les ajustements sont aussi effectués par les lois des valeurs extrêmes et de Pareto généralisées via les méthodes de maximum par bloc et d'excès au-dessus d'un seuil.L'originalité du travail repose sur l'emploi d'un système alternatif, plus pertinent pour la capture des maxima de pression et d'une quantité de 480 heures de mesures disponible pour les mêmes conditions d'essai. Cela fournit une distribution de référence pour les maxima de pression et nous permet d'évaluer la pertinence des modèles sélectionnés. Nous insistons sur l'importance d'évaluer la qualité des ajustements par des tests statistiques et de quantifier les incertitudes sur les estimations obtenues. La méthodologie fournie a été implémentée dans un logiciel nommé Stat_R qui facilite la manipulation et le traitement des résultats. / This thesis focuses on statistical tools for the assessment of maxima sloshing loads in LNG tanks. According to ship features, tank cargo and sailing conditions, a sloshing phenomenon is observed inside LNG tanks. The determination of sloshing loads supported by the tank structure is derived from impact pressure measurements performed on a test rig. Pressure maxima per impact, extracted from test measurements, are investigated. Test duration is equivalent to 5 hours in full scale. This duration is not sufficient to determine pressure maxima associated with high return periods (40 years). It is necessary to use a probabilistic model in order to extrapolate pressure maxima. Usually, a Weibull model is used. As we focus on extreme values from samples, fittings are also performed with the generalized extreme value distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution using block maximum method and peaks over threshold method.The originality of this work is based on the use of an alternate measurement system which is more relevant than usual measurement system to get pressure maxima and a 480 hours measured data available for same test conditions. This provides a reference distribution for pressure maxima which is used to assess the relevance of the selected probabilistic models. Particular attention is paid to the assessment of fittings quality using statistical tests and to the quantification of uncertainties on estimated values.The provided methodology has been implemented in a software called Stat_R which makes the manipulation and the treatment of results easier.